Friday 29 June 2012

30/06/12 - Caulfield, Rosehill and Sunshine Coast

Caulfield

Race 1 - There should be a solid speed in the opening event.  That should suit my pick, Le Societe (2).  Has the Moody/Nolen combination and will revel in the slow going.  Her 1st 2 starts she looked great winning in these conditions.  Had a tough run last start but still finished just 1.4 lengths from Shopaholic.  Other hopes to Vatican (1), Lovemelongtime (5) and Loveyamadly (7).

Race 2 - By the time you read this, the horse has probably bolted so to speak with Elite Elle (6).  This filly has been absolutely crunched in from $3.80 to $2.20.  She has an unbeaten record and has been mighty impressive in both starts.  Has won on heavy.  Other hopes to Flamberge (1), Haussmann (2) and Grand Emperor (4).

Race 3 - Rue Maple (2) has to lug 60kg here but that may not be enough stop her.  She has the in form Brad Rawiller on board.  She's always thereabouts as her overall record suggests.  She has great slow track form and has won or placed 8 from 11 at the track.  Will take up a great position from the good gate.  Other hopes to Pyrenees Express (10), Songbird Lane (11) and Spurcific (4).

***With the scratching of Songbird Lane, I'll promote Legion's Belle (12) to the other hopes***

Race 4 - Langridge Street (4) has been racing in great heart lately, winning 1 and placing 2nd in it's last 3 starts.  It has a good record over this distance and also hasn't been out of the placings on a slow track.  Last start it beat Turnitup and meets it better at the weights here.  Other hopes to Turnitup (2), Paddy O'Reilly (1) and You Think So (8).

***With the scratching of You Think So, I'll promote Crafty Cruiser (7) to the other hopes***

Race 5 - I don't think there's much separating Platelet and Roses In The Glen.  I think Roses In The Glen (2) gets a much better run and can camp up right on the speed.  Her wet track form is excellent and she loves this distance.   Froggy Newitt rides and he'll be wanting to get the win to help him jag the jockey's premiership.  Other hopes to Platelet (1), Gig (3) and Handcut (13).

***With the scratching of Handcut, I'll promote Champagne Shisha (6) to the other hopes***

Race 6 - Lord Wimble (8) looks a massive chance in this.  Firstly he drops considerably (6kg) in weight here from his past races and gets the champion jockey Glen Boss in the saddle.  His wet track form is good, winning or placing in 5 of 7 races.  His overall record is a good one also.  With the Bossman guiding him, you know he's going to get a great run.  Other hopes to Ebony Rock (7), Streets Away (5) and Cosmic Causeway (3).

Race 7 - Vihanna Victory (10) gets in well here with just 51kg after the claim.  It has won it's only go over this distance and has never been out of the placings on wet tracks.  There doesn't seem to be a great deal of speed here so I think it can push up from the inside draw and take a nice position.  Other hopes to Manhattan Maid (2), Sussuro (4) and Charlie's Queen (7).

Race 8 - I was a little concerned where a lot of these will end up once the gates open.  Jayconi (9) is one such horse that won't have a problem with that.  He'll jump out and head to the front.  I feel that he may be able to control the pace in this race.  He has a good record over this distance and also on slow tracks.  I just feel he'll put himself into the race whereas some of the other hopes might encounter problems.  Other hopes to Hotham Heights (3), Jugahlation (5) and Oregon Spirit (7). 

Rosehill

Race 1 - This is not a race I'll be getting involved in.  I'll be watching with interest Grand Business and Knight Exemplar.

Race 2 - Bello (1) looks right up to winning this.  He'll get a excellent run from the gate and will be able possie up just behind the leader.  He has a great wet track record and likes this track.  His last start 2nd where he ran 1.3 lengths to Eucumbene is excellent for this.  Other hopes to Hendricus (3), Flying Zero (4) and Australian Start (10).

Race 3 - Radharcnafarraige (1) isn't an Irish horse having it's 1st start for the Freedman/Rogerson team.  She won a Group 3 in Ireland over this distance.  She's had 2 trials since coming to Australia and her latest was an impressive effort.  She beat horses such as Lady Lynette and King Lionheart by 5 lengths.  She lead on that occasion and I think she can get to a forward position here.  Has handled all track conditions.  Other hopes to Embark (3), Divya (8) and Jester's Girl (13).

Race 4 - This isn't a race I'm particularly excited about.  Having said that, I think Euryale (11) is a winning chance.  She has won both her starts this campaign at this track and over this distance.  Has won both her starts on heavy going so a wet track won't phase her.  Should enjoy a nice run behind the speed.  Other hopes to Havana Rey (1), Nissile (2) and Cumin (5).


