Race 1 - Not a race I'm overly keen to get involved in. We have a field of 2 year olds that are virtually untried on soft going. For that reason I would be working around Pillar Of Creation and Dazzler. I would have a slight leaning to Dazzler as it has a 3kg weight advantage over POC. Also it won by 3 lengths in it's only start and is a More Than Ready so it should get through the ground.
Race 2 - There should be a reasonable amount of speed up front here. A number of good fillies racing but I've gone with Somaly Miss. Was successful last start on Anzac Day on heavy going. In that run it was finishing off nicely so the extra 200m shouldn't be a problem. Will get a nice trail behind the leaders. Other hopes to Vain Attraction, Roses In The Glen and Manhattan Maid.
Race 3 - He won't be flash odds but Almodovar should be winning this. Won well last start over 2600m here on heavy and his previous runs which were also over 2000m plus were good. Soft ground no problem has beaten the rest of these previously.
Race 4 - I'm going with Elusive King here. It has a good 2nd up record and looked good in it's 1st up effort where he finished off nicely. Can handle a soft track and placed both attempts over this trip. Other hopes to Shezhou Steed, Testascana and Hawks Bay.
Race 5 - Club Command looks well placed here. Raced well 1st up when it won at Echuca over 1200m. Last campaign he came within a whisker of beating That's The One over this trip. That has to be excellent form to win this. Has never raced on a soft track but it's by Commands and has raced well on dead so it shouldn't be a problem. Other hopes to Toned, Cash Bound and Hot Lover.
Race 6 - Supremacy looks right in this down in the weights. Will race with just 51kg after the claim for Duffy. Has a great record over this trip, winning 2 and placing 1 from 4 starts. Has a great record on soft ground. Other hopes to Laristan, Playwright and Chasse.
Race 7 - It was hard to ignore the finishing burst of Soros last start. Came from well back in the field over 1600m to narrowly go down. Drops 1.5kg on that run and the 200m should suit. Has a slow placing to it's credit. Other hopes to Chieftain Jack, I Feel Good and Major Coup.
Race 8 - This is a tough race to finish the program. I'm going with Tigress Joy. Ran on reasonably well last start when it favoured leaders. Has a poor record on slow going, only winning 1 from 7. This is a pretty average field so I think that might not be as bad in this situation. Gets a big weight advantage with 54kg on it's back. Other hopes to Star Of Giselle, Gail and Neriani.
Hawkesbury
Race 1 - I'll have a small wager on Fox in the opener. Gets the peg and should be able to push into a handy position. Has raced in a group 2 race a few months back and ran 2nd in a listed race last start. Could be too classy. Goes well on a dead surface. Other hopes to Shade Of Green, You're Canny and Shoot Thru Blu.
Race 2 - Not enough data here for me to bet.
Race 3 - Sacred Pins should be too good for these. He was scratched from the Guineas to run here. Lost by less than 2 lengths to Landing who is a potential star last start. Will be able to roll forward and control things.
***I was certain Sacred Pins would race here but obviously the stable are confident of it's chances against Landing later on. I'll make Samui Lad my top pick here. Beltane is the danger***
Race 4 - I'm going with Moriarty in this. It's had 2 starts since coming over from Ireland and has been finishing off strongly. The step up to 2250m looks ideal. Other hopes to Charing Cross, Maximus Gladiator and Marden.
***With the scratching of Moriarty, I'll make Charing Cross my top pick. Reuben Percival comes in an other hope***
Race 5 - This is a very competitive race with a handful of winning hopes. I'm going with Sophie's Spirit. She has a wide gate but she should be able to push across to lead or take a very prominent position. Her 2nd up record is fair and she goes best on a good to dead track. She'll be in this for a long way. Other hopes to Pontiana, Screen and Dystopia.
Race 6 - Star Of Octagonal has been racing very well of late. He should be able to get a great trail here from the inside. He has placed in his past 2 around this distance which have been Group quality races. Other hopes to Alma's Fury, Fast Clip and Wazn.
Race 7 - Landing has been super impressive since coming on the scene. Won last week over this distance with absolute authority. I see a repeat dose here. Next best Sacred Pins, Pied A Terre and Bound To Blush.
Race 8 - Mental looks tough to beat in the last. Resumes after an impressive campaign where it beat such horses as Niagara and Sacred Pins. Won a trial leading into this and will be wearing blinkers. Should be primed for a 1st up attack. Other hopes to Flyingconi, Flying Empress and Turf Hero.
