Race 1 - I won't be getting involved in this race due to it being a small field of being 2 year olds. Having said that, Pierro looks the 1 here. Will be too short to back however.
Race 2 - Choice Words has returned to racing in terrific touch, winning both starts. Last start she beat Sutton Queen and showed an ability to kick on strongly after leading. She should be in the leading few horses here and get another good run. A dead track would be ideal. Other hopes to Pampelonne, Falzzon and Startreusse.
Race 3 - Samaready and Snitzerland are clearly the 2 here for mine. Samaready won the Blue Diamond with authority and is the Golden Slipper favourite. Odds are too restrictive to be betting on so maybe a quinella/exacta with Snitzerland could be the go.
Race 4 - I'm going with track specialist Single. This horse has won 4 from 5 at the track. Has won it's past 2 races nicely. Importantly it beat Maules Creek last start who won the Randwick City Cup last week. Single just loves a dead track and should get a great run. Other hopes Vintedge, Brayroan and Fiumicino.
Race 5 - This looks a cracking race. I'm going with More Joyous. I looked at horses such as Ilovethiscity, Sincero and Love Conquers All which are paying better. However I simply couldn't ignore More Joyous' record. 7 wins from 10 starts at the track, 1 from 1 at the track and distance, 4 from 6 1st up and 7 from 10 on dead/slow tracks. Will more than likely lead and will take a tonne of catching. Other hopes to Sincero, Ilovethiscity and Albert The Fat.
Race 6 - Manighar grabbed the biscuits for us last start when it won the Australian Cup. It showed a tremendous amount of fight there. I think it can win this which I can see being another hard fought affair. Manighar has been in excellent form this campaign, beating Southern Speed and running fairly close to Lucas Cranach. Loves a dead track. Other hopes to Scarlett Lady, Southern Speed and Shoot Out.
Race 7 - I backed King's Rose in the Newmarket when it ran 8th. I think it ran well enough there to run a race here 2nd up. Her 2nd up record is 2 wins from 3 starts. Will get a gun run just behind the leaders. Goes particularly well on a dead track and will be running on strong at the end. Other hopes to Streama, Red Tracer and Steps In Time.
Race 8 - I like the form around That's The One. It's won a Group 3 race over 1410m and raced reasonably well against Mosheen. That type of form should stand it in good stead here. Can handle any going. Other hopes to Rekindled Interest, Wild And Proud and Fontelina.
Race 9 - The speed should be well and truly on in the last. For that reason I'm going with Riva De Lago. It won't be involved in any speed battle up front. Instead he'll be smoking his pipe at the back and coming home with a flurry. Has a good 1st up record and warmed up nicely with a 2nd in a trial to Winter King. Other hopes to Parables, Karuta Queen and Zaratone.
Caulfield
Race 1 - I'll have a small bet on Dashitude here. It's a big field of 2 year olds and a lot of them have shown that they like to race on the pace. Definitely a danger race. Having said that Dashitude has raced quite well in it's 3 starts, winning 2. Blinkers go on today which could really sharpen this horse up.
Race 2 - Assertive Eagle raced well on the speed last start to run 1.2 lengths 2nd to Empress Rock. Empress Rock won easily at Moonee Valley Friday night, franking the form. Assertive Eagle should be able to sit in the leading few horses and get a great run. Gets 3kg off for the apprentice which brings it in well against the other horses. Other hopes to Sweet Ella, Princess Rock and Secret Liason.
Race 3 - A lot of scratchings in this race which brings the field back to just 7 runners. Again I'm with the top weight. Miss Octopussy is a favourite of the Silk and looks incredibly tough to beat here. Was given 58kg but will race with 55kg after the claim for the apprentice. Goes exceptionally well over this distance. Will stalk the leader and be hard to hold out. Hardest to beat is Bolisimo Miss.
Race 4 - This looks a tricky race. I've gone with Two Hills based on it's nice run last week. It ran 3rd but never settled. The blinkers have been taken off here which will hopefully do the trick. Will get a gun run behind Cute Emily. Good overall record at this trip. Other hopes to Cute Emily, Sorrell Miss and Sensational Report.
***With the scratching of Sorrell Miss, I'll promote Star Of Giselle***
Race 5 - I've supported Pago Rock every start this campaign and he's come close to winning all 3 races. I'll be on him again here. Has gate 3 here and with 3kg's off for the apprentice, should be able to get the lead. Has never been out of a place over this trip and will enjoy the going. Other hopes to Luck San, Agrippa and Shewan.
Race 6 - I'm going with Stratcombe here. He will lob on the speed and be able to stalk Zedi Knight. Has a 6kg advantage over that horse and I think that will be telling in the run to the line. Has a great record over this distance and prefers good/dead tracks. Other hopes to Zedi Knight, Valentine Miss and Full Peal.
Race 7 - I really don't like this race. I'm not sure which horses are going to take the running up here. For that reason, I won't be having a bet but will go wide in my quaddie.
