Race 1 - Not enough form to have a bet here. Interest will be in seeing how Black Caviar's half brother All Too Hard goes.
Race 2 - I'll be backing Sidecar in this. Should get the run of the race just behind the leaders. Bolted in last start over this distance by 3 lengths. Consistently in the top 3. Other hopes to Persian Star, Kallogg and Warator.
Race 3 - This looks a top race with at least a handful of chances. I'm going with Under The Hat. Will carry a lot less weight than most of these with only 54kg after the claim. That is a big advantage in my mind. Looked quite good last start when it was 2nd up. Has previously won well 3rd up which it will be here. The close 2nd to December Draw last campaign stands out. Other hopes to Chasse, Fawkner and Lethal Arrow.
***With the scratching of Fawkner, I'll promote Over Quota***
***With the scratching of Fawkner, I'll promote Over Quota***
Race 4 - I can't see these beating Mosheen here. Has to carry 3.5kg more than the rest of the field but this is a classy animal and weight shouldn't stop her. Looked awesome last start and should go on with here.
Race 5 - Again I'm going with another short priced favourite here in Helmet. Was one of the boom horses last spring after winning some impressive races. Warmed up for this with a nice trial. Excellent record over this distance.
Race 6 - I'm really looking forward to this race. Black Caviar is the obvious top pick. It would be un-Australian not to go for her. Having said that, over 1000m I think a few of these could serve it up to her for a big part of the race. She'll be too strong at the line though.
Race 7 - Pago Rock grabbed the biscuits for Silk supporters last start and I don't see a reason to jump ship now. Fought on well against Like An Eagle to win 1st up. That horse went on this week to win the Hareeba to frank the form. Pago Rock has won over this distance in it's only attempt and has a good 2nd up record. Other hopes to Agrippa, Speediness and Parthian.
Race 8 - Tough way to finish the day in Melbourne. Again there's quite a number of horses here that won, you wouldn't be shaking your head and asking how did that happen. I'm going with Bigelow. Ran quite well 1st up with 60kg when 2.7 lengths behind African Pulse. Goes well over this distance, winning 2 from 3. Likes the sting out of the ground. Will be running on so will need some speed. Other hopes to Liveandletdie, Eraset and Testascana.
Warwick Farm
Race 1 - I might have a small interest bet in this race but more than likely I'll give it the flick. It's 1 of those doozies where anything can happen. Having said that, I've put Moonstones on top. Being a Zabeel, it's racing better as it races further. Has won it's past 2 starts which have been over 2100m and 2400m. Will be racing on the pace which is handy at Warwick Farm with the rail out. Other hopes to Managroa Flyer, Tropicana Girl and Planetarium.
Race 2 - Small field of 2 year olds so I won't be getting involved. Driefontein, Hussousa and Agueda will fight it out.
Race 3 - Another 2 year old race that I won't be getting involved in. I'll be keenly watching how Raceway goes for future big races.
Race 4 - I'm treating this race with caution. I'm going with Skateboard. He should be able settle in just behind the leaders and get a great run. Loves a dead track and has won his only start over this distance. Other hopes to Thumbtacks, Rolling Pin and Kinnersley.
Race 5 - I'm quite looking forward to this race with a number of handy types resuming. Beaded is a model of consistency, only being out of the placings once in 22 starts. I think she'll go well here. Will get a great run just behind the leaders who will set a nice pace. Her 1st up record is tops, winning 4 out of 6. Handles all going and loves this distance. Almost bullet proof. Other hopes to Red Tracer, Steps In Time and Balmont.
Race 6 - Manawanui looks awfully tough to hold out here. Especially at equal weights to it's opposition. This is the quality horse in this race and should have too much on the rest. Trialed well leading into this. Will get a beautiful run from the inside draw. I give a hope to Moment Of Change.
Race 7 - The logical pick here after it's exploits last campaign is Streama. However I'm drawn to 1 at big odds. $21 to be precise. Nocturnelle grabbed the cash for us last time it raced and I have a sneaky feeling that this is a good horse. Has won 3 from it's 4 starts with 1 of those wins over the very decent horse Combat Kitty. Has won at this track. Other hopes to Streama, Karuta Queen and Pane In The Glass.
***With the scratching of Nocturnelle, I'll promote Streama to top pick and make Hallowell Belle a hope***
Race 8 - Stratford is untested at 1300m but I doubt the extra 100m will be a problem. Has put together some nice wins in it's short career. Looked really good winning last start 1st up by 2.3 lengths. Trialed just behind Red Tracer recently. Other hopes to Oakfield Commands, Hood and Onthelookout.
***With the scratching of Oakfield Commands, I'll promote Brayroan to the other hopes ***
Doomben
Race 1 - I normally stay out of 2 year old races such as these. However I can the race being set up for Gibberer. The speed will be on which will set it up for this filly to be charging home. Currently at $5, that will do me.
Race 2 - Did I tell you how much I hate these 2000m + races in Brisbane? Urrggh. You've got just as much chance picking the winner in these by throwing a dart at the form guide. I'll give it a miss.
Race 3 - Tomboy is short in betting. However it's a quality animal that's putting together a nice record. Looked good resuming 4 weeks ago. Has won 3 out of 4 over this distance. Should get a great cart into the race with Fangles setting a fair clip. Other hopes to Mystical Grey, Fangles and Lemieux.
