Flemington
Race 1 - Not a race I'm particularly keen to get involved in. Backing 2 year olds on a potentially heavy track is fraught with danger. Having said that, the 2 that I would be interested in are General Orders (1) and Royal Chassis (8). Both horses have seen heavy going and ran well on it.
Race 2 - Again we have 2 year olds on wet tracks but in this case there's next to no wet track form to speak of. I'll sit this one out.
Race 3 - I think Crabs (3) can turn the tables on Swooper here. Last start Crabs went down by 1.2 lengths over 2400m. On that occasion he wasn't given the best of chances with the way he was ridden yet still fought on well. With a better ride here, he can be right in the finish. Swooper will carry 59kg while Crabs gets in with 54.5kg after the claim. That could be crucial on a heavy track. Crabs has also shown a liking to this distance, winning or placing 8 out of 12 times. His slow track stats are exceptional. Other hopes to Swooper (1), Streaky Fella (9) and Lordoftheparrots (6).
Race 4 - Rushworth (5) looks hard to beat. The jockey probably went a little late last time and just missed out. He hit the line really well. The start prior, it won by 6.5 lengths on a heavy track. Other hopes to Molvivre (2), That's The Way (9) and You Tell Me (4).
Race 5 - Future Solution (15) looked good resuming when it ran 3rd by just a half a length over 1400m. It raced in the worst going on the inside when they were coming down the outside. It loves a wet track and has a good record over this distance. I would imagine it will get a good run from that barrier. Has Froggy Newitt on board who is chasing the jockey's premiership. Other hopes to There's Only One (10), Doubtful Jack (3) and Sophrosyne (12).
Race 6 - Menados (8) is a promising type who is putting together a nice record. He has won 3 of his 5 starts. He also has a slow and a heavy track win to his credit. Drops to 54kg after winning with 60kg last start. Although he has a wide gate, King should be able to slot him in nicely behind the leaders. Other hopes to Ebony Rock (3), Academy Jack (10) and Population (1).
Race 7 - Johannapine (9) looks incredibly hard to beat here. She should have won 1st up but was hindered at the 300m before getting going again. She gets a big weight relief on those that she faced last start. Has a great record 2nd up, over this distance and on wet tracks. I can't see her getting beaten. For the multiples I would include Dash of Viz (8) and Alpha Proxima (1).
Race 8 - Turner Bayou grabbed the cash for The Silk last time out at great odds but I'm going against him this time. I'll be with Genuine Spin (8). This Moody trained horse has raced quite well in it's short career. After an easy win over 1600m on heavy, she ran 2nd to Aeronwy who has since won again. In that raced it ran wide throughout but still managed to box on. It has won or placed on it's 2 goes on wet tracks. Gets in with 54kg. Other hopes to Turner Bayou (3), Rock Wizard (7) and Burnout (2).
Warwick Farm
Race 1 - I won't be getting overly involved here. I'll have a small wager on Headless (4). This filly had a reasonable opening campaign in QLD. Her last start before a spell, she ran within 1.3 lengths of Doubtfilly who went on to run 4th in the Golden Slipper. Can handle a wet track. Will probably head to the front or handy from the inside gate. Other hopes to Agulhas (9), Magondo (7) and Zin Zan Eddie (3).
Race 2 - I'm not keen on this race.
Race 3 - This looks a little tricky to me. I'm going with the Hawkes runner, Blue Lion (10). It has only had the 1 start which it won in impressive fashion by 4.5 lengths. I wouldn't imagine that the wet track will hinder it too much. Should be able to just camp behind the leaders from the good gate. Being a Zabeel, it should be strong at the finish. Will carry just 52.5kg. Other hopes to Green Beret (4), Malavio (2) and Queenian (1).
Race 4 - San Zaim (6) won well last start against the girls. Steps up to 1600m and against the boys but I don't think that will stop her. She has a good record over this trip and handles the wet. She also has won her only start here. I just think she is travelling much better than the others. Other hopes to Erewhon (2), Altered Boy (3) and Glintz (5).
