G'day Punters. Things are starting to heat up in the racing world with more feature races this Saturday. Racing will be coming to you from Moonee Valley, Rosehill and Doomben. The highlights for the day include the Dato' Tan Chin Nam Stakes, W.H. Stocks Stakes and McEwen Stakes from the Valley. At Rosehill the Golden Rose, Theo Marks Stakes and Kingston Town Stakes will take centre stage. I have based my selections on the proviso that the track conditions will be dead with a possibility of worsening at Moonee Valley, dead with a possibility of worsening at Rosehill and a slow possibly heavy track at Doomben. Best of luck!
*** Track conditions Saturday morning have started out as dead for all 3 tracks. I catered for a damper track at Doomben but I always have in the back of my mind the chance for up or downgrades so I don't think the original selections need to be changed. As it turns out, the selections can all handle most goings well. ***
*** Track conditions Saturday morning have started out as dead for all 3 tracks. I catered for a damper track at Doomben but I always have in the back of my mind the chance for up or downgrades so I don't think the original selections need to be changed. As it turns out, the selections can all handle most goings well. ***
Moonee Valley
Race 1 - It's a tricky race to start proceedings. Thought there were a number of winning chances. I ended up falling into Emerald Downs. I think she'll get herself into a good position just off the speed. Should be all the fitter for her 1st up win and can handle any track conditions. Next best: Bliss Street, Triple Asset and Atlantic Jewel.
Race 2 - Not sure that there's a great deal of quality horses here. For that reason I'm going with Do You Think. I was a little concerned at first that it had 57kg but it has heavy weight jockey specialist Steven Arnold on top and he's combining with old mate Bart Cummings. His 1st up run was sound and I think he'll be further improved for the 1400m. Other hopes to The New Boy, Costly Commitment and Cute Emily.
Race 3 - I found it very hard to separate Swooper and Tanby. I ended up going for Swooper as I think that she may handle the going a little better if it gets damp. She also loves the track having won 4 times from 6 starts. Thought her last run after a freshen up was a good warm up for this. Prior form is good for this. Other hopes to Tanby, Dance With Her and Buzzwin.
Race 4 - I could be crazy but I'm going with an old favourite in Rue Maple. She's been up for a long time which is a concern but they have given her a freshen up which I'm hoping will have done the trick. She loves the track and distance and can handle all going. I think Michelle Payne will get her in a good spot just off the pace and have her ready to pounce. Other hopes to Miss Bindi, Mythical Spirit and Status Symbol.
Race 5 - Don't see a lot of speed in this race and for that reason I'm going with Valley specialist Philda. The 1600m and 57.5kg are a concern but I think he can get a soft run in front and can control proceedings. That's the plan anyway. Any sting out of the ground will only enhance his chances. Other chances to Lucky Eighty Eight, Larry's Never Late and Akzar.
Race 6 - The McEwen Stakes sees a number of top sprinters going around. I'm going with a Silk favourite in Buffering. D. Browne should be able to get The Buff to the front and run these ragged. His 1st up record is a perfect 3 from 3 and can handle a soft track. Loving the double figure odds on offer at the moment! Next best includes Crystal Lily, Happy Zero and Kulgrinda.
Race 7 - The Dato' Tan Chin Nam Stakes sees Whobegotyou trying to win the race for the third time. I think he can. Won 1st up in solid form and just loves this track and distance. At wfa conditions, he really should be too good. The price may be the only thing preventing a bet on this bloke. To fill the minors, I give chances to Red Colossus, Rekindled Interest and Alcopop.
Race 8 - Very keen on King's Rose here. Thought her 1st Aussie run in the Memsie was super impressive. Has a lot in it's favour including a liking for the distance and the sting out of the track. Assuming Nolen can have her handy enough, she should be running over the top of these. Next best include Pinker Pinker, Absolutely and Midnight Martini.
Race 9 - Tough race to end the day. Going to go for one down in the weights, Spirited Eagle. Only has 53kg to contend with, likes the track and distance, soft conditions and has 2 wins from 3 1st up runs. I think it's as good a chance as any. Other hopes to Woorim, Stanzout and Miss Gai Flyer.
Rosehill
Race 1 - Think Startreusse will be too strong here. Has 58kg but deserves it considering how impressive he has been in his 2 starts to date. Probably looking at a wet track and he'll have no problems with that. Other hopes to Tavarnelle, Combat Kitty and Ingham Magic.
Race 2 - Not too sure there's much quality in this race. For that reason, I'm going with the lightly raced Marden. It ran on well first up over 1550m so I'm thinking that the extra 350m should suit. Handled the going well and has Hughie Bowman aboard. Give chances to Thumbtacks, Dal Rommel and Shadowofexcellence.
Race 3 - This race has a number of chances. I backed Spot The Rock last start and I'll be sticking with him again. I think 2nd up he'll be a lot fitter and meets the winner 2kg better. He is group 2 placed around this distance and I can't see a wet track hindering him. He'll face stiff opposition from Renewed Vitality, State Grade and Future Solution.
