Well it's been a very frustrating Spring Carnival so far. Oaks day really took the cake with five second place finishes. The only saving grace was jagging the first four in race 1 which made handsomely for a smallish field. Maybe I'm a sucker for punishment but I'll go around again Saturday. What else is there to do on a Saturday right?
Eagle Farm
Race 1 - It's been raining Friday afternoon and into the evening so it will be important to see how the track is graded in the morning. We open with the 2 year old colts and geldings. I'm going with the horse with race experience here in the top weight Craiglea Cruz (1). This horse has had 2 starts and has raced well behind Whiskey Allround. In it's most recent start in ran a close 2nd after racing on the speed. He has shown quite a bit of speed and will be able to boot forward from the nice gate. Other hopes to More Than Noble (5), Our Zidane (7) and Shantung Boxer (8).
**With the scratching of More Than Noble, I'll promote Danehill Music (3) to the other hopes**
**With the scratching of More Than Noble, I'll promote Danehill Music (3) to the other hopes**
Race 2 - Adebisi (1) resumes here and should make short work of the opposition. This guy flies fresh as shown by his record of 3 wins from 6 starts when resuming. Last time 1st up he defeated Spirit of Boom. He should jump and run from the 2 gate and prove very hard to run down. Other hopes to Seek And Find (2), Gundy Son (3) and Rocket To Glory (4). It would appear the handicapper has it right!
Race 3 - Easy Running (3) competed in Group races during the winter and resumes here. Last campaign he arrived late to win 1st up over 1000m in Listed company. He has trialled twice leading into this so he should be right to fire. Will be able to sit just behind the leaders and pounce in the straight. Other hopes to Jugahlation (5) and Havatryst (2).
***Keep an eye on the track condition as if it gets in the slow/heavy range, Jugahlation has to really come into consideration***
Race 4 - Wonderful Jester (7) has put together 2 wins on the trot and may have finally worked out what it's all about. Those wins have both been over this distance. Will carry 54kg which is quite a drop on what he has been used to. Michael Cahill should be able to give the horse a terrific run from the inside draw. Other hopes to Binalong Road (5), Jack's Back (1) and Griffith Lad (2).
***With the scratching of Griffith Lad, I'll promote Side To Side (4) to the other hopes***
Race 5 - This looks a tricky race to kick off the quadrella. I'm putting Lightfeet Lady (3) on top. She has done most of her racing in Rockhampton but has joined the Steele Ryan stable in Brisbane. Gets the services of Jimmy Byrne which will help to overcome the awkward barrier. This mare loves the distance winning 4 from 8. Has won 1st up previously. Ran 2nd in the Newmarket last campaign so should be strong over this shorter trip. Other hopes to Zarmarski (6), Royal Shout (8) and Dr Barnard (1).
Race 6 - Not a race I'm keen to get involved in. Funny that, given it's a 2200m race in Brisbane! Run Royal Run will start a deserving short priced favourite. However I think Buffett (4) might be able to get a cheap lead and be very hard to run down. He's been around the mark in these races recently and last start only just went down to RRR. Gets a 4kg weight advantage on that run and that could prove telling. Other hopes to Run Royal Run (3), Attica (1) and Break The Ice (7).
Race 7 - General Exhibit may well blow these away as it's been impressive in it's brief career. However I'm not sure he'll get things his own way from the outside gate. I can see Lady Colours, Joint Iniative and possibly Gwennie, Sigmund and Platinum all trying to push up early on it's inside. If that happens it could set it up for the unlucky Caballo Rapido (5). I think he offers much better value. If the speed is on, he'll be running on. Last time he ran 2nd to Reflectance over 1500m in a race suited to leaders. The horse has a good record at the track and will race with 54kg after the claim for Myers. Other hopes to General Exhibit (1), Heza Jetsetter (6) and Joint Iniative (3).
Race 8 - Boys On Tour (4) looks well placed to win the last. This guy is a noted wet tracker but his form on good going isn't poor. Last campaign he ran 3rd in a Group 3 to Mental. I'm not sure many of these could do the same. His 1st up run a few weeks ago highlighted that the 1400m here will be right up his alley. I think class will prevail. Other hopes to Flying Jet (13), Cyclone Al (1) and Straight (11).
***With the scratchings of Cyclone Al and Straight, I'll promote Chief Bright Star (8) and Tunahog (12)***
Flemington
Race 1 - Number 5 Citations
Race 2 - Number 3 Galah
Race 3 - Number 4 Hoylonny
Race 4 - Number 15 Lampedusa
Race 5 - Number 1 Buffering
Race 6 - Number 17 Free Wheeling
Race 7 - Number 3 Midnight Martini
Race 8 - Number 11 Puissance De Lune
Race 9 - Number 8 Tokugawa
Warwick Farm
Race 1 - Number 6 Kochamma
Race 2 - Number 1 Cantonese
Race 3 - Pass
Race 4 - Number 3 Iggi Pop
Race 5 - Number 6 Specific Choice
Race 6 - Number 3 Leviosa
Race 7 - Number 7 Euphorbia
Race 8 - Number 2 Privately
Best Bets
Eagle Farm - Race 2 Number 1 Adebisi
Race 8 Number 4 Boys On Tour
Flemington - Race 2 Number 3 Galah
Race 5 Number 1 Buffering
Warwick Farm - Race 6 Number 3 Leviosa
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