The less said about last week's efforts the better. The Silk was in good form leading into last Saturday but obviously annoyed the punting gods. We'll put that behind us and move forward.
Caulfield
Race 1 - Pakari Toa is a horse that interests me in the opening race. This horse has won 2 of it's 3 career starts. Looked good winning easily it's 1st 2 runs before an average run in the Zeditave. Will more than likely lead here which will assist on a heavy track. Champion jockey Damian Oliver rides. Other hopes to Zamorar and Platelet.
Race 2 - Pass. Next to no heavy track form for these youngsters.
Race 3 - Placement is a model of consistency. She just doesn't run a bad race. She gets in here with just 52kg after the claim for Duffy. Has an outside gate but should be able to get to the front with minimal effort to control the race. A wet track won't faze her. Rock hard fit. Other hopes to Hurdy Gurdy Man, Domesky and Finiguerra.
***With the scratching of Placement, I'll promote Hurdy Gurdy Man to top pick and make Geejayhaitch an other hope***
***With the scratching of Placement, I'll promote Hurdy Gurdy Man to top pick and make Geejayhaitch an other hope***
Race 4 - Johannapine looks the testing material here. Has won 3 of it's 5 starts and has looked good doing so. Loves this distance, winning 2 from 3 and running 2nd the other. Has won it's only start on a heavy track. There should be a decent speed set here which will suit her as she'll be camping in just behind. Other hopes to Queen Delight, Galbraith and Alpha Proxima.
Race 5 - I do like Soft Sand but I'm not about to take $2 about her. Rue Maple offers much better value. She races very well at Caulfield where she has placed 7 out of her 10 runs. This is her pet distance also. Has a very good record on rain affected tracks. Her form has been very good this campaign and she'll get a much better run than last time where she was left a sitting duck. Other hopes to Soft Sand, Riviere and Gossip Girl.
Race 6 - Not a race I'm particularly keen to get involved in. I'll have a small wager on Two Sugars. It has won or placed on slow and heavy tracks every time it's been on them. It races well over 1600m where it has a win and 2 placings to it's credit. I just think it offers a bit of double figure value in a tricky race. Other hopes to Tai Tai Tess, Ominous Quality and Lakers Bay.
Race 7 - Stratigraphy looks a very good chance in this race. Raced very well 1st up behind Classy Chloe at this track. He has a win and a 2nd in his 2 2nd up efforts. Has shown an ability to handle rain affected tracks. Oliver should give him a nice run. Other hopes to Roses In The Glen, Club Command and Manhatten Maid.
Race 8 - Shenzhou Steeds was impressive last start when he won over this distance last start. Has won 3 from 5 over this trip. Unbeaten in 3 races on slow going. Will race in a prominent position and be hard to hold out. Other hopes to Jungle Ruler, Banca Mo and Eraset.
***With the scratching of Eraset, I'll promote Under The Eiffel to the other hopes***
Rosehill
Race 1 - Sherwood won well in it's 1st race start in a Bendigo maiden. The Hawkes team bring him to Sydney here and I think he'll prove hard to beat. He should get a good run racing on the speed. Down in the weights.
Race 2 - Not overly keen on this race for 2 year olds. Kabayan on top from Genteel.
Race 3 - Rockafellacentre looks a nice type on the up. It has won 2 of it's 3 starts. It has stepped up in distance each start and has handled it well. Will more than likely lead and if it's last 2 starts are anything to go by, it will keep finding the line. Hardest to beat Lucripetous.
Race 4 - Again I'm not keen on this race at all. I'll have a small wager on Arms Length. It has a good record over this distance, winning 1 and placing 2nd from 4. Does her best work on good to dead tracks.
Race 5 - Rain Drum could dictate terms here with an easy lead. Alternates between win and placing and is on the win cycle now. But seriously the form of this horse is sound. Has never been out of the top 3 from 9 starts. Goes particularly well on good to dead tracks. Weight shouldn't be a problem as it's won with this weight before. Other hopes to Southern Shimmer, Roi D'Jeu and Shamardani.
Race 6 - Red Tracer has been racing in Group 1 company and comes back to a handicap. She should have too much class for these. Has won twice at this track before and has a good record over the distance. Will race up on the speed and be hard to run down. Other hopes to Falzzon, Tromso and Recorrido.