Race 4 - Going with Ofcourseican here. A little concerned with how it will go on a wet track but it has run ok on slow/heavy before and recently trialed for a 2nd on heavy. It loves the track and should go well. Other hopes to Gybe, Graceful Anna and Solar Charged.
Race 5 - A small field goes around in the Golden Rose but it isn't short on talent. Prepared to stick with Smart Missile. He finished off last time quiet well which suggests to me that the extra 200m shouldn't be a concern. Boss rates him a superstar and he's proven to be a good judge. How he handles a wet track is debatable but I'm prepared to say he will based on his 3 wins on dead surfaces. If Helmet can get a cushy lead then he may be tough to beat. Other hopes to Manawanui and Foxwedge.
Race 6 - I think Pinwheel can win here despite the big weight. The horse is basically bullet proof and has only ever been out of the placings 3 times in 24 starts. Proved last start that it could win on a heavy track with a big weight. Other chances to Ilovethiscity, Pressday and Foreteller.
Race 7 - Sticking with Altius. The horse is out to a distance now that it's bred to run. Handles a wet track and down in weight only adds to the attraction. I've been with it all campaign and I don't see a reason to get off now. I give hopes to Lamasery, Mourayen and Break Card.
Race 8 - Can see Tiger Tees setting a good pace here. If it's a leader biased track by the end of the day then he could go on with it. Having said that, I'm going with Stratford. I've been with him in his last 3 starts. With a wet track on the cards, I think this bloke will handle it well. Loves the track and distance. Other hopes to Somepin Anypin, Tiger Tees and Quidnuc.
Doomben
Race 1 - By rights, Russian Jar should have a class edge on these. However with the persistent rain, it brings it back to the field as I don't believe it likes the wet. Going to go with Topping. Small bet if any. Just think that he can get through the ground and possibly may be able to set the tempo. Rubbish race so I won't give any other hopes.
Race 2 - Hard to get excited about a field of 6 runners. Belltone has been kind to the Silk supporters lately but at $1.60, I won't be encouraging involvement. If you were after something with a bit more value, I'd be looking at What Happenedhenry. Perhaps the best advice is to watch the race or restock the fridge.
Race 3 - Going to stick with The Barracks after it's last run. Being a Commands, he should handle the wet track well and ran 2nd on his only slow track start. Gets a weight pull on Sway To Go and that might be the difference. Hopes to Sway To Go, Purettan and Touch It.
Race 4 - I wonder if a wet track has ruined a pretty good race here. Going with State Of Wealth but I won't be keen on taking short odds which is likely to be the case. Last start on slow going it won by 4 lengths. I give chances to Florida Fellow, Calculation and Lucky Tycoon.
Race 5 - Although stepping up in weight and distance, I think Shamardashing continues it's winning way. Finished hard to win it's last start so you'd think it would be able to handle the extra 200m. Undefeated on heavy also. Main challengers are Our Cannavaro, Sunshine Angel and Sir Presidente.
Race 6 - Symposium is the class runner here. However it's colours are lowered for me with a wet track. Being a Clang, I'd suspect it won't go too badly in the wet but 57kg could be costly. I'm going for something with next to no weight in Aquatorial. It's run 2 places in it's 2 go's on slow and with Benny Looker's claim will only carry 51kg. Looks like the 1350m should suit. Other chances to Symposium, Show A Lion Heart and Paris Blu.
Race 7 - Tafeer got the biscuits for us last time it raced but it was able to lead easily. Don't think that will be the case here. With that in mind I think Funtantes could get a good run. It goes like a cracker first up and has trained well during the week. Fairly confident it can handle the going and will be primed for another 1st up win. Chances to Alberton Park, Just Been Lucky and Aladah.
Race 8 - Speed kills you maniacs! Some speed freaks involved here but which ones can handle the wet? Haizum has the perfect wet track record so it goes on top for me. It has good 2nd up form and likes the track and distance. With plenty of speed on, it should be able to finish off strong. I give hopes to Monashee Dancer, Nickiera, Multire Music, Seek And Find and Pointe Dancer.
Best Bets
I think today's racing is going to be pretty tough going so finding "good things" will be hard.
Moonee Valley - Race 6 Number 3 Buffering
Race 7 Number 1 Whobegotyou
Race 8 Number 9 King's Rose
Rosehill - Race 1 Number 1 Startreusse
Race 6 Number 1 Pinwheel
Race 7 Number 11 Altius
Race 8 Number 7 Stratford
Doomben - Race 5 Number 1 Shamardashing
Race 2 - Not too sure there's much quality in this race. For that reason, I'm going with the lightly raced Marden. It ran on well first up over 1550m so I'm thinking that the extra 350m should suit. Handled the going well and has Hughie Bowman aboard. Give chances to Thumbtacks, Dal Rommel and Shadowofexcellence.