Gold Coast
Race 1 - Fruehling looks a nice type of a horse. It's won both it's Australian starts, the last being a 3.5 length win over 2000m. Is weighted nicely with 54kg. Has raced well on dead going so I'm taking the chance it will go well on soft going. Other hopes to Za Magic, Viking Hero and Shamardashing.
Race 2 - Thefifthhole should be able to get to the lead here and dictate terms. Has a great record at this track and also over this distance. Can handle soft ground capably. Other hopes to Kiss Me Deadly, Show Me An Ace and Machination.
Race 3 - I'm going with one at a bit of value here in Rosagaze. She is 2 from 2 2nd up and has won and run 2nd at her 2 goes on a slow track. Has a good record at this track and distance. Other hopes to Rocker, Emvoss and Demanding Miss.
***With the scratching of Emvoss, I'll promote Ruapehu Boy to the other hopes***
Race 4 - It's hard to know how most of these will go on a wet track. On pure class, you'd have to have Sizzling on top. It raced really well in it's initial campaign and if it can adequately get through the going then it should be winning. Having said that, there's a lot of unknowns here so I'll be proceeding with caution. Other hopes are Dances On Stars, Hoss Amor and Utilism.
*Hoss Amor has been scratched. I'll add Midnight Fury to the other hopes***
Race 5 - I'm going with Mossriver here. She has a very good record on wet going and actually was making ground in her previous 2 starts on slow so I'm confident she'll handle the track. She has a good record over this distance, only finishing out of the placings once from 7 starts. Has form around the likes of Zero Rock and Rocker. Byrne on board is helpful. Other hopes to Alltherightmoves, Mascareri and Dual Chamber.
Race 6 - I like the look of the NSW invader Scorpio Queen. I can't believe the odds on offer here. This horse ran 6 lengths off Landing last start on slow going. She's put together a nice record of 3 wins from 6 starts. Looked good winning over this distance range last prep. One it's only 2nd up run. Other hopes to Pretty Pins, Miss Artistic and Angelus.
Race 7 - Mid Sommer Music is the stand out horse here. Has a terrible barrier but Nolen is no slouch so he should be able to counteract that. It has form around Atlantic Jewel and Black Caviar. It's hard to see any of these matching those. Loves a wet track. Other hopes to Fillydelphia, Carry Me Bluey and Parables.
Race 8 - Mawingo will get a gun run from the inside here. Looked a really nice type winning 1st up over 1600m at Flemington. Has run reasonably well on soft tracks in Group 1 races overseas. Not here for a hair cut. Other hopes to Wall Street, Scenic Shot and Shez Sinsational.
Race 9 - Easy Running looked good 1st up when running on to win. Will be further improved 2nd up and will again get the gun run. Hasn't been out of the placings on wet tracks. Other hopes to Morning Captain, Emmalene and Florentina. Big watch on Punch On.
Best Bets
Flemington - Race 3 Number 2 Almodovar
Race 5 Number 2 Club Command
Hawkesbury - Race 7 Number 4 Landing
Race 8 Number 11 Mental
Gold Coast - Race 6 Number 10 Scorpio Queen e/w
Race 8 Number 12 Mawingo
Race 9 Number 1 Easy Running
Race 8 - This is a tough race to finish the program. I'm going with Tigress Joy. Ran on reasonably well last start when it favoured leaders. Has a poor record on slow going, only winning 1 from 7. This is a pretty average field so I think that might not be as bad in this situation. Gets a big weight advantage with 54kg on it's back. Other hopes to Star Of Giselle, Gail and Neriani.
Hawkesbury
Race 1 - I'll have a small wager on Fox in the opener. Gets the peg and should be able to push into a handy position. Has raced in a group 2 race a few months back and ran 2nd in a listed race last start. Could be too classy. Goes well on a dead surface. Other hopes to Shade Of Green, You're Canny and Shoot Thru Blu.
Race 2 - Not enough data here for me to bet.
Race 3 - Sacred Pins should be too good for these. He was scratched from the Guineas to run here. Lost by less than 2 lengths to Landing who is a potential star last start. Will be able to roll forward and control things.
***I was certain Sacred Pins would race here but obviously the stable are confident of it's chances against Landing later on. I'll make Samui Lad my top pick here. Beltane is the danger***
Race 4 - I'm going with Moriarty in this. It's had 2 starts since coming over from Ireland and has been finishing off strongly. The step up to 2250m looks ideal. Other hopes to Charing Cross, Maximus Gladiator and Marden.