***With the scratching of Red Tracer, I'll make Tromso may top pick and promote Youthful Jack to the other hopes***
Race 7 - Another tricky race. I'm going with Turf Hero. Has been racing in good form lately. Prior to getting checked out of the race last start where Mental won, he was competitive with Dee'N'Gee. Races well over this trip and on good to dead surfaces. Should be able to race very handy. Other hopes to Embark, Altai Warrior and See The World.
Race 8 - I've really struggled with this race. I think there could be a bit of a go in front here which should suit something running on. For that reason, I'm going with Scottish Border. Generally it races over much longer trips than this but it's 1st up run over 1300m where it ran on well for 4th. It has a good 2nd up record and also has raced well over this trip. I just think it offers good value at the $21 mark. Other hopes to Winning Glory, Erewhon and Pontiana.
Doomben
Race 1 - I'll be steering clear of this race. Just too many chances to narrow it down.
Race 2 - If Kelbenjar jumps cleanly, he should be able to position himself in a prominent position. If that's the case, he'll be mighty hard to beat. Has had excuses in better quality races than this recently but still you could find positives in those runs. Will handle any going and is a winner at this track and distance. Other hopes to Stradon, Divine City and Longshoreman.
Race 3 - Tough little race this 1. I've lobbed on Choice Bro. This is a Group 1 and 3 winning horse in NZ and I think he will be improved 2nd up. Should be able to race handy from his inside draw. Other hopes to Hoss Amor, Saturn Rock and Midnight Fury.
Race 4 - I suspect there will be quite a lot of scratchings here with many of the chances drawing wide. (Got that wrong) Emvoss has drawn favourably in 7 and that should prove very beneficial. This horse has put together a very good record, winning 4 from 11. Over this distance he has a great record, winning 2 and placing in 2 others from 4 tries. Has a slow track placing if the track ends up wet. Other hopes to Demanding Miss, My Quilter and Zekeza.
Race 5 - This looks like a Moody domination. I've backed Soros to win the Derby so I'm hoping for a big showing here. I think we'll get it too. His last 2 runs have been full of merit. The way he finishes off, the 2200m should not be a problem. He has a good record on dead and slow tracks. Other hopes to Vatuvei, Brambles and Hula Lua.
***With the scratching of Hula Lua, I'll promote Red Shift to the other hopes***
Race 6 - Dance With Her is going gangbusters at the moment. She's won her last 2 in listed company over 2350m and 2005m. Getting the trip will not be a problem. Will race up handy and prove hard to run down. Any dampness in the track will only help her. Drops 3kg on her last start. Other hopes to Wazn, Absolutely and Shamardashing.
Race 7 - Sea Siren picked up the biscuits last start for The Silk and I'm going to stay solid here. She was very impressive in that BTC Cup. If the track is slow then she should handle it given she came within a whisker of beating Streama on it a few starts back. She will be able to settle handy and be tough to run down. Will also be all the fitter 2nd up. Other hopes to Mid Sommer Music, Temple Of Boom and Beaded.
Race 8 - From the inside draw, Seek And Find will take a tonne of running down. This guy just loves Doomben, winning 6 from 12. Importantly, he can handle any surface. Drops in weight for winning last start. Other hopes to Rocker, Gundy Son and Excellantes.
Best Bets
Caulfield - Race 4 Number 9 Johannapine
Race 7 Number 9 Stratigraphy
Race 8 Number 6 Shenzhou Steeds
Rosehill - Race 5 Number 2 Rain Drum
Doomben - Race 4 Number 8 Emvoss
Race 6 Number 4 Dance With Her
Race 8 Number 4 Seek And Find
***With the scratching of Eraset, I'll promote Under The Eiffel to the other hopes***
Rosehill
Race 1 - Sherwood won well in it's 1st race start in a Bendigo maiden. The Hawkes team bring him to Sydney here and I think he'll prove hard to beat. He should get a good run racing on the speed. Down in the weights.
Race 2 - Not overly keen on this race for 2 year olds. Kabayan on top from Genteel.
Race 3 - Rockafellacentre looks a nice type on the up. It has won 2 of it's 3 starts. It has stepped up in distance each start and has handled it well. Will more than likely lead and if it's last 2 starts are anything to go by, it will keep finding the line. Hardest to beat Lucripetous.
Race 4 - Again I'm not keen on this race at all. I'll have a small wager on Arms Length. It has a good record over this distance, winning 1 and placing 2nd from 4. Does her best work on good to dead tracks.
