Race 1 - Pass. Too many unraced 2 year olds.
Race 2 - Not a race that I'll be getting too involved in. Donna Cattiva won by 4 lengths last start in a listed Adelaide race where it ran considerably quicker than older horses in other 1600m races. Will be able to stalk Fiveandahalfstar in running.
Race 3 - Xavi ran 2nd to Hot Lover last start and I think he can turn the tables here. Xavi gets a 2kg weight advantage over Hot Lover. Last start Xavi ran 3 wide with no cover but should get a much better run on the speed here. Loves a dead track. Other hopes to Hot Lover, The New Boy and Kinselmac Manner.
***With the scratching of Xavi, I'll make Hot Lover my top pick and promote Cash Bound to the other hopes***
***With the scratching of Xavi, I'll make Hot Lover my top pick and promote Cash Bound to the other hopes***
Race 4 - Noble Park was no match for Mr O'Ceirin last start but it gapped the rest in that race over 2000m. It has a great overall record, winning 4 from 9. Importantly it has never been out of a place in 2 starts at this track and distance. Loves a dead track. Will get a much easier run here and should prove hard to run down. Other hopes to Module, Elusive King and Chasse.
Race 5 - I'm very wary of this race. Can Stratcombe lead and win or will Shopaholic be able to come over the top? Those are questions I've taken a lot time considering. I'm going with Shopaholic. This horse ran super last campaign where it beat Mosheen. It has a great 1st up record, winning 2 from 3. Loves a dead track. In it's favour is that it will carry 54.5 kg, a 4kg advantage over Stratcombe. With a clear run, it will prove hard to beat. Other hopes to Stratcombe, Liveandletdie and Elusive Touch.
Race 6 - I'm putting Almodovar on top here. It races well at this track and prefers dead to good ground which it gets. Although he's been beaten by Maythehorsebemagic and also Dame Claire recently, I think he can turn the tables. He'll be able to position himself nicely from the inside draw and race handy. That should be the key. Other hopes to Maythehorsebemagic, Kirribilli Gold and Dame Claire.
Race 7 - Admantium looks very well placed here. Gets in with 54.5kg which is a steal considering this horse was placed in a Group 2 and a Group 1 last campaign. Goes particularly well 2nd up and likes a dead track. Other hopes to Freereturn, Utah Saints and Chosen To Fly.
Race 8 - I'll go with the frog, Puissance De Lune in the get out. Tough race but this horse looked really good when winning it's 1st start in Australia. Came with a storming run which it will have to do here with the outside draw. Won it's only 2nd up effort in the past. Will eat up a dead track. Other hopes to Gail, Neriani and Cosmic Causeway.
***With the scratchings of Puissance De Lune and Cosmic Causeway, I'll make Gail my top pick and promote Zaamore to the other hopes***
***With the scratchings of Puissance De Lune and Cosmic Causeway, I'll make Gail my top pick and promote Zaamore to the other hopes***
Doomben
Race 1 - There is going to be a fair speed set here and for that reason I'm going with Falino. He'll be able to camp in behind the speed and come over the top. He had 2 runs last campaign and both were average on face value. However there were reasons for that and I'm willing to forgive that. Goes well fresh and loves this track. Other hopes to Skating On Ice, Prost and Audacious Spirit.
Race 2 - Sizzling should be too strong here. Was super impressive winning 1st up on the heavy surface at the Coast. It's form last campaign was excellent where it ran well in the Magic Millions and other Group and Listed races. Other hopes to Dances On Stars, Noogoora Burr and Discreet.
Race 3 - Fillydelphia looks very well placed here. She just loves this track, winning 6 from 10. Over this distance here she has won 2 from 3. She'll get a beautiful run from the 2 gate. Will appreciate a firmer surface. Again I must stress, she LOVES this track. Other hopes to Ginga Dude, Divorces and Solzhenitsyn.
