Race 1 - Only 6 horses go around after early scratchings which doesn't entice one to bet. However there looks a clear quinella/exacta here with Star Of Giselle and Johannapine. I'm putting Star Of Giselle on top based on the form it showed around some classy animals last year.
Race 2 - I'm putting the top weight Le Societe on top here. Looked an excellent horse last year when it won it's 2 starts in nice fashion. Those were on rain affected tracks but a good surface shouldn't bother it. May not be a betting proposition if odds get too silly. Other hopes to Shopaholic, Leoncita and Empress Rock.
Race 3 - I'm going for another Moody runner here in There's Only One. Has a good 2nd up record winning two out of three. The step up to 1700m should suit. Has an excellent overall record and likes this track. Other hopes to Chasm, Prizum and Token Of Honour.
Race 4 - I usually avoid these 2 year old races where there is limited form. However Jimando looks hard to hold out. It's debut run has been franked with 3 horses that finished well behind him since winning. Gets a favourable draw from the inside.
Race 5 - This looks a very competitive race with many chances. I can see there being a bit of speed on here. For that reason, I'm going for That's The One. He'll get back and be running on. The concern is that with the rail out 10 metres, that style may not be suited so check earlier races to see if they've been able to run on. Won 1st up last time over this distance. Other hopes to Secret Hills, Petman and Mosheen.
Race 6 - Supporters of the Silk know that Bel Sprinter is a favourite of the page. He was very kind to us last campaign and I don't see a reason to get off the train now. Has a perfect 2 from 2 record 1st up and also over this distance. Will get a delightful run from the 5 alley. Other hopes to Definitely Ready, Kulgrinda and Shock Value.
Race 7 - I'm going with Royal Mail here. It goes up considerably in weight but it's hard to ignore it's record. It has only been out of the placings 3 times in it's 14 starts. It has won 3 out of 5 over this distance. Has won 4 from 6 on a good track. Goes well at the track and distance. That all adds up to this horse being in the finish. Other hopes to Sea Galleon, Bolton and Apres.
Race 8 - If you're still alive in the quaddie heading into the last....good luck! Strewth this is a corker. Where they all settle down after the start is anyone's guess. I'm going to take a punt on Excluded. It has a terrible barrier but has shown an ability to race forward or back. Stevie King is riding so we can trust he'll give the horse every possible chance. Has won 1st up over 1500m last time so that holds no fears. Looks like a decent horse. Other hopes to Parthian, Coldens Choice and Module. Go very wide with quadrella's!!
Warwick Farm (Meeting Abandoned)
Race 1 - On a wet surface, I'll be giving this race for 2 year olds with limited form a wide berth.
Race 2 - Didntcostalot should get an easy lead here and will prove incredibly hard to run down. Has won all 3 starts and also it's only start at this track. Beat Safusa by 2.5 lengths here on a slow track. Other hopes to Detours, Matignon and Velrosso.
Race 3 - Karuta Queen looks too good for these but the price on offer will prevent a bet being had.
Race 4 - Brightest looks hard to beat here. It looks the best of an average bunch. Has shown an ability to handle a wet track, winning 1 and placing 2nd in it's other race on a heavy surface. Has only been out of the placings in 1 of it's 7 starts.
Race 5 - I'm a little concerned that Permit has failed on a heavy track 3 times. Having said that, it has 2 wins and a 2nd from 4 starts on slow going. The horse is in great form winning it's past 2 so I'm prepared to give it a go here. Besides Code Word, the others in this don't handle wet going. Other hopes to Code Word, Peck and Honourable Aussie.
Race 6 - This race looks to be there for the taking for Mr Make Believe. The horse loves a wet track, goes super over this distance and importantly will get an easy lead. They shouldn't be able to run him down. Key West is next best.
Race 7 - I won't be getting too involved in this race as it looks a little tricky. Having said that, I think Charing Cross should go well. It's drawn the widest but should be able to push across and lead or be in the leading few. Has a handy record in the wet and goes well 2nd up. Other hopes to Digital Fortress, Olinoor and Sienna Red.
Race 8 - I'm going with Rolling Pin in the last. Is unbeaten on wet tracks, goes well over this distance and has won at this track. He should be able to track over behind O'Crikey and take up a prominent position. Gets a big weight relief on last run. Other hopes to Alma's Fury, O'Crikey and Mr Unforgettable.
Doomben
Race 1 - I'll give this 2 year old race a miss.
Race 2 - This is a tricky race. I've gone with Raise Up. She should be able to get a super run just behind the leaders. Has a good record at the distance and races well on the fresh side. Will want a dead track to do her best. Other hopes to Beggin, Devils Melody and Felony Flight.
