Friday 2 March 2012

03/03/12 - Flemington, Eagle Farm and Rosehill Gardens

Flemington

Race 1 - Small bet here only.  I'm going with Sabie.  McEvoy should be able to place the horse in a prominent position.  Has won or placed every start which has been over this distance.  Other hopes to Rhandara, Imprimis and Fire Thunderbolt.

***With the scratching of Sabie, I'll promote Rhandara to top pick and bring in Lady Of Harrods as a hope***

Race 2 - Western Jewel with a better gate can turn the tables on Drunken Sailor.  Last start WJ was caught wide but still ran on.  Has good form in Perth.  Other hopes to Drunken Sailor, Persian Star and Cheviot Beach.

Race 3 - Miss Octopussy has excellent 2nd up form, winning 3 and placing 2 from 5 attempts.  I think she's the way to go here.  Has shown a liking to straight racing.  Blinkers on should sharpen her up.  Other hopes to Lady Antebellum, Bolisimo Miss and Irish Dream.

***With the scratching of Irish Dream, I'll promote Beldara to the other hopes***

Race 4 - I'll be backing Vivid Vixen here.  Has a great record over this distance and at this track.  Won 3rd up last campaign and trainer said that it really needed the run 2nd up.  Likes the sting out of the track.  Other hopes to Under The Hat, Chasse and Sidecar.

Race 5 - Going with Red Colossus in this open affair.  Has a good 1st up record winning 2 and placing in 2 from 5 1st up runs.  Last campaign he ran a close up 3rd to King's Rose over this distance and with 59kg so 58.5kg here doesn't concern me.  Will handle the sting out.  Other hopes to Testascana, Shadowfax and Happy Trails.

Race 6 - This looks a fantastic race on paper.  I'm thinking that the pace could be on and for that reason I'm going with a horse I have a high opinion of in Proliferate.  He has looked good in all his runs to date, particularly his 1st up run last start behind Pied Tierre.  He should be steaming home and could just get over the top of these.  Other hopes to Helmet, Mosheen and That's The One.

Race 7 - I'm not overly keen on this race so I'll be approaching it with caution.  I went with Happy Angel.  It has a great record down the straight and has looked impressive in it's past 2 in SA for Kavanagh.  Should be able to sit 2nd or 3rd in running so will get the run of the race.  Other hopes to Queen Delight, Secret Flyer and Eight Bills.

Race 8 - The in form runner Golden Penny will do me in the last.  She has been racing in great form this campaign, winning 3 from 4.  Has won at this track and distance in the past and gets Oliver with 54kg here.  Will be hard to hold out.  Other hopes to I'm Discreet, Booklet and Raspberries.

Eagle Farm

Race 1 - This looks like headache material to me.  I won't be getting involved but I would think that whatever wins will be coming from the back.  

Race 2 - Generally I hate these races.  However I think Marked looks a good thing here.  The horse showed us what he is really capable of last start when he won well.  He should get suitable pace here to do the same again to this lot.  Other hopes to Attica, Our Recidivist and Rhetoric.

***With the scratchings of Our Recidivist and Rhetoric, I'll promote Sir Stanley and Tycoon's Heart to the other hopes***

Race 3 - Many of us have been waiting for the day that Beggin to draw a gate.  Today's that day.  She's been racing so wide in her latest runs but still looking good finishing off.  The majority of these horses are average so today's Beggin's chance.  Other hopes to Dodging Eddie, Bang On and Kiss Me Deadly.

Race 4 - Let's be thankful that this isn't a leg of the quaddie!  It's a race of many chances.  I'm going with Another Superior.  Has a good record over this distance and particularly at this track. Looked good storming home from last to finish 3rd 1st up.  Ran 2nd in it's only 2nd up effort.  Should get a good run from barrier 3.  Other hopes to Gatineau River, Run With Me and Kilwinning Option.

Race 5 - It was hard to ignore the 1st up run of Mr Armstrong when he absolutely put the sword to most of these.  Has a great record over this trip and has an ok 2nd up record.  You would have to think he'll be hard to beat if he has come on.  Other hopes to The Sixties, She's A Rock Star and Cariad.

Race 6 - Going with the top weight here in Bold Glance.  Has to carry a massive weight but comes in with 58kg with the claimer.  This is obviously the class horse in the race with a 3rd in the Doncaster to it's name.  Goes well fresh and over this distance.  Other hopes to Haizum, Falvelina and Just Been Lucky.

Race 7 - I can see at least half a dozen of these vying for the early lead which suggests a backmarker will be running on to win.  The ideal candidate with that scenario in mind is The Reveller.  Last start it got well back before charging to the line with gusto.  A repeat of that performance will see it winning.  Other hopes to De Bois, Mr Slick and Theft.

***With the scratchings of The Reveller and Theft, I'll promote De Bois to top pick and bring in Felony Flight to the other hopes***

Race 8 - Mystical Grey will be all the fitter 2nd up after running on well 1st up to nearly score the win.  The step up to 1600m will suit.  Has a great 2nd up record winning 3 from 6.  Other hopes to Tomboy, Star Of Octagonal and Shamardashing.  

Race 9 - Whisperossa looks nicely placed to pull off a northern raid here.  Has a perfect 2 from 2 2nd up record and has also won both it's attempts over this distance.  Munce should be able to give it a lovely ride.  Other hopes to Purettan, Product and Win A Million.

Rosehill Gardens

I won't be getting involved in many races at Rosehill.  It's just too iffy for my liking with the bog track.  That's if the meeting even goes ahead.  I have include 2 in my Best Bets section I will have a go at.  

Best Bets 

Flemington - Race 3 Number 3 Miss Octopussy
                 Race 4 Number 4 Vivid Vixen
                 Race 8 Number 7 Golden Penny

Eagle Farm - Race 2 Number 3 Marked
                   Race 5 Number 2 Mr Armstrong
                   Race 9 Number 12 Whisperossa

Rosehill Gardens - Race 6 Number 1 Manawanui
                         Race 7 Number 4 Red Tracer


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