24/11/12 - Eagle Farm

Eagle Farm

 

Race 1 - Early 2 year old races are always tough to gauge when the majority of the field are untried.  That's the case here.  However there is 1 that has raced and shown ability.  Craiglea Cruz (1) has had 3 race starts and has looked good in all of them.  This speedy customer won last start on slow going and ran reasonably close to Whiskey Allround in it's 2 starts prior.  He can handle all going which is a bonus with the chance of rain.  He will be able to jump and run from the inside draw.  Other hopes to Still As (11), Valhalla Mist (4) and Maracoola (8).

 

Race 2 - Double Impact (5) resumes here after a 5 month break.  Last campaign he raced in group and listed races and was competitive.  He has a good record over this distance winning 2 and placing third in 2 others from 5 starts.  He also races well 1st up.  Will appreciate any sting out of the ground and I would gain further confidence if it hosed down.  Other hopes to Jugahlation (4), Theft (2) and Dr Barnard (9).

 

Race 3 - Heza Jetsetter (1) is looking for 3 straight wins here.  Has to carry 59kg but did carry 58kg when beating Dysfunction 2 starts back who then won on Wednesday.  Last start he narrowly beat General Exhibit which is a horse in form.  He ran on from last in that race so the 1500m and the reasonable speed should suit.  Other hopes to Caballo Rapido (7), Heater (5) and Wonderful Jester (2).

 

Race 4 - I'm sticking with Dodging Eddie (8) in this 2106m race.  He's had the 1 run over this distance and won it.  As noted last time, he's been racing in good form without winning this campaign and now gets to his pet distance.  He'll race with just 51.5kg after the claim for Matheson.  A number of horses engaged like to race forward so that should really suit his strong finish.  Other hopes to Run Royal Run (3), Excellent Al (9) and Marked (1).

***With the scratching of Run Royal Run, I'll promote Dane Princess (11) to the other hopes***

 

Race 5 - The White Hope (6) is in all kinds of hot form at the moment.  He's won 3 from 4 and all 3 wins have been demolition jobs.  He has led them a merry dance and I doubt any of these can go with him.  Drops to 54kg after carry 58 and 59kg in his past 2.  My only concern would be if the track got really wet as he failed badly on debut on heavy going.  Other hopes to Sons Of God (5), My Quilter (3) and Arctic (16).

 

Race 6 - Big field, open race.  I'm going with Soft Angel (16).  This is a lightly raced 4 year old who has been carving Ipswich up.  In it's last 2 starts it has won by 3.3 lengths and 2 lengths while carrying 59 and 58kg.  Yes, those were maiden and class 1 but i think this is a horse with upside.  Something I'm not sure the other have.  This horse will drop to 54kg and has a great record over this trip.  Before breaking it's maiden status it run close to Caellum and Cuddlesome.  From the good gate, Lloyd should be able to position her in a very nice position.  Other hopes to Rocksan (7), Purfectress (2) and Ticket To Dream (8). 

Race 7 - A fair clip should be set here with noted front runner Listen Son pushing over from his wide draw to join the likes of Audacious Spirit, Excellantes and Celtic Dancer.  This will help a horse like Carry Me Bluey (5).  This bloke will get back and will be full of beans in the straight.  He resumes here and his 1st up record is excellent with 2 wins and 2 2nds from 5.  He loves this distance and races well at the track.  Trialled nicely this month and looks primed for a 1st up assault.  Other hopes to Excellantes (4), Easy Running (10) and Mystical Grey (6).

Race 8 - Again we have an open race to finish the day.  I've gone with Saluter (9).  This guy raced well as a 2 year old against some nice types such as Sizzling and Hoss Amor.  He resumed earlier this month and ran 2nd by 1 length carrying 59kg.  He was finishing off nicely that day.  He races well at this track and has raced well for D.Browne.  Should be right in this.  Other hopes to Dr Ichi (5), Spot The Rock (1) and Commandere (13).  I would consider horses such as Divine City, Starlin and Mington for the quaddie.  

Best Bets

Race 4 Number 8 Dodging Eddie
Race 5 Number 6 The White Hope
Race 7 Number 5 Carry Me Bluey