Race 4 - I'm going with Wealth Princess here. After almost 2 years off the scene, this horse unleashed a bottler to come within a whisker of winning the Wangoom. Has a perfect 2nd up record and loves it on top of the ground. Has won at this track and distance previously. Other hopes to Risk Aversion, Sophie's Spirit and Hidden Kisses.
Race 5 - The kiwi filly Miss Artistic looks up to her eye balls in this. She resumed last start at the Coast and was full of running coming 4th. She'll be further improved on that run. Won the Group 1 NZ Oaks over 2400m 2 starts back. Quality filly! Other hopes to Dowager Queen, Invest and Secret Garden.
Race 6 - I'm an unashamed Punch On fan. This lass fights every time she goes out. Resumed with a nice 2nd in the Gold Coast Guineas. Has a great 2nd up record, winning 2 from 3. Has a win over this distance at this track at her only crack. She'll be running on like a train and will prove hard to hold out. Other hopes to Mental, Easy Running and Morning Captain.
Race 7 - Manighar has been very good to Silk supporters and I can see him giving us another win here. He just doesn't seem to run a bad race and will get all the favours here. He draws the inside and will be able to roll forward. His form (winning 3 group 1's) is just too hard to ignore. Other hopes to Shez Sinsational, Lights Of Heaven and Mawingo.
Race 8 - I like Carry Me Bluey in the last. This guy hardly ever puts a bad run in. He's won or placed in 17 out of 22 which is testament to that. He was good 1st up when he was narrowly beaten and then ran well in the worst going on a heavy track at the Coast. Those runs should position him very well here. Munce will have him running on when it counts. Other hopes to Free Wheeling, Tiger Tees and Smokin' Joey.
Scone
Race 1 - Pass. Not keen to get involved with a big field of maidens.
Race 2 - Not a fan of this race but I'll have a small wager on Tamanu Park. Has won over this distance previously which is a big plus in this field. Ran on last start over 1900m where it finished 2nd. It's too difficult to isolate 3 other hopes.
Race 3 - I'm going with local knowledge here in the form of Exploitable Doubt. This horse is unbeaten from it's 3 starts at this track. Goes well on top of the ground and should be able to position itself nicely from an inside draw. Other hopes to Cheap Thrills, Macarthur Bull and Liesele.
Race 4 - Sherocksmyworld will do me here. As is the case with most of Gai's horses, this horse will roll forward and probably lead. Has only had the 3 career starts but has placed in all of them. Has form around Epaulette. Other hopes to Diamond Earth, Villa Splendido and Secret Delight.
Race 5 - Speed should be on here. For that reason I'm going with 1 that runs on. We'll have our hearts in our mouths watching Emotional Circus get well back but she can certainly finish off. She races best on top of the ground and has won her only start over this distance. Speed the key with her. Other hopes to Fox, Emerald Downs and Saraji.
Race 6 - Shannara looks well placed here. Has been racing in good form lately and enters this race after a 4th in the Emanicipation. She has a good record over this trip and will get a great run from Bowman. Should be able to track over easily with speed on it's inside. Other hopes to More Strawberries, Forfeiture and Potions.
Race 7 - This looks a race in 2 here between Pampelonne and Colorado Claire. Just have to pick the right 1! Perhaps the safe bet is to quinella them. I'm putting Colorado Claire slightly on top due to the fact she is proven over this distance. Has won 2 from 3 and looked really good charging home last start.
Race 8 - Stratana gets a 6.5kg weight relief from his 1st up effort. He has a great overall record, winning 5 out of 10 and only being out of the places once. Goes well 2nd up and a good surface. Other hopes to Skytrain, Zaratone and Sutton Queen.