Race 8 - Again I'm not keen on this race. There should be a fair bit of pressure on up front. I've settled on Fawkner. Should be able to push up from the inside and take a position just behind the leaders. Gets in with 52.5kg after the claim which will be of benefit in it's 1st crack at this distance. Has a perfect 2 from 2 2nd up record. Other hopes to Coldens Choice, God Has Spoken and Chasse.
Doomben
Race 1 - I don't like betting on 2 year old races but I couldn't ignore the effort of Fantisha on debut. The horse won by 6.5 lengths and was easing down on the line. Other hopes to Wonderful Jester, Gibberer and Midnight Fury.
Race 2 - I will only be having a small bet on Lady Agulhas here. Won by 4 lengths at Ipswich last start on slow going. Not many of these have wet track form so I don't think the fact this horse will get back from it's wide gate is a major concern. I can see a number of these really plodding by the 200m mark. It has a good record over this distance. Other hopes to Crazy Mamma, Beggin and Dane Princess.
***With the scratching of Lady Agulhas, I'll make Beggin my top pick. Crazy Mamma is also scratched so I'll promote Bitasilk to the other hopes***
Race 3 - Shamardashing didn't have the best of luck last start when narrowly going down. This horse loves a wet track and gets to go around with 56kg after the claim. Has a good record at this track and distance. Other hopes to Winmara, Za Magic and Kevejon.
Race 4 - I like the look of Arctic here. Went within a whisker of running down What About Me who is engaged here, last start. Drops 1kg and gets a better gate. Showed a strong finish when winning on heavy at it's 2nd start. Other hopes to What About Me, Dash O' Vino and Rocksan.
Race 5 - Interview has really hit his straps in his last few races. His last start win over this distance and on slow going should stand him well here. Has won 2 from 5 over this distance and 2 from 3 at the track. Other hopes to Santo De Lago, Tokamak and Garozzo.
***Interview is a late scratching. I'll promote Garozza to top pick and promote Horoscopes to the other hopes***
Race 6 - Lake George looks like great value around the $10 mark. If the track is still heavy by this stage of the day, this bloke will be licking his lips. Has won 2 from 2 on heavy. He races well fresh and has a fantastic record over this distance. Other hopes to Mr Armstrong, Triple Honour and Meet George.
Race 7 - Tough race here with a number of chances. I have settled on De Bois. Firstly I must say that I'm concerned about it over this distance. It's had 3 weeks off and generally runs well over 1200m. It does have a 2nd over 1400m to it's credit. Will get a great run from gate 3 and gets in with 55kg after the claim. I think that makes it considerably well waited compared to some others. Goes well on wet tracks. Other hopes to Rapid Leica Dane, Starlin and By Choice.
***With the scratching of By Choice, I'll promote Show Me An Ace***
Race 8 - I'll be going the way of Cape Kidnappers in the last. I was really impressed with this fellow in his 1st campaign where he went undefeated in 3 starts. He bolted in by 7.8 lengths on a slow track and being a Commands, he should eat the wet track up. Other hopes to Rosagaze, Inventory and Just Been Lucky.
***With the scratching of Rosagaze, I'll promote Thefifthhole to the other hopes***
Best Bets
Rosehill Gardens - Race 2 Number 12 Choice Words
Race 4 Number 6 Single
Race 5 Number 14 More Joyous
Caulfield - Race 2 Number 1 Assertive Eagle
Race 3 Number 1 Miss Octopussy
Race 6 Number 11 Stratcombe
Doomben - Race 3 Number 2 Shamardashing
Race 4 Number 6 Arctic
Race 9 - The speed should be well and truly on in the last. For that reason I'm going with Riva De Lago. It won't be involved in any speed battle up front. Instead he'll be smoking his pipe at the back and coming home with a flurry. Has a good 1st up record and warmed up nicely with a 2nd in a trial to Winter King. Other hopes to Parables, Karuta Queen and Zaratone.
Caulfield
Race 1 - I'll have a small bet on Dashitude here. It's a big field of 2 year olds and a lot of them have shown that they like to race on the pace. Definitely a danger race. Having said that Dashitude has raced quite well in it's 3 starts, winning 2. Blinkers go on today which could really sharpen this horse up.
Race 2 - Assertive Eagle raced well on the speed last start to run 1.2 lengths 2nd to Empress Rock. Empress Rock won easily at Moonee Valley Friday night, franking the form. Assertive Eagle should be able to sit in the leading few horses and get a great run. Gets 3kg off for the apprentice which brings it in well against the other horses. Other hopes to Sweet Ella, Princess Rock and Secret Liason.
Race 3 - A lot of scratchings in this race which brings the field back to just 7 runners. Again I'm with the top weight. Miss Octopussy is a favourite of the Silk and looks incredibly tough to beat here. Was given 58kg but will race with 55kg after the claim for the apprentice. Goes exceptionally well over this distance. Will stalk the leader and be hard to hold out. Hardest to beat is Bolisimo Miss.