Race 5 - River Of Salvation (3) will lead here and I think can control the race.  He has won 3 from 4 over this distance.  He would ideally like the track to get to dead but has a slow track win to his credit.  Robl is a good booking to guide this bloke to victory.  Other hopes to Sindarin (12), Let Them Have It (6) and Calvo (10).


Race 6 - Ideal Position (8) grabbed the chocolates for us last time and I'm thinking he can repeat the dose here.  He has a great overall record, winning 8 from 15.  He came to this track last start and won over this distance on slow going.  Will position himself midfield and come home with a flurry.  Other hopes to Alberton Park (4), Think Mink (9) and Tromso (3).


Race 7 - Going with Turf Hero (7) in this.  He has a good record over this distance and can handle all types of going.  He came very close to beating Famous Seamus last start and raced very well against Dee 'n Gee a few months ago.  He should be able to position himself handy from the good gate.  Other hopes to Whitlam (11), Earnest Ernest (12) and Kirinata (8).

***With the scratching of Turf Hero, I'll make Earnest Ernest (12) my top pick and promote Martin Place (4) to the other hopes***


Race 8 - I'm keeping the faith with Harry Trimbole (11) in the last.  He goes particularly well on dead/slow tracks.  He's raced reasonably well in his last 2 starts and I think he's due to win.  Other hopes to Tropicana Girl (9), Glintz (2) and Lethal Arrow (7).


Sunshine Coast


Race 1 - With a heavy 10 track and that's probably being conservative, I'm on the look out for noted mudlarks.  In this race Vipera Gold (1) fits that bill.  This mare thrives in the wet, possessing a record of 8 wins or placings on wet tracks from 10 tries.  She has a good record at the track and won her only start over this distance here.  Other hopes to Miss Barwang (3), Mossriver (2) and Pretty Composed (9).


Race 2 - I was on Telesto Warrior (8) Ipswich Cup day and felt he was a little unlucky.  I'm sticking with him here.  He has won 2 from 5 on heavy and the last of those wins was a 4 length win over Ausworld who he faces here.  This is his pet distance and will carry just 51kg after the claim.  Other hopes to Ausworld (6), Grey Assignment (7) and Lake George (4).


Race 3 - I would prefer the price on offer for The Ringmaster (2) to be higher but the fact of the matter is that he's a classy horse.  He hasn't raced on worse than dead but he's by noted wet tracker Clang so I'm going to put my trust in him handling the ground.  His perfect 3 from 3 1st up record and 3 from 3 over this distance record is hard to ignore.  Other hopes to Jopa (7), Pattie's Mate (4) and Product (10).


Race 4 - I'm not going anywhere near this race.  


Race 5 - I'm putting Venture On (7) on top in the Guineas.  He hasn't come across a heavy track but he has a win and 3rd on slow going to his credit.  He is unbeaten at the track from 3 starts.  His last start 2nd to Mental where he finished off really well should have him aiming up here.  Other hopes to Double Impact (1), Peppered Black (3) and Ametsis (15).


Race 6 - Jetset Lad (3) has been flying in his last 2 starts, narrowly going down in both.  He has a respectable heavy track record and likes this distance.  He looks due.  Other hopes to Meet George (10), Vareena Miss (5) and Phelan Ready (1).


Race 7 - I'm a big fan of Shenzhou Steeds but I feel the 58kg may find him out.  I'm going with Roi D'Jeu.  He almost pulled off a win over 3200m last start in Sydney on a bog track.  It was a real slog that day and I liked his fighting qualities.  It will be the same in this race.  Other hopes to Shenzhou Steeds (1), Winmara (9) and Za Magic (7).


Race 8 - I really like the look of Cash 'n' Style (5) in the last.  This guy has come back in great style after nearly a year off.  He has a 2 wins and 2nd in those 3 starts.  He has a good wet track record, winning or placing in 5 of 7.  He likes this track and gets in with just 52kg after the claim.  Other hopes to Kiss Me Deadly (6), Mr Orient (1) and Leicester Square (4).

***With the scratching of Leicester Square, I'll promote Darth (15) to the other hopes***


Best Bets


Caulfield - Race 2 Number 6 Elite Elle
              Race 6 Number 8 Lord Wimble


Rosehill - Race 5 Number 3 River Of Salvation
             Race 6 Number 8 Ideal Position


Sunshine Coast - Race 1 Number 1 Vipera Gold
                        Race 8 Number 5 Cash 'n' Style    



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