Friday 2 November 2012

03/11/12 - Eagle Farm, Flemington and Rosehill

Eagle Farm

Race 1 - I'm not interested in getting involved in this race for 2 year old fillies. 

Race 2 - Not a race I'm particularly excited about getting involved in.  Only 6 horses are engaged over 2200m.  I'm putting Topping (3) on top.  He will be a lot fitter after having his 1st run for a month last start where he finished a few lengths off Grey Assignment.  He should be able to control the race from in front.  

Race 3 - Billy Aucash (5) was found out last start over an unsuitably longer distance.  He drops back to his pet distance range.  He won his only start over 1600m and has a win and a 3rd from 3 starts at this track.  Jockey Ryan Wiggins has ridden the horse 5 times for 3 wins and 3rd.  He will be able to get into a good position from the inside draw just behind a couple that will come across from the outside.  Other hopes to Dienekes (1), On Face Value (2) and Cyclone Al (3).

Race 4 - Morning Captain (3) won well start and steps up to a more favourable distance.  That makes him incredibly tough to beat.  He has won 3 times from 5 starts over this distance and goes particularly well at this track.  There doesn't seem to be many horses here that will challenge him for the lead and I can see him just dictating terms and proving very hard to run down.  Other hopes to Fillydelphia (1), Jet Style (10) and St Germaine (5).

Race 5 - Ticket To Dream (5) looks ready to show her best here 3rd up.  She won 3rd up last campaign and put in an encouraging performance last time out.  She narrowly lost that race but it showed that she was looking for the extra trip here.  She's undefeated in 2 starts over this distance.  Ryan Wiggins has ridden the horse in all her wins.  A solid tempo should allow her to really charge home.  Other hopes to Gunner Knox (2), Cracco (6) and Golden Cash (3).

Race 6 - Our Hussey (3) has been racing consistently throughout this campaign.  Last time out she drew a wide gate and showed tremendous fight to narrowly go down after racing 3 wide.  She draws ideally here and will be able to lob right behind the leaders.  Her record at the track and distance is a good one.  She looks well weighted after the claim.  Other hopes to Dream'N'Ignite (10), Empress Me (11) and Raise Up (4). 

Race 7 - Audacious Spirit (10) looks to have been placed really well 1st up to win.  This horse always races well fresh and put in a bottler of a trial leading into this.  His record over this distance is excellent.  Jeff Lloyd is the ideal jockey to get him across to the front from the tricky gate.  From there, I think he can dictate the race.  He has a touch of quality compared to the others.  Other hopes to Balkuin (3), Purettan (6) and Bribie (4).

Race 8 - Looks like a tricky 1000m scamper to finish the card.  There's a lot of horses engaged that have shown a liking for leading.  That should create a fair speed up front.  For that reason, I'm going with a horse that has shown an ability to run on.  Regular (3) looked a nice type of horse in it's initial campaign.  It raced competitively against the likes of Sizzling and Discreet.  It's draw awkwardly but with so many going forward, I think he can get himself into a reasonable position.  Veteran jockey Jim Byrne will help that.  Other hopes to Sunset Affair (9), Rocky King (2) and Harlequin's Gold (4).

Flemington

Race 1 - Number 1 Tatra

Race 2 - Number 1 Gatewood

Race 3 - Number 4 Zydeco

Race 4 - Number 9 Snitzerland

Race 5 - Number 7 Ocean Park

Race 6 - Number 1 It's A Dundeel

Race 7 - Number 1 Streama

Race 8 - Number 1 Tiger Tees

Race 9 - Number 5 Free Wheeling


Rosehill

Race 1 - Number 3 Sessions

Race 2 - Number 6 Sweet Idea

Race 3 - Number 2 Bound To Blush

Race 4 - Number 2 Lucripteous

Race 5 - Number 7 Didntcostalot

Race 6 - Number 2 Merlin Mustang

Race 7 - Number 4 Whisperossa

Race 8 - Number 3 Mecir


Best Bets

Eagle Farm - Race 4 Number 3 Morning Captain
                  Race 6 Number 3 Our Hussey
                  Race 7 Number 10 Audacious Spirit

Flemington - Race 2 Number 1 Gatewood 
                  Race 7 Number 1 Streama 
                  
Rosehill - Race 5 Number 7 Didntcostalot
             Race 8  Number 3 Mecir



      

No comments:

Post a Comment