Race 5 - On the strength of his wet track form, I'm going with Harry Trimbole (8). This guy has won or placed 6 from 8 on wet tracks. He came 2nd by the narrowest of margins last start over 2000m. Think the 2200m here should suit. The 54.5kg will seem like a luxury after lumping big weights in recent starts. Other hopes to Red Eye Special (5), Sour Mash (7) and Southern Shimmer (9).
Race 6 - Romanus (8) hardly ever wins but such is the standard of this race, I'm going with him here. 3 wins from 31 starts doesn't fill one with confidence but he's usually thereabouts. I feel that there could be a bit of a battle up front and this bloke will able to sit behind them waiting to pounce. Has shown an ability to handle a wet track. Other hopes to Coup Ay Tee (4), From The Vault (10) and Zakynthos Imprintz (2).
Race 7 - Urgent Bells (9) has built a nice record up over her 14 starts. She's only been out of the placings 4 times in those. She likes this distance, goes well on a wet track and has a good 1st up record. She has warmed up for this with a couple of nice trials. She will be able to sit in behind the speed and unleash her trademark finish. Other hopes to Empress Milly (10), Girls Go Racing (2) and Dehere Hunter (6).
Race 8 - Rushing To Win (7) has started her career in excellent fashion, only losing the 1 start from 5. She steps up to 1400m here which she has never seen before. I'm willing to give her the benefit of the doubt and say she can get it. She should be able to get to the front from the nice gate and I'm hoping she can dictate the speed. Her wet track form is good. Other hopes to Disputes (2), Madam Nash (1) and Fashion (4).
Eagle Farm
Race 1 - This is a competitive race with numerous winning hopes. I'm going with Raise Up (4). Has the experience of K. McEvoy on top who has ridden the horse it's last 2 starts to good results. He loves this track, being in the placings 8 from 9 times. Other hopes to Thefifthhole (1), Tahitian Black (11) and Captain Clayton (2).
Race 2 - Stradon (7) ran really well last start in the Group 2 QLD Guineas where he ran 3rd by 1.4 lengths. This is an easier assignment than that race. I can see him getting a great run from the good gate. I really think he's coming into his own at the moment. Other hopes to Howmuchdoyouloveme (4), War Charm (3) and Viking Heart (10).
Race 3 - Oak Street (9) should be able to lead here and dictate terms. That's how he does his best racing. His last 2 starts have been horrors but 3 starts back he beat Solzhenitsyn at this track and distance. Gets a firmer track here which will be to his liking. His record here is excellent. Other hopes to Bianca Jewel (5), Dusty Gold (8) and Fire Up Fifi (11).
Race 4 - Sunset Affair (12) looks to be great value here. Has only had the 3 starts but has looked good in all of them. She has shown an ability to run on which will help in this 1400m race. She should get an excellent run from the nice gate. Something that can't be said for the favourite Hoss Amor. I think she can turn the tables on that horse. Other hopes to Holey Gadoley (1), Hoss Amor (8) and Discreet (9).
Race 5 - I'm taking the chance that Hugh Bowman won't crucify Firebolt (1) 2 starts in a row. The horse has been racing really well lately and this looks taylor made for him. He has a good record at this track and loves this distance. Other hopes to Carry Me Bluey (5), Mystical Grey (4) and Jetset Lad (2).
Race 6 - I was on Kinnersley (4) last week when he was nutted in the dying stages of the Ipswich Cup. I'm sticking solid in this race. This horse has a good record over the distance and likes a firm track. He's on the quick back up which I'm hoping means the Waterhouse team think he's in good shape. His form has been excellent recently. I can see him getting a lovely run for Munce. Other hopes to Wazn (6), Maythehorsebemagic (15) and Ginga Dude (1).
Race 7 - The Tatts Tiara looks a cracking race. I'm going with Bonnie Mac (14). This horse has put together a super record, winning 5 from 7. She'll will get a gun run from the nice draw. I'm prepared to forget her last start as she was slow away and it was on heavy going. Having said that, she still made ground. Her starts prior to that were excellent. She loves a dead/good track and has a good record over this distance. Other hopes to Soft Sand (17), Red Tracer (2) and Shopaholic (15).
