Sandown
Race 1 - I'll go with the top weight Volando in the opening event. Looked good running 0.2 of a length 2nd to Flyingconi last start. In fact, it ran the fastest last 400m of the day in that run. Should be able to unleash a strong finish to run over the top of these. Placed 5 times out of 10 runs over the distance.
Race 2 - Apres looks well poised to turn it's recent run of 2nds into a win here. Has run 2nd to Power O'Raylee and Royal Mail which is very good form for this. Should be able to camp behind the leaders and get a delightful run. Other hopes to Placement, Heza Born Lucky and Tanah Lot.
Race 3 - Although the overall record of Procida isn't flash, I think she's ready to do something here. She has good results earlier in her career against good quality horses. Last start she flew home (fastest closing splits) and she should get conditions to enable that to happen here. The Boss man in the saddle is a plus on 54kg. Other hopes to Seduced, Spirit Song and Seeking Chi.
***With the scratching of Seduced, I'll promote Mayneda Strategy to the other hopes***
Race 4 - The Good Wife looks like a horse that could turn into a nice type. Is a half to Divine Madonna who was 1 of the Silk's favourites. Ran 3.5 lengths to Soft Sand on debut but more notable was it's win earlier this month. It will get back but I'm confident that it will be strong at the finish. Other hopes to Segue, Amour Cache and Taylor's Command.
Race 5 - This looks to be an open race. I've gone with Giresun. Most of these, Giresun included, are lumping big weights. I'm not convinced the majority of them can carry weight. Giresun won 2 starts back with 58.5kg in a fairly impressive way. Has big weight specialist jockey Steven Arnold on board which is a big plus. Has an alright record over the trip. Other hopes to Agrippa, Belgietto and Over Quota.
Race 6 - Lord Of Arms looks very well placed here. Has a tremendous 2nd up record, has won 3 from 5 over this distance and ran well 1st up. The horse has a great relationship with the jockey and I can see it being right in the finish. Other hopes to Under The Hat, Ben Zena and Valedictorian.
***Very disappointed that Lord Of Arms has been scratched. Thought it was an excellent chance. I'll promote Ben Zena to top spot and bring in Midnight Express to the other hopes***
Race 7 - If Henwood has improved from it's 1st up luckless 4th, it will be very hard to beat here. Got caught behind horses going backwards but still ran 2.1 lengths to Instalment. Meets that horse 3.5kg better off. Other hopes to Motorised, Work The Line and Instalment.
Race 8 - I'll go with Pago Rock in the last. The horse has a tremendous record winning 5 out of it's 7 starts. Unbeaten from it's 3 1st up attempts. I was a little concerned that it may lead but it has won over 1600m so it should have enough stamina to be able to kick on. Other hopes to Like An Eagle, Bondarchuk and Rorke's Drift.
***With the scratching of Bondarchuk, I'll promote Jughalation***
Canterbury
Race 1 - Small field, I won't be getting too involved if at all. I'll put Nocturnelle on top despite the fact that she'll get back. That's not ideal with the rail out 3 metres but the horse goes well on slow going and looks to be above average. Next best is Double Ranga. Think those 2 will be fighting it out.
Race 2 - 2 year old race with limited form. Pass.
Race 3 - Tricky race I suggest so be careful. I'll have a small wager on Said Com. Won on debut on slow going by 2.3 lengths and looked good doing so. Hughie Bowman was on top that day and he reacquaints himself with the horse here. Other hopes to Soledad, Velrosso and Road To Summer.
***With the scratching of Velrosso, I'll promote Wild And Proud to the other hopes***
Race 4 - I like the look of La Remlap here. Handles a rain affected track reasonably well but the key here is her record at the track. She's won both her starts over this distance at this track. Should be able to race handy and prove hard to catch. Other hopes to Al's Magic Miss and Girls Go Racing.
Race 5 - Steps In Time is short but I can't see it getting beaten. Was impressive in it's initial campaign. Most notably a 0.3 length 2nd to Red Tracer. The Pumper should let this girl jump and run. If that's the case, she'll be tough to run down. Has raced great at her previous attempts at this track. The rest are running for 2nd.
Race 6 - Going with Luck San here. Looked a decent horse when last in work. Has a great record around this distance range. Slight concern that it hasn't trialed before this start but comes from the astute Hawkes stable so I'd doubt it wouldn't be up for this. Ran 5 lengths 2nd to Sincero in the slop. Other hopes to Duke Of Cornwall, Youthful King and Radar.
***With the scratching of Luck San, I'll promote Duke Of Cornwall to top pick and bring in So Generous to the other hopes***
Race 7 - This looks a good race for Mangaroa Flyer. Firstly this horse will lead or race on the speed. That could be a huge advantage on this circuit on slow going. Handles the wet well. Looks to be hitting it's straps now after coming over from NZ. Will be rock hard fit 3rd up. Other hopes to Tigress Lily, Bielski and Gangster's Choice.
***With the scratching of Gangster's Choice, I'll promote Umatain to the other hopes***
Race 8 - This looks a dangerous race to finish up. I'm putting Bereft on top but with little confidence. The horse handles a wet track but goes well on a dead track if it dries out. I'm worried about it running this distance out strongly but it did come 2nd in it's only attempt at it. Ran on well last start which is a good sign. Other hopes to Sienna Red, Pepin Hoaks and Rockin' Rocket. I'd be going wide in your quaddies.