Race 4 - I'm going with Barrassie Brother here. Has won it's past 2 starts over this distance. Up in grade but looks a handy type. Will get a great run from either in front or on the speed. Other hopes to Amber's Crown, Another Superior and Judy's Joy.
Race 5 - Spirit Of Flatley looks right in this. It will get a glorious run from the peg. Goes well over this distance and enjoys the sting out of the track. Has been freshened for this and races very well when that has happened in the past. Other hopes to Encinitas, All That and Mundi Gully.
Race 6 - Lucky Luna will do me here. Don't get me wrong, it's a tricky race. However Lucky Luna is racing in good heart at the moment. Likes this track and distance and has a nice rapport with the jockey. Other hopes to Elusive Port, Steel Zip and Shamardashing.
Race 7 - Tricky race indeed. I'm going with the Sydneysider Big Bad Joel. Has to lug 59kg but there doesn't look to be a lot of opposition in this race. Has a tremendous record over this distance and has been racing in nice form. Cassidy will nurse this fellow around. Other hopes to Trombone Alley, Snip 'N' Duck and Beggin.
Race 8 - Theft looks the one to beat for mine. It loves this track and distance and has a great 2nd up record. Munce will give it a great run. Looked good 1st up in the slop but will appreciate a drier surface. Other hopes to Purettan, The Reveller and Around The World.
Best Bets
Flemington - Race 3 Number 13 Under The Hat
Race 7 Number 13 Pago Rock
Warwick Farm - Race 5 Number 1 Beaded
Race 8 Number 6 Stratford
Doomben - Race 8 Number 8 Theft
Race 5 - I'm quite looking forward to this race with a number of handy types resuming. Beaded is a model of consistency, only being out of the placings once in 22 starts. I think she'll go well here. Will get a great run just behind the leaders who will set a nice pace. Her 1st up record is tops, winning 4 out of 6. Handles all going and loves this distance. Almost bullet proof. Other hopes to Red Tracer, Steps In Time and Balmont.
Race 6 - Manawanui looks awfully tough to hold out here. Especially at equal weights to it's opposition. This is the quality horse in this race and should have too much on the rest. Trialed well leading into this. Will get a beautiful run from the inside draw. I give a hope to Moment Of Change.
Race 7 - The logical pick here after it's exploits last campaign is Streama. However I'm drawn to 1 at big odds. $21 to be precise. Nocturnelle grabbed the cash for us last time it raced and I have a sneaky feeling that this is a good horse. Has won 3 from it's 4 starts with 1 of those wins over the very decent horse Combat Kitty. Has won at this track. Other hopes to Streama, Karuta Queen and Pane In The Glass.
***With the scratching of Nocturnelle, I'll promote Streama to top pick and make Hallowell Belle a hope***
Race 8 - Stratford is untested at 1300m but I doubt the extra 100m will be a problem. Has put together some nice wins in it's short career. Looked really good winning last start 1st up by 2.3 lengths. Trialed just behind Red Tracer recently. Other hopes to Oakfield Commands, Hood and Onthelookout.
***With the scratching of Oakfield Commands, I'll promote Brayroan to the other hopes ***
Doomben
Race 1 - I normally stay out of 2 year old races such as these. However I can the race being set up for Gibberer. The speed will be on which will set it up for this filly to be charging home. Currently at $5, that will do me.
Race 2 - Did I tell you how much I hate these 2000m + races in Brisbane? Urrggh. You've got just as much chance picking the winner in these by throwing a dart at the form guide. I'll give it a miss.
Race 3 - Tomboy is short in betting. However it's a quality animal that's putting together a nice record. Looked good resuming 4 weeks ago. Has won 3 out of 4 over this distance. Should get a great cart into the race with Fangles setting a fair clip. Other hopes to Mystical Grey, Fangles and Lemieux.
Race 4 - I'm going with Barrassie Brother here. Has won it's past 2 starts over this distance. Up in grade but looks a handy type. Will get a great run from either in front or on the speed. Other hopes to Amber's Crown, Another Superior and Judy's Joy.
Race 5 - Spirit Of Flatley looks right in this. It will get a glorious run from the peg. Goes well over this distance and enjoys the sting out of the track. Has been freshened for this and races very well when that has happened in the past. Other hopes to Encinitas, All That and Mundi Gully.
Race 6 - Lucky Luna will do me here. Don't get me wrong, it's a tricky race. However Lucky Luna is racing in good heart at the moment. Likes this track and distance and has a nice rapport with the jockey. Other hopes to Elusive Port, Steel Zip and Shamardashing.
Race 7 - Tricky race indeed. I'm going with the Sydneysider Big Bad Joel. Has to lug 59kg but there doesn't look to be a lot of opposition in this race. Has a tremendous record over this distance and has been racing in nice form. Cassidy will nurse this fellow around. Other hopes to Trombone Alley, Snip 'N' Duck and Beggin.
Race 8 - Theft looks the one to beat for mine. It loves this track and distance and has a great 2nd up record. Munce will give it a great run. Looked good 1st up in the slop but will appreciate a drier surface. Other hopes to Purettan, The Reveller and Around The World.
Best Bets
Flemington - Race 3 Number 13 Under The Hat
Race 7 Number 13 Pago Rock
Warwick Farm - Race 5 Number 1 Beaded
Race 8 Number 6 Stratford
Doomben - Race 8 Number 8 Theft
No comments:
Post a Comment