***With the scratching of Moriarty, I'll make Charing Cross my top pick. Reuben Percival comes in an other hope***
Race 5 - This is a very competitive race with a handful of winning hopes. I'm going with Sophie's Spirit. She has a wide gate but she should be able to push across to lead or take a very prominent position. Her 2nd up record is fair and she goes best on a good to dead track. She'll be in this for a long way. Other hopes to Pontiana, Screen and Dystopia.
Race 6 - Star Of Octagonal has been racing very well of late. He should be able to get a great trail here from the inside. He has placed in his past 2 around this distance which have been Group quality races. Other hopes to Alma's Fury, Fast Clip and Wazn.
Race 7 - Landing has been super impressive since coming on the scene. Won last week over this distance with absolute authority. I see a repeat dose here. Next best Sacred Pins, Pied A Terre and Bound To Blush.
Race 8 - Mental looks tough to beat in the last. Resumes after an impressive campaign where it beat such horses as Niagara and Sacred Pins. Won a trial leading into this and will be wearing blinkers. Should be primed for a 1st up attack. Other hopes to Flyingconi, Flying Empress and Turf Hero.
Gold Coast
Race 1 - Fruehling looks a nice type of a horse. It's won both it's Australian starts, the last being a 3.5 length win over 2000m. Is weighted nicely with 54kg. Has raced well on dead going so I'm taking the chance it will go well on soft going. Other hopes to Za Magic, Viking Hero and Shamardashing.
Race 2 - Thefifthhole should be able to get to the lead here and dictate terms. Has a great record at this track and also over this distance. Can handle soft ground capably. Other hopes to Kiss Me Deadly, Show Me An Ace and Machination.
Race 3 - I'm going with one at a bit of value here in Rosagaze. She is 2 from 2 2nd up and has won and run 2nd at her 2 goes on a slow track. Has a good record at this track and distance. Other hopes to Rocker, Emvoss and Demanding Miss.
***With the scratching of Emvoss, I'll promote Ruapehu Boy to the other hopes***
Race 4 - It's hard to know how most of these will go on a wet track. On pure class, you'd have to have Sizzling on top. It raced really well in it's initial campaign and if it can adequately get through the going then it should be winning. Having said that, there's a lot of unknowns here so I'll be proceeding with caution. Other hopes are Dances On Stars, Hoss Amor and Utilism.
*Hoss Amor has been scratched. I'll add Midnight Fury to the other hopes***
Race 5 - I'm going with Mossriver here. She has a very good record on wet going and actually was making ground in her previous 2 starts on slow so I'm confident she'll handle the track. She has a good record over this distance, only finishing out of the placings once from 7 starts. Has form around the likes of Zero Rock and Rocker. Byrne on board is helpful. Other hopes to Alltherightmoves, Mascareri and Dual Chamber.
Race 6 - I like the look of the NSW invader Scorpio Queen. I can't believe the odds on offer here. This horse ran 6 lengths off Landing last start on slow going. She's put together a nice record of 3 wins from 6 starts. Looked good winning over this distance range last prep. One it's only 2nd up run. Other hopes to Pretty Pins, Miss Artistic and Angelus.
Race 7 - Mid Sommer Music is the stand out horse here. Has a terrible barrier but Nolen is no slouch so he should be able to counteract that. It has form around Atlantic Jewel and Black Caviar. It's hard to see any of these matching those. Loves a wet track. Other hopes to Fillydelphia, Carry Me Bluey and Parables.
Race 8 - Mawingo will get a gun run from the inside here. Looked a really nice type winning 1st up over 1600m at Flemington. Has run reasonably well on soft tracks in Group 1 races overseas. Not here for a hair cut. Other hopes to Wall Street, Scenic Shot and Shez Sinsational.
Race 9 - Easy Running looked good 1st up when running on to win. Will be further improved 2nd up and will again get the gun run. Hasn't been out of the placings on wet tracks. Other hopes to Morning Captain, Emmalene and Florentina. Big watch on Punch On.
Best Bets
Flemington - Race 3 Number 2 Almodovar
Race 5 Number 2 Club Command
Hawkesbury - Race 7 Number 4 Landing
Race 8 Number 11 Mental
Gold Coast - Race 6 Number 10 Scorpio Queen e/w
Race 8 Number 12 Mawingo
Race 9 Number 1 Easy Running
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