Race 3 - This race has a number of chances. I backed Spot The Rock last start and I'll be sticking with him again. I think 2nd up he'll be a lot fitter and meets the winner 2kg better. He is group 2 placed around this distance and I can't see a wet track hindering him. He'll face stiff opposition from Renewed Vitality, State Grade and Future Solution.
Race 4 - Going with Ofcourseican here. A little concerned with how it will go on a wet track but it has run ok on slow/heavy before and recently trialed for a 2nd on heavy. It loves the track and should go well. Other hopes to Gybe, Graceful Anna and Solar Charged.
Race 5 - A small field goes around in the Golden Rose but it isn't short on talent. Prepared to stick with Smart Missile. He finished off last time quiet well which suggests to me that the extra 200m shouldn't be a concern. Boss rates him a superstar and he's proven to be a good judge. How he handles a wet track is debatable but I'm prepared to say he will based on his 3 wins on dead surfaces. If Helmet can get a cushy lead then he may be tough to beat. Other hopes to Manawanui and Foxwedge.
Race 6 - I think Pinwheel can win here despite the big weight. The horse is basically bullet proof and has only ever been out of the placings 3 times in 24 starts. Proved last start that it could win on a heavy track with a big weight. Other chances to Ilovethiscity, Pressday and Foreteller.
Race 7 - Sticking with Altius. The horse is out to a distance now that it's bred to run. Handles a wet track and down in weight only adds to the attraction. I've been with it all campaign and I don't see a reason to get off now. I give hopes to Lamasery, Mourayen and Break Card.
Race 8 - Can see Tiger Tees setting a good pace here. If it's a leader biased track by the end of the day then he could go on with it. Having said that, I'm going with Stratford. I've been with him in his last 3 starts. With a wet track on the cards, I think this bloke will handle it well. Loves the track and distance. Other hopes to Somepin Anypin, Tiger Tees and Quidnuc.
Doomben
Race 1 - By rights, Russian Jar should have a class edge on these. However with the persistent rain, it brings it back to the field as I don't believe it likes the wet. Going to go with Topping. Small bet if any. Just think that he can get through the ground and possibly may be able to set the tempo. Rubbish race so I won't give any other hopes.
Race 2 - Hard to get excited about a field of 6 runners. Belltone has been kind to the Silk supporters lately but at $1.60, I won't be encouraging involvement. If you were after something with a bit more value, I'd be looking at What Happenedhenry. Perhaps the best advice is to watch the race or restock the fridge.
Race 3 - Going to stick with The Barracks after it's last run. Being a Commands, he should handle the wet track well and ran 2nd on his only slow track start. Gets a weight pull on Sway To Go and that might be the difference. Hopes to Sway To Go, Purettan and Touch It.
Race 4 - I wonder if a wet track has ruined a pretty good race here. Going with State Of Wealth but I won't be keen on taking short odds which is likely to be the case. Last start on slow going it won by 4 lengths. I give chances to Florida Fellow, Calculation and Lucky Tycoon.
Race 5 - Although stepping up in weight and distance, I think Shamardashing continues it's winning way. Finished hard to win it's last start so you'd think it would be able to handle the extra 200m. Undefeated on heavy also. Main challengers are Our Cannavaro, Sunshine Angel and Sir Presidente.
Race 6 - Symposium is the class runner here. However it's colours are lowered for me with a wet track. Being a Clang, I'd suspect it won't go too badly in the wet but 57kg could be costly. I'm going for something with next to no weight in Aquatorial. It's run 2 places in it's 2 go's on slow and with Benny Looker's claim will only carry 51kg. Looks like the 1350m should suit. Other chances to Symposium, Show A Lion Heart and Paris Blu.
Race 7 - Tafeer got the biscuits for us last time it raced but it was able to lead easily. Don't think that will be the case here. With that in mind I think Funtantes could get a good run. It goes like a cracker first up and has trained well during the week. Fairly confident it can handle the going and will be primed for another 1st up win. Chances to Alberton Park, Just Been Lucky and Aladah.
Race 8 - Speed kills you maniacs! Some speed freaks involved here but which ones can handle the wet? Haizum has the perfect wet track record so it goes on top for me. It has good 2nd up form and likes the track and distance. With plenty of speed on, it should be able to finish off strong. I give hopes to Monashee Dancer, Nickiera, Multire Music, Seek And Find and Pointe Dancer.
Best Bets
I think today's racing is going to be pretty tough going so finding "good things" will be hard.
Moonee Valley - Race 6 Number 3 Buffering
Race 7 Number 1 Whobegotyou
Race 8 Number 9 King's Rose
Rosehill - Race 1 Number 1 Startreusse
Race 6 Number 1 Pinwheel
Race 7 Number 11 Altius
Race 8 Number 7 Stratford
Doomben - Race 5 Number 1 Shamardashing
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