Best Bets
Flemington - Race 7 Number 8 Adamantium
Doomben - Race 3 Number 8 Fillydelphia
Race 5 Number 4 Miss Artistic
Race 7 Number 1 Manighar
Scone - Race 6 Number 3 Shannara
Race 4 - I'm going with Wealth Princess here. After almost 2 years off the scene, this horse unleashed a bottler to come within a whisker of winning the Wangoom. Has a perfect 2nd up record and loves it on top of the ground. Has won at this track and distance previously. Other hopes to Risk Aversion, Sophie's Spirit and Hidden Kisses.
Race 5 - The kiwi filly Miss Artistic looks up to her eye balls in this. She resumed last start at the Coast and was full of running coming 4th. She'll be further improved on that run. Won the Group 1 NZ Oaks over 2400m 2 starts back. Quality filly! Other hopes to Dowager Queen, Invest and Secret Garden.
Race 6 - I'm an unashamed Punch On fan. This lass fights every time she goes out. Resumed with a nice 2nd in the Gold Coast Guineas. Has a great 2nd up record, winning 2 from 3. Has a win over this distance at this track at her only crack. She'll be running on like a train and will prove hard to hold out. Other hopes to Mental, Easy Running and Morning Captain.
Race 7 - Manighar has been very good to Silk supporters and I can see him giving us another win here. He just doesn't seem to run a bad race and will get all the favours here. He draws the inside and will be able to roll forward. His form (winning 3 group 1's) is just too hard to ignore. Other hopes to Shez Sinsational, Lights Of Heaven and Mawingo.
Race 8 - I like Carry Me Bluey in the last. This guy hardly ever puts a bad run in. He's won or placed in 17 out of 22 which is testament to that. He was good 1st up when he was narrowly beaten and then ran well in the worst going on a heavy track at the Coast. Those runs should position him very well here. Munce will have him running on when it counts. Other hopes to Free Wheeling, Tiger Tees and Smokin' Joey.
Scone
Race 1 - Pass. Not keen to get involved with a big field of maidens.
Race 2 - Not a fan of this race but I'll have a small wager on Tamanu Park. Has won over this distance previously which is a big plus in this field. Ran on last start over 1900m where it finished 2nd. It's too difficult to isolate 3 other hopes.
Race 3 - I'm going with local knowledge here in the form of Exploitable Doubt. This horse is unbeaten from it's 3 starts at this track. Goes well on top of the ground and should be able to position itself nicely from an inside draw. Other hopes to Cheap Thrills, Macarthur Bull and Liesele.
Race 4 - Sherocksmyworld will do me here. As is the case with most of Gai's horses, this horse will roll forward and probably lead. Has only had the 3 career starts but has placed in all of them. Has form around Epaulette. Other hopes to Diamond Earth, Villa Splendido and Secret Delight.
Race 5 - Speed should be on here. For that reason I'm going with 1 that runs on. We'll have our hearts in our mouths watching Emotional Circus get well back but she can certainly finish off. She races best on top of the ground and has won her only start over this distance. Speed the key with her. Other hopes to Fox, Emerald Downs and Saraji.
Race 6 - Shannara looks well placed here. Has been racing in good form lately and enters this race after a 4th in the Emanicipation. She has a good record over this trip and will get a great run from Bowman. Should be able to track over easily with speed on it's inside. Other hopes to More Strawberries, Forfeiture and Potions.
Race 7 - This looks a race in 2 here between Pampelonne and Colorado Claire. Just have to pick the right 1! Perhaps the safe bet is to quinella them. I'm putting Colorado Claire slightly on top due to the fact she is proven over this distance. Has won 2 from 3 and looked really good charging home last start.
Race 8 - Stratana gets a 6.5kg weight relief from his 1st up effort. He has a great overall record, winning 5 out of 10 and only being out of the places once. Goes well 2nd up and a good surface. Other hopes to Skytrain, Zaratone and Sutton Queen.
Best Bets
Flemington - Race 7 Number 8 Adamantium
Doomben - Race 3 Number 8 Fillydelphia
Race 5 Number 4 Miss Artistic
Race 7 Number 1 Manighar
Scone - Race 6 Number 3 Shannara
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