Race 5 - Rain Drum could dictate terms here with an easy lead. Alternates between win and placing and is on the win cycle now. But seriously the form of this horse is sound. Has never been out of the top 3 from 9 starts. Goes particularly well on good to dead tracks. Weight shouldn't be a problem as it's won with this weight before. Other hopes to Southern Shimmer, Roi D'Jeu and Shamardani.
Race 6 - Red Tracer has been racing in Group 1 company and comes back to a handicap. She should have too much class for these. Has won twice at this track before and has a good record over the distance. Will race up on the speed and be hard to run down. Other hopes to Falzzon, Tromso and Recorrido.
***With the scratching of Red Tracer, I'll make Tromso may top pick and promote Youthful Jack to the other hopes***
Race 7 - Another tricky race. I'm going with Turf Hero. Has been racing in good form lately. Prior to getting checked out of the race last start where Mental won, he was competitive with Dee'N'Gee. Races well over this trip and on good to dead surfaces. Should be able to race very handy. Other hopes to Embark, Altai Warrior and See The World.
Race 8 - I've really struggled with this race. I think there could be a bit of a go in front here which should suit something running on. For that reason, I'm going with Scottish Border. Generally it races over much longer trips than this but it's 1st up run over 1300m where it ran on well for 4th. It has a good 2nd up record and also has raced well over this trip. I just think it offers good value at the $21 mark. Other hopes to Winning Glory, Erewhon and Pontiana.
Doomben
Race 1 - I'll be steering clear of this race. Just too many chances to narrow it down.
Race 2 - If Kelbenjar jumps cleanly, he should be able to position himself in a prominent position. If that's the case, he'll be mighty hard to beat. Has had excuses in better quality races than this recently but still you could find positives in those runs. Will handle any going and is a winner at this track and distance. Other hopes to Stradon, Divine City and Longshoreman.
Race 3 - Tough little race this 1. I've lobbed on Choice Bro. This is a Group 1 and 3 winning horse in NZ and I think he will be improved 2nd up. Should be able to race handy from his inside draw. Other hopes to Hoss Amor, Saturn Rock and Midnight Fury.
Race 4 - I suspect there will be quite a lot of scratchings here with many of the chances drawing wide. (Got that wrong) Emvoss has drawn favourably in 7 and that should prove very beneficial. This horse has put together a very good record, winning 4 from 11. Over this distance he has a great record, winning 2 and placing in 2 others from 4 tries. Has a slow track placing if the track ends up wet. Other hopes to Demanding Miss, My Quilter and Zekeza.
Race 5 - This looks like a Moody domination. I've backed Soros to win the Derby so I'm hoping for a big showing here. I think we'll get it too. His last 2 runs have been full of merit. The way he finishes off, the 2200m should not be a problem. He has a good record on dead and slow tracks. Other hopes to Vatuvei, Brambles and Hula Lua.
***With the scratching of Hula Lua, I'll promote Red Shift to the other hopes***
Race 6 - Dance With Her is going gangbusters at the moment. She's won her last 2 in listed company over 2350m and 2005m. Getting the trip will not be a problem. Will race up handy and prove hard to run down. Any dampness in the track will only help her. Drops 3kg on her last start. Other hopes to Wazn, Absolutely and Shamardashing.
Race 7 - Sea Siren picked up the biscuits last start for The Silk and I'm going to stay solid here. She was very impressive in that BTC Cup. If the track is slow then she should handle it given she came within a whisker of beating Streama on it a few starts back. She will be able to settle handy and be tough to run down. Will also be all the fitter 2nd up. Other hopes to Mid Sommer Music, Temple Of Boom and Beaded.
Race 8 - From the inside draw, Seek And Find will take a tonne of running down. This guy just loves Doomben, winning 6 from 12. Importantly, he can handle any surface. Drops in weight for winning last start. Other hopes to Rocker, Gundy Son and Excellantes.
Best Bets
Caulfield - Race 4 Number 9 Johannapine
Race 7 Number 9 Stratigraphy
Race 8 Number 6 Shenzhou Steeds
Rosehill - Race 5 Number 2 Rain Drum
Doomben - Race 4 Number 8 Emvoss
Race 6 Number 4 Dance With Her
Race 8 Number 4 Seek And Find
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