Race 1 - Spirit Song looks hard to beat in the opening event. The horse has been in outstanding form this campaign, winning 3 and finishing 2nd in it's 4 starts. 2 of those wins have been on a good track and it donkey licked it's rivals in those. Other hopes to Our Spirits Bay, Winged Charm and Procida.
***Winged Charm has been scratched. I won't promote any others to the other hopes***
***Winged Charm has been scratched. I won't promote any others to the other hopes***
Race 2 - This is a little tricky with a field of inexperienced 2 year olds so I'll watch this with a view to the Blue Diamond.
Race 3 - Again a tricky race for 2 year olds. I'm going to have a small bet on Malasun. Won it's debut race here. Should be further improved and will get a great run from alley 2 with Oliver onboard. Other hopes to Formidable, Applegate and Samaready.
Race 4 - Like the look of Vivid Vixen here. I'll forgive it's 1st up run where it ran 2nd last as it had no luck at all. It never really does anything 1st up but 2nd up is another story. It has 2 wins and a 3rd from 3 2nd up starts. Goes super at this distance winning 2 and placing 2 from 5 cracks. Should get a great run in the leading few. Other hopes to Shout Out Loud, Shadowfax and Green Moon.
***Green Moon has been scratched. I'll promote Ranger to the other hopes***
***Green Moon has been scratched. I'll promote Ranger to the other hopes***
Race 5 - There's at least a handful of winning chances here. I've got a wrap on Proliferate but will wait till it's got some runs under it's belt. I settled on Specter. It has an excellent record, only being out of the placings once in 6 starts. It ran well 1st up for 2nd in the Zeditave. It won it's 2nd up run last campaign and goes well at this track. Will get back but I don't think that will be a problem with a reasonable speed on. Other hopes to Pied A Terre, Proliferate and Huegill.
Race 6 - Black Caviar shoots for 18 straight wins today and steps up to 1400m. I doubt this will cause her any problems. Southern Speed should make the race a better spectacle but in the end, the great mare will make them look 2nd rate.
Race 7 - Karuta Queen looks hard to hold out here. Is a gun over this distance and with 52.5kg will jump and run from gate 2. She'll be extremely hard to run down. Other hopes to First Command, Decircles and Weekend Special.
Race 8 - I'm going to place my trust in the New Zealand group form holding up here and back Anabandana. I've watched a few of it's videos and it looks an impressive type. Has to carry 58.5kg here but has Craig Williams in the saddle and also looks a strong type. Has never been out of a place and has won 5 of 9. 4 from 4 at this distance. Other hopes to Soft Sand, Miss Stellabelle and Belle Of The Court.
Race 9 - Miss Octopussy looks an excellent chance in the last. She's back in mares company with just 54kg. I reckon that's a steal for a quality horse like this. She has an excellent record at the track and distance. She should lob in the first 5 horses and get a great run. Other hopes to I'm Discreet, Irish Dream and Let's Be Happy.
Rosehill
Race 1 and 2 - I'll be giving the opening 2 races a miss. 2 year olds with limited form on a damp track....no thank you.
Race 3 - I think Didntcostalot cost dictate this race from in front. Has won it's 3 starts comfortably. With the rail out 6 metres, he should be able to get a handy lead and prove very hard to run down. La Remlap seems the likely quinella/exacta horse.
Race 4 - Hurrara was abysmal 1st up when it ran stone motherless last by close to 8 lengths. I may be barking mad but I'm going to give it credit and assume that was a glitch. It's overall record is good winning 5 times from 12 races. Just loves this distance. Goes well on a rain affected track and should position itself nicely in the leading bunch. Nash back onboard is a plus. Other hopes to Detours, Aeronautical and Danes Bullet.
Race 5 - Happy Hussy should get a very easy lead here and prove hard to run down. Only has to handle the wet track to be winning this. Her record over this trip is excellent and is in great form. Other hopes to Hatton Garden, Think Mink and We Betcha.
Race 6 - This is an even affair with many chances. I've gone with Brightest. Firstly the horse can handle a wet track. It's a good young horse with a decent record. Hopefully they get the horse to settle handy today given the rails out. Other hopes to Romanus, Magic Weekend and So Generous. I would definitely promote Said Com if it starts here.
Race 7 - I'm not particularly keen on this race. It stinks of a blow out. I'll have a small wager on Dolphi's Boy. Has been racing well and winning in weaker grades over this distance. Thankfully this isn't a leg of the quaddie as it's basically a field job.
Race 8 - Said Com will need a bit of luck to win this. It will get back from it's wide gate which will probably not be ideal with the rail out. However on the plus side is the way it handled slow going in it's debut. It looks a quality horse and I think could be running over these. Other hopes to Hoylonny, Big Time and Boston Tea.
Race 9 - Miss Octopussy looks an excellent chance in the last. She's back in mares company with just 54kg. I reckon that's a steal for a quality horse like this. She has an excellent record at the track and distance. She should lob in the first 5 horses and get a great run. Other hopes to I'm Discreet, Irish Dream and Let's Be Happy.
Rosehill
Race 1 and 2 - I'll be giving the opening 2 races a miss. 2 year olds with limited form on a damp track....no thank you.
Race 3 - I think Didntcostalot cost dictate this race from in front. Has won it's 3 starts comfortably. With the rail out 6 metres, he should be able to get a handy lead and prove very hard to run down. La Remlap seems the likely quinella/exacta horse.