Race 4 - This looks a tricky race. I've gone with Two Hills based on it's nice run last week. It ran 3rd but never settled. The blinkers have been taken off here which will hopefully do the trick. Will get a gun run behind Cute Emily. Good overall record at this trip. Other hopes to Cute Emily, Sorrell Miss and Sensational Report.
***With the scratching of Sorrell Miss, I'll promote Star Of Giselle***
Race 5 - I've supported Pago Rock every start this campaign and he's come close to winning all 3 races. I'll be on him again here. Has gate 3 here and with 3kg's off for the apprentice, should be able to get the lead. Has never been out of a place over this trip and will enjoy the going. Other hopes to Luck San, Agrippa and Shewan.
Race 6 - I'm going with Stratcombe here. He will lob on the speed and be able to stalk Zedi Knight. Has a 6kg advantage over that horse and I think that will be telling in the run to the line. Has a great record over this distance and prefers good/dead tracks. Other hopes to Zedi Knight, Valentine Miss and Full Peal.
Race 7 - I really don't like this race. I'm not sure which horses are going to take the running up here. For that reason, I won't be having a bet but will go wide in my quaddie.
Race 8 - Again I'm not keen on this race. There should be a fair bit of pressure on up front. I've settled on Fawkner. Should be able to push up from the inside and take a position just behind the leaders. Gets in with 52.5kg after the claim which will be of benefit in it's 1st crack at this distance. Has a perfect 2 from 2 2nd up record. Other hopes to Coldens Choice, God Has Spoken and Chasse.
Doomben
Race 1 - I don't like betting on 2 year old races but I couldn't ignore the effort of Fantisha on debut. The horse won by 6.5 lengths and was easing down on the line. Other hopes to Wonderful Jester, Gibberer and Midnight Fury.
Race 2 - I will only be having a small bet on Lady Agulhas here. Won by 4 lengths at Ipswich last start on slow going. Not many of these have wet track form so I don't think the fact this horse will get back from it's wide gate is a major concern. I can see a number of these really plodding by the 200m mark. It has a good record over this distance. Other hopes to Crazy Mamma, Beggin and Dane Princess.
***With the scratching of Lady Agulhas, I'll make Beggin my top pick. Crazy Mamma is also scratched so I'll promote Bitasilk to the other hopes***
Race 3 - Shamardashing didn't have the best of luck last start when narrowly going down. This horse loves a wet track and gets to go around with 56kg after the claim. Has a good record at this track and distance. Other hopes to Winmara, Za Magic and Kevejon.
Race 4 - I like the look of Arctic here. Went within a whisker of running down What About Me who is engaged here, last start. Drops 1kg and gets a better gate. Showed a strong finish when winning on heavy at it's 2nd start. Other hopes to What About Me, Dash O' Vino and Rocksan.
Race 5 - Interview has really hit his straps in his last few races. His last start win over this distance and on slow going should stand him well here. Has won 2 from 5 over this distance and 2 from 3 at the track. Other hopes to Santo De Lago, Tokamak and Garozzo.
***Interview is a late scratching. I'll promote Garozza to top pick and promote Horoscopes to the other hopes***
Race 6 - Lake George looks like great value around the $10 mark. If the track is still heavy by this stage of the day, this bloke will be licking his lips. Has won 2 from 2 on heavy. He races well fresh and has a fantastic record over this distance. Other hopes to Mr Armstrong, Triple Honour and Meet George.
Race 7 - Tough race here with a number of chances. I have settled on De Bois. Firstly I must say that I'm concerned about it over this distance. It's had 3 weeks off and generally runs well over 1200m. It does have a 2nd over 1400m to it's credit. Will get a great run from gate 3 and gets in with 55kg after the claim. I think that makes it considerably well waited compared to some others. Goes well on wet tracks. Other hopes to Rapid Leica Dane, Starlin and By Choice.
***With the scratching of By Choice, I'll promote Show Me An Ace***
Race 8 - I'll be going the way of Cape Kidnappers in the last. I was really impressed with this fellow in his 1st campaign where he went undefeated in 3 starts. He bolted in by 7.8 lengths on a slow track and being a Commands, he should eat the wet track up. Other hopes to Rosagaze, Inventory and Just Been Lucky.
***With the scratching of Rosagaze, I'll promote Thefifthhole to the other hopes***
Best Bets
Rosehill Gardens - Race 2 Number 12 Choice Words
Race 4 Number 6 Single
Race 5 Number 14 More Joyous
Caulfield - Race 2 Number 1 Assertive Eagle
Race 3 Number 1 Miss Octopussy
Race 6 Number 11 Stratcombe
Doomben - Race 3 Number 2 Shamardashing
Race 4 Number 6 Arctic
No comments:
Post a Comment