Race 8 - There should be a solid pace set here and for that reason, I'm going with Griffon (8). Last start he was having his 1st run 6 months and what an effort it was. He flew home and word from people at the track was that you could hear jockey Paul Hammersley making steam train noises in the straight. He has a good 2nd up record and has won his only start at this track. Other hopes to Tromso (5), Excellantes (4) and Havatryst (9).
Best Bets
Flemington - Race 4 Number 5 Rushworth
Race 7 Number 9 Johannapine
Warwick Farm - Race 4 Number 6 San Zaim
Race 7 Number 9 Urgent Bells
Eagle Farm - Race 5 Number 1 Firebolt
Race 4 - Rushworth (5) looks hard to beat. The jockey probably went a little late last time and just missed out. He hit the line really well. The start prior, it won by 6.5 lengths on a heavy track. Other hopes to Molvivre (2), That's The Way (9) and You Tell Me (4).
Race 5 - Future Solution (15) looked good resuming when it ran 3rd by just a half a length over 1400m. It raced in the worst going on the inside when they were coming down the outside. It loves a wet track and has a good record over this distance. I would imagine it will get a good run from that barrier. Has Froggy Newitt on board who is chasing the jockey's premiership. Other hopes to There's Only One (10), Doubtful Jack (3) and Sophrosyne (12).
Race 6 - Menados (8) is a promising type who is putting together a nice record. He has won 3 of his 5 starts. He also has a slow and a heavy track win to his credit. Drops to 54kg after winning with 60kg last start. Although he has a wide gate, King should be able to slot him in nicely behind the leaders. Other hopes to Ebony Rock (3), Academy Jack (10) and Population (1).
Race 7 - Johannapine (9) looks incredibly hard to beat here. She should have won 1st up but was hindered at the 300m before getting going again. She gets a big weight relief on those that she faced last start. Has a great record 2nd up, over this distance and on wet tracks. I can't see her getting beaten. For the multiples I would include Dash of Viz (8) and Alpha Proxima (1).
Race 8 - Turner Bayou grabbed the cash for The Silk last time out at great odds but I'm going against him this time. I'll be with Genuine Spin (8). This Moody trained horse has raced quite well in it's short career. After an easy win over 1600m on heavy, she ran 2nd to Aeronwy who has since won again. In that raced it ran wide throughout but still managed to box on. It has won or placed on it's 2 goes on wet tracks. Gets in with 54kg. Other hopes to Turner Bayou (3), Rock Wizard (7) and Burnout (2).
Warwick Farm
Race 1 - I won't be getting overly involved here. I'll have a small wager on Headless (4). This filly had a reasonable opening campaign in QLD. Her last start before a spell, she ran within 1.3 lengths of Doubtfilly who went on to run 4th in the Golden Slipper. Can handle a wet track. Will probably head to the front or handy from the inside gate. Other hopes to Agulhas (9), Magondo (7) and Zin Zan Eddie (3).
Race 2 - I'm not keen on this race.
Race 3 - This looks a little tricky to me. I'm going with the Hawkes runner, Blue Lion (10). It has only had the 1 start which it won in impressive fashion by 4.5 lengths. I wouldn't imagine that the wet track will hinder it too much. Should be able to just camp behind the leaders from the good gate. Being a Zabeel, it should be strong at the finish. Will carry just 52.5kg. Other hopes to Green Beret (4), Malavio (2) and Queenian (1).
Race 4 - San Zaim (6) won well last start against the girls. Steps up to 1600m and against the boys but I don't think that will stop her. She has a good record over this trip and handles the wet. She also has won her only start here. I just think she is travelling much better than the others. Other hopes to Erewhon (2), Altered Boy (3) and Glintz (5).
Race 5 - On the strength of his wet track form, I'm going with Harry Trimbole (8). This guy has won or placed 6 from 8 on wet tracks. He came 2nd by the narrowest of margins last start over 2000m. Think the 2200m here should suit. The 54.5kg will seem like a luxury after lumping big weights in recent starts. Other hopes to Red Eye Special (5), Sour Mash (7) and Southern Shimmer (9).
Race 6 - Romanus (8) hardly ever wins but such is the standard of this race, I'm going with him here. 3 wins from 31 starts doesn't fill one with confidence but he's usually thereabouts. I feel that there could be a bit of a battle up front and this bloke will able to sit behind them waiting to pounce. Has shown an ability to handle a wet track. Other hopes to Coup Ay Tee (4), From The Vault (10) and Zakynthos Imprintz (2).