Race 4 - Hurrara was abysmal 1st up when it ran stone motherless last by close to 8 lengths. I may be barking mad but I'm going to give it credit and assume that was a glitch. It's overall record is good winning 5 times from 12 races. Just loves this distance. Goes well on a rain affected track and should position itself nicely in the leading bunch. Nash back onboard is a plus. Other hopes to Detours, Aeronautical and Danes Bullet.
Race 5 - Happy Hussy should get a very easy lead here and prove hard to run down. Only has to handle the wet track to be winning this. Her record over this trip is excellent and is in great form. Other hopes to Hatton Garden, Think Mink and We Betcha.
Race 6 - This is an even affair with many chances. I've gone with Brightest. Firstly the horse can handle a wet track. It's a good young horse with a decent record. Hopefully they get the horse to settle handy today given the rails out. Other hopes to Romanus, Magic Weekend and So Generous. I would definitely promote Said Com if it starts here.
Race 7 - I'm not particularly keen on this race. It stinks of a blow out. I'll have a small wager on Dolphi's Boy. Has been racing well and winning in weaker grades over this distance. Thankfully this isn't a leg of the quaddie as it's basically a field job.
Race 8 - Said Com will need a bit of luck to win this. It will get back from it's wide gate which will probably not be ideal with the rail out. However on the plus side is the way it handled slow going in it's debut. It looks a quality horse and I think could be running over these. Other hopes to Hoylonny, Big Time and Boston Tea.
***Said Com has been scratched. I'll promote Hoylonny to top pick and bring in Wild And Proud to the other hopes***
Race 9 - As much as I like Rain Affair, I won't be chasing any silly odds. The horse has a tremendous record, only losing once in 9 starts. It also loves the wet. However I'm really wary of Rangirangdoo and will have a sneaky e/w bet on him. I think those 2 will be fighting this out.
Race 10 - I'm going with Charing Cross here. Ran well 1st up to win with 60kg. Drops to 52kg after the claim here. Has a good 2nd up record and can handle the wet. Should be able to get a good run in the leading bunch. Would assume that it will be strong at the finish given that it has raced well in harder grades over longer. Other hopes to Maules Creek, Merchandise and Sienna Red.
Race 11 - This looks a very good race to finish the day with a number of chances. I'm sticking with Rolling Pin. The horse has been in great form lately. Drops to 54kg and handles wet going very well. Will be able to lead or box seat. Other hopes to Alma's Fury, Mr Make Believe and Mr Unforgettable.
***Alma's Fury has been scratched. I'll promote Star Of Octagonal to the other hopes***
Eagle Farm
Race 1 - Urgh, I can't stand these 2000m plus races in Brisbane. Just seems to be pot luck. Maybe that reflects more on my ability than the horses! I'd put Gold Rating on top but won't be backing it.
Race 2 - 2 year olds with limited form...no thanks.
Race 3 - Noble Jester has been racing in great fashion in easier grades than this. However there doesn't seem to be much in this race. It drops considerably in weight and gets the in form Hammer on board. I'm confident this horse will be running strong at the finish. Other hopes to Object Of Virtue, Murrumba Downs and Mule Forty Six.
Race 4 - There is a reason that Achievements has 59kg here. It's clearly the best horse in the race. I'm not letting the big impost perturb me. Sure it makes things tougher but I just don't think there's a lot of opposition here. The horse should lead which will give Munce the opportunity to control the race. Has won over this distance at this track in it's only attempt. Other hopes to Catashee, Emoticon and Kiss Me Deadly.
Race 5 - Bingo Rose should get a glorious run from the 4. There doesn't appear to be much speed here which will give it an advantage over it's main opposition in Magic Tartan and Just a Piccolo who both get back. The horse has a good overall record and looks set to win. Other hopes to Just A Piccolo, Magic Tartan and Mount Kosciuszko.
Race 6 - I really wanted to put The Sixties on top here but I don't think the race will be run to suit. There appears to be a bit of pace in this race and for that reason I have gone with Essington. This horse should be able to camp behind the speed and make an assault in the straight. Just loves this distance winning 6 from 9. Has a big weight but has proven in the past to be able to carry it. Other hopes to The Sixties, One Lickety Split and Joint Chiefs.
Race 7 - Risk Aversion looks cherry ripe for this. The horse has only been beaten once in 5 starts and has a perfect record at this track and distance. Looked an excellent prospect in it's initial campaign and has primed up for a 1st up hit with a trial 2nd. Munce should be able to give the horse a super run from the inside draw. Other hopes to Whateverwhenever and Win A Million.
Race 8 - Although I was on Empress Me last start at juicy odds, I'll be swinging my support to Kilwinning Option here. Has a massive weight swing advantage over Empress Me from last time. This time around Kilwinning Option draws the good gate and Empress Me is out wide. The horse will be able to box seat and will be awfully hard to hold out. Other hopes to Empress Me, Granzella and Double Impact.
Best Bets
Caulfield - Race 1 Number 2 Spirit Song
Race 4 Number 13 Vivid Vixen
Race 9 Number 7 Miss Octopussy
Rosehill - Race 3 Number 11 Didntcostalot
Race 5 Number 3 Happy Hussy
Race 10 Number 8 Charing Cross
Eagle Farm - Race 4 Number 1 Achievements
Race 7 Number 3 Risk Aversion
Race 8 Number 2 Kilwinning Option
Best Each Way - Eagle Farm Race 3 Number 11 Noble Jester
No comments:
Post a Comment