Race 3 - I've found this race really difficult to settle on 1. The main hopes I see are Satch, Gold Shears, Marked, Break The Ice and Eureka Jack. I'll be having a small bet on Satch. I see the horse taking up a dominant position. It goes up 3.5kg on it's last start 4th to Kontiki Park but has been racing well.
Race 4 - I've put Playaction on top here. His form this campaign is super. Will get a great run from barrier 3. Well suited to this distance, winning 2 out of 4. Other hopes to Lucky Luna, Kumali and Narcelo.
Race 2 - Didntcostalot should get an easy lead here and will prove incredibly hard to run down. Has won all 3 starts and also it's only start at this track. Beat Safusa by 2.5 lengths here on a slow track. Other hopes to Detours, Matignon and Velrosso.
Race 3 - Karuta Queen looks too good for these but the price on offer will prevent a bet being had.
Race 4 - Brightest looks hard to beat here. It looks the best of an average bunch. Has shown an ability to handle a wet track, winning 1 and placing 2nd in it's other race on a heavy surface. Has only been out of the placings in 1 of it's 7 starts.
Race 5 - I'm a little concerned that Permit has failed on a heavy track 3 times. Having said that, it has 2 wins and a 2nd from 4 starts on slow going. The horse is in great form winning it's past 2 so I'm prepared to give it a go here. Besides Code Word, the others in this don't handle wet going. Other hopes to Code Word, Peck and Honourable Aussie.
Race 6 - This race looks to be there for the taking for Mr Make Believe. The horse loves a wet track, goes super over this distance and importantly will get an easy lead. They shouldn't be able to run him down. Key West is next best.
Race 7 - I won't be getting too involved in this race as it looks a little tricky. Having said that, I think Charing Cross should go well. It's drawn the widest but should be able to push across and lead or be in the leading few. Has a handy record in the wet and goes well 2nd up. Other hopes to Digital Fortress, Olinoor and Sienna Red.
Race 8 - I'm going with Rolling Pin in the last. Is unbeaten on wet tracks, goes well over this distance and has won at this track. He should be able to track over behind O'Crikey and take up a prominent position. Gets a big weight relief on last run. Other hopes to Alma's Fury, O'Crikey and Mr Unforgettable.
Doomben
Race 1 - I'll give this 2 year old race a miss.
Race 2 - This is a tricky race. I've gone with Raise Up. She should be able to get a super run just behind the leaders. Has a good record at the distance and races well on the fresh side. Will want a dead track to do her best. Other hopes to Beggin, Devils Melody and Felony Flight.
Race 3 - I've found this race really difficult to settle on 1. The main hopes I see are Satch, Gold Shears, Marked, Break The Ice and Eureka Jack. I'll be having a small bet on Satch. I see the horse taking up a dominant position. It goes up 3.5kg on it's last start 4th to Kontiki Park but has been racing well.
Race 4 - I've put Playaction on top here. His form this campaign is super. Will get a great run from barrier 3. Well suited to this distance, winning 2 out of 4. Other hopes to Lucky Luna, Kumali and Narcelo.
***With the scratching of Playaction, I'll promote Kumali to top pick and bring in Our Recidivist to the other hopes***
Race 5 - Product looks a very capable horse who's putting together a very consistent record. It can handle any going and importantly has shown an ability to carry weight. Is on the 7 day back up and won last time it did that. Other hopes to Tycoon's Heart, Savage River and Geblitzt.
Race 6 - Quite keen on The Ringmaster. I'll be frank, he just looks to be a better quality horse than these. His recent form suggests to me that he'll be too strong. Will get a great run by the Hammer from the 6. Delicious. Other hopes to Rusty Hunter, My Elixa and Skater Dude.
***With the scratching of My Elixa, I'll promote Trombone Alley***
Race 7 - I'm not going to be put off by the wide gate that Emmalene has drawn. There is going to be a fair bit of speed on here so it shouldn't be as much a drama as the horse will get back. She has a class edge over these and I think she'll be rattling home over them. Other hopes to Amber's Crown, Leealan and Judy's Joy.
Race 8 - Paprika should give a good sight here. Ran quite well 1st up after a very long break and should be better for that run. Is undefeated over this distance at this track. Although it has a wide gate, I think it can track across and find itself in the front 5 or so. Other hopes to Fangles, Achievements and The Sixties.
Race 9 - I think Thefifthhole can high ball here and run these ragged. We've seen him do it over 1400m and at times run out of gas. 1110m on the fresh side will be right up this guy's alley. I just can't see these running him down. Other hopes to Hampden, Knox and Cyclone Brad.
Best Bets
Caulfield - Race 2 Number 1 Le Societe
Race 3 Number 3 There's Only One
Race 6 Number 1 Bel Sprinter
Doomben - Race 6 Number 2 The Ringmaster
Race 9 Number 10 Thefifthhole
No comments:
Post a Comment