Best Bets
Sandown - Race 2 Number 7 Apres
Race 3 Number 7 Procida
Race 6 Number 11 Lord Of Arms (scratched)
Race 7 Number 9 Henwood
Canterbury - Race 4 Number 3 La Remlap
Race 5 Number 5 Steps In Time
Race 7 Number 2 Mangaroa Flyer
Race 2 - Apres looks well poised to turn it's recent run of 2nds into a win here. Has run 2nd to Power O'Raylee and Royal Mail which is very good form for this. Should be able to camp behind the leaders and get a delightful run. Other hopes to Placement, Heza Born Lucky and Tanah Lot.
Race 3 - Although the overall record of Procida isn't flash, I think she's ready to do something here. She has good results earlier in her career against good quality horses. Last start she flew home (fastest closing splits) and she should get conditions to enable that to happen here. The Boss man in the saddle is a plus on 54kg. Other hopes to Seduced, Spirit Song and Seeking Chi.
***With the scratching of Seduced, I'll promote Mayneda Strategy to the other hopes***
Race 4 - The Good Wife looks like a horse that could turn into a nice type. Is a half to Divine Madonna who was 1 of the Silk's favourites. Ran 3.5 lengths to Soft Sand on debut but more notable was it's win earlier this month. It will get back but I'm confident that it will be strong at the finish. Other hopes to Segue, Amour Cache and Taylor's Command.
Race 5 - This looks to be an open race. I've gone with Giresun. Most of these, Giresun included, are lumping big weights. I'm not convinced the majority of them can carry weight. Giresun won 2 starts back with 58.5kg in a fairly impressive way. Has big weight specialist jockey Steven Arnold on board which is a big plus. Has an alright record over the trip. Other hopes to Agrippa, Belgietto and Over Quota.
Race 6 - Lord Of Arms looks very well placed here. Has a tremendous 2nd up record, has won 3 from 5 over this distance and ran well 1st up. The horse has a great relationship with the jockey and I can see it being right in the finish. Other hopes to Under The Hat, Ben Zena and Valedictorian.
***Very disappointed that Lord Of Arms has been scratched. Thought it was an excellent chance. I'll promote Ben Zena to top spot and bring in Midnight Express to the other hopes***
Race 7 - If Henwood has improved from it's 1st up luckless 4th, it will be very hard to beat here. Got caught behind horses going backwards but still ran 2.1 lengths to Instalment. Meets that horse 3.5kg better off. Other hopes to Motorised, Work The Line and Instalment.
Race 8 - I'll go with Pago Rock in the last. The horse has a tremendous record winning 5 out of it's 7 starts. Unbeaten from it's 3 1st up attempts. I was a little concerned that it may lead but it has won over 1600m so it should have enough stamina to be able to kick on. Other hopes to Like An Eagle, Bondarchuk and Rorke's Drift.
***With the scratching of Bondarchuk, I'll promote Jughalation***
Canterbury
Race 1 - Small field, I won't be getting too involved if at all. I'll put Nocturnelle on top despite the fact that she'll get back. That's not ideal with the rail out 3 metres but the horse goes well on slow going and looks to be above average. Next best is Double Ranga. Think those 2 will be fighting it out.
Race 2 - 2 year old race with limited form. Pass.
Race 3 - Tricky race I suggest so be careful. I'll have a small wager on Said Com. Won on debut on slow going by 2.3 lengths and looked good doing so. Hughie Bowman was on top that day and he reacquaints himself with the horse here. Other hopes to Soledad, Velrosso and Road To Summer.
***With the scratching of Velrosso, I'll promote Wild And Proud to the other hopes***
Race 4 - I like the look of La Remlap here. Handles a rain affected track reasonably well but the key here is her record at the track. She's won both her starts over this distance at this track. Should be able to race handy and prove hard to catch. Other hopes to Al's Magic Miss and Girls Go Racing.
Race 5 - Steps In Time is short but I can't see it getting beaten. Was impressive in it's initial campaign. Most notably a 0.3 length 2nd to Red Tracer. The Pumper should let this girl jump and run. If that's the case, she'll be tough to run down. Has raced great at her previous attempts at this track. The rest are running for 2nd.
Race 6 - Going with Luck San here. Looked a decent horse when last in work. Has a great record around this distance range. Slight concern that it hasn't trialed before this start but comes from the astute Hawkes stable so I'd doubt it wouldn't be up for this. Ran 5 lengths 2nd to Sincero in the slop. Other hopes to Duke Of Cornwall, Youthful King and Radar.
***With the scratching of Luck San, I'll promote Duke Of Cornwall to top pick and bring in So Generous to the other hopes***
Race 7 - This looks a good race for Mangaroa Flyer. Firstly this horse will lead or race on the speed. That could be a huge advantage on this circuit on slow going. Handles the wet well. Looks to be hitting it's straps now after coming over from NZ. Will be rock hard fit 3rd up. Other hopes to Tigress Lily, Bielski and Gangster's Choice.
***With the scratching of Gangster's Choice, I'll promote Umatain to the other hopes***
Race 8 - This looks a dangerous race to finish up. I'm putting Bereft on top but with little confidence. The horse handles a wet track but goes well on a dead track if it dries out. I'm worried about it running this distance out strongly but it did come 2nd in it's only attempt at it. Ran on well last start which is a good sign. Other hopes to Sienna Red, Pepin Hoaks and Rockin' Rocket. I'd be going wide in your quaddies.
Best Bets
Sandown - Race 2 Number 7 Apres
Race 3 Number 7 Procida
Race 6 Number 11 Lord Of Arms (scratched)
Race 7 Number 9 Henwood
Canterbury - Race 4 Number 3 La Remlap
Race 5 Number 5 Steps In Time
Race 7 Number 2 Mangaroa Flyer
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