Race 7 - Urgent Bells (9) has built a nice record up over her 14 starts. She's only been out of the placings 4 times in those. She likes this distance, goes well on a wet track and has a good 1st up record. She has warmed up for this with a couple of nice trials. She will be able to sit in behind the speed and unleash her trademark finish. Other hopes to Empress Milly (10), Girls Go Racing (2) and Dehere Hunter (6).
Race 8 - Rushing To Win (7) has started her career in excellent fashion, only losing the 1 start from 5. She steps up to 1400m here which she has never seen before. I'm willing to give her the benefit of the doubt and say she can get it. She should be able to get to the front from the nice gate and I'm hoping she can dictate the speed. Her wet track form is good. Other hopes to Disputes (2), Madam Nash (1) and Fashion (4).
Eagle Farm
Race 1 - This is a competitive race with numerous winning hopes. I'm going with Raise Up (4). Has the experience of K. McEvoy on top who has ridden the horse it's last 2 starts to good results. He loves this track, being in the placings 8 from 9 times. Other hopes to Thefifthhole (1), Tahitian Black (11) and Captain Clayton (2).
Race 2 - Stradon (7) ran really well last start in the Group 2 QLD Guineas where he ran 3rd by 1.4 lengths. This is an easier assignment than that race. I can see him getting a great run from the good gate. I really think he's coming into his own at the moment. Other hopes to Howmuchdoyouloveme (4), War Charm (3) and Viking Heart (10).
Race 3 - Oak Street (9) should be able to lead here and dictate terms. That's how he does his best racing. His last 2 starts have been horrors but 3 starts back he beat Solzhenitsyn at this track and distance. Gets a firmer track here which will be to his liking. His record here is excellent. Other hopes to Bianca Jewel (5), Dusty Gold (8) and Fire Up Fifi (11).
Race 4 - Sunset Affair (12) looks to be great value here. Has only had the 3 starts but has looked good in all of them. She has shown an ability to run on which will help in this 1400m race. She should get an excellent run from the nice gate. Something that can't be said for the favourite Hoss Amor. I think she can turn the tables on that horse. Other hopes to Holey Gadoley (1), Hoss Amor (8) and Discreet (9).
Race 5 - I'm taking the chance that Hugh Bowman won't crucify Firebolt (1) 2 starts in a row. The horse has been racing really well lately and this looks taylor made for him. He has a good record at this track and loves this distance. Other hopes to Carry Me Bluey (5), Mystical Grey (4) and Jetset Lad (2).
Race 6 - I was on Kinnersley (4) last week when he was nutted in the dying stages of the Ipswich Cup. I'm sticking solid in this race. This horse has a good record over the distance and likes a firm track. He's on the quick back up which I'm hoping means the Waterhouse team think he's in good shape. His form has been excellent recently. I can see him getting a lovely run for Munce. Other hopes to Wazn (6), Maythehorsebemagic (15) and Ginga Dude (1).
Race 7 - The Tatts Tiara looks a cracking race. I'm going with Bonnie Mac (14). This horse has put together a super record, winning 5 from 7. She'll will get a gun run from the nice draw. I'm prepared to forget her last start as she was slow away and it was on heavy going. Having said that, she still made ground. Her starts prior to that were excellent. She loves a dead/good track and has a good record over this distance. Other hopes to Soft Sand (17), Red Tracer (2) and Shopaholic (15).
Race 8 - There should be a solid pace set here and for that reason, I'm going with Griffon (8). Last start he was having his 1st run 6 months and what an effort it was. He flew home and word from people at the track was that you could hear jockey Paul Hammersley making steam train noises in the straight. He has a good 2nd up record and has won his only start at this track. Other hopes to Tromso (5), Excellantes (4) and Havatryst (9).
Best Bets
Flemington - Race 4 Number 5 Rushworth
Race 7 Number 9 Johannapine
Warwick Farm - Race 4 Number 6 San Zaim
Race 7 Number 9 Urgent Bells
Eagle Farm - Race 5 Number 1 Firebolt
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