Race 1 - 2 year olds with no starts. No thanks.
Race 2 - I'm quite wary of this race and won't be getting too involved. I have gone with Instalment. Went close to having a 2 from 2 strike rate last start. 2 horses that finished ahead of it in that race ran franked that form by running well last Saturday. Being an Elvstroem, the 1400m shouldn't be a problem. Other hopes to Roses In The Glen, Sabres and Canonized.
Race 3 - I see a number of horses battling for the lead here over the 1000m. For that reason, I'm going with Johannapine. She should be able to sit back while the others go for glory early. Has won both it's starts and by a whopping 8 lengths 1st up. Could be a very good horse. Other hopes to Ravenous Lass, Del Palio and Lone Star.
***Del Palio and Lone Star both scratched. None are worthy of promoting to other hopes. Johannapine and Ravenous Lass could be a good quinella***
Race 4 - This is a very open race. I'll have a small interest bet on Prussian Officer. This fellow is usually fairly competitive and did run well last start. However he won't be suited if they plod along so be careful.
***Prussian Officer has been scratched. Wasn't overly keen on the race to start with but Shezaten is now the top pick***
Race 5 - Quite keen on the chances of Platamone Castle. The horse is flying at the moment, winning it's past 2. Loves a dead track and should be able to camp just behind the leaders. Will get a gun run and with just 54kg, will be hard to hold out. Other hopes to Bolton, Giresun and Belgietto.
Race 6 - Going with Pied A Terre here. I really liked how it ran 1st up. Seemed to be in total control and did just enough to win. Has an outside gate but that shouldn't be a problem and hopefully will lead to a better price. Likes the sting out of the track. Other hopes to There's Only One, Mr Make Believe and By The Way.
Race 7 - Empress Cleo should be in the finish here. Has been racing in great form this campaign, winning 2 and placing the other. Should be able to sit behind the speed and come home well. Other hopes to Graskop, Leoncita and Gold Rust.
Race 8 - I'm going to take a punt on Sean Baile Mor in the last. The horse hasn't raced 54 days which is a concern over 2000m. However it has raced well fresh in the past over shorter distances. Goes super on a dead track. I'm placing a fair bit of faith in the fact that the trainer knows what he is doing and that the horse is of a better standard than most of these. Other hopes to Power O'Raylee, Chaparral Lass and Manilla Jewel.
***Manilla Jewel has been scratched. I'll promote Kasane to the other hopes***
Rosehill
Race 1 - Small field of 2 year olds. Pass
Race 2 - I won't be getting too involved here. Looks to me like any number of these could win. I'll have a small bet on Republic Lad. He's racing in good form and should be running on at the end. Just think he has a few things in his favour over the others. Other hopes to Permit, Double Crescent and Peck.
Race 3 - If Chivvy is on song, she should go close to winning this. Her last start 0.3 length 3rd has been franked with the 2 that beat her running well last weekend. My concern is that Pink Power will get away with murder in front and they won't be able to run her down. Other hopes to Kuhreihen, Pink Power and Tabasco Kitten.
Race 4 - I'll go with The Owl here. Rises 5kg on his 2 length win over this distance last start but looks a nice type. Likes this distance and should get a nice run just behind the leaders. Is fairly short but is probably deserving of the early quote. Other hopes to Upbeat, Daymo and Senta D'Amor.
Race 5 - Alma's Fury looks to be right in this. Has a considerable weight advantage over most of these with only 54kg. Has won his 2 races since coming back from a spell. Will get a lovely run. Other hopes to New Day Rising, Tromso and Parthian.
***Tromso has been scratched. I won't be promoting anything to the other hopes***
Race 6 - This is a tricky race. I get the feeling that any number of these could pull something out of the hat. Having said that, I'm going with Duke Of Cornwall. The Duke did the right thing by me last start and he should look right in this for a long way. He should be able to lead unchallenged. His overall form is a hell of a lot better than his rivals. Other hopes to Bello, Sikka and Key West.
Race 7 - Going with Oakfield Comet here. The horse has been racing in good form lately and always seems to be in the finish. I liked the way it was able to settle towards the back last time and run on. Other hopes to Cabernet, Upon This Rock and Lil and Grace.
Race 8 - Maules Creek looks hard to beat in the last. Looked good running 3rd in it's 1st run after a long spell. Should be further improved for this and to be honest, there doesn't look much opposition. Well get a great run from the 5 alley. The others are running for 2nd.
Gold Coast
Race 1 - Tough way to get things off with a big field of maidens. Not your usual maiden race with some decent horses involved. I've looked for a bit of value here and have spotted Dreamy Dazzler at around the $21 mark. Has come in from $41. Perhaps it will need the run but it gets the inside gate here and I think it will take advantage of that position itself nicely. Last campaign it ran close to Biggles and Stop Crying. Some of the other hopes are Push Forward, Year Of The Tiger and Number One Gun. Put in Coup Rayvan if it gets a start.
Race 2 - Stratford looks tough to beat here. Has a lot in his favour. Has a great 1st up record, won at this track and distance and down in the weights. I think it's just a classier animal than the rest. Other hopes to State Of Wealth, Griffon and My Elixa.
Race 3 - These Country Cups are usually a tough ask and this is no different. I've gone with Feuer Drache because of it's consistency. Unlike most of these, it is more often than not in the finish. It's last start 2nd where it motored late looks good form for this. Other hopes to Slick Image, Cannyclimb and Kiss Me Deadly. If Miss Bradbury gets a start I'd throw that into multiples also.
Race 4 - Going with Nuptse in this. Sticking with her after she got the cash last start for The Silk. As is the case with 1000m, the speed should be on thanks to the likes of Schiffer, Gold Trail and Seek And Find. This will enable Nuptse to run on as it did last start. Loves this distance and a good track. Will go well. Other hopes to Seek And Find, Gold Trail and Paprika.
Race 5 - I backed Driefontein last start when it won and I won't be getting off now. Will get a great run from an inside draw. Yes, she had things go her way but I think this is a quality animal and will be further improved. Gai Waterhouse was super confident earlier this week when she said it would win. Other hopes to Sizzling, Amorino and Alezan Thunder.
Race 6 - The speed should be on here so I've looked for something with a powerful finish. I found it hard to separate Punch On and Lucky Morna. However the way Punch On raced 3 wide last start and still had enough guts to win, impressed me. Other hopes to Lucky Morna, Safusa and Biggles.
Race 7 - I like Spirit Of Boom here. I was really impressed with the way he exploded in the straight last start at this track to win well. Has 3 wins from 7 at the track. Other hopes to Startsmeup, Catapulted and My Destiny.
Race 8 - Emvoss looks to have a lot in his favour here. Firstly, he just loves the track. He has 4 wins and 2nd from 6 starts here. Secondly, he'll carry 5kg less than Kontiki Park after running just 0.3 lengths behind him. He'll get a gun run from the peg. Yes, there's a lot to like! Other hopes to From London, Kontiki Park and Hidden Kisses.
Race 9 - Miss Marx is a model of consistency, only being out of the placings once in 9 starts. Unlike a lot of these, I'm confident she can be strong at the end of 1300m. Will be positioned handy by the Pumper from gate 4. Other hopes to Demanding Miss, Capital Commander and Miss Barwang.
Best Bets
Flemington - Race 5 Number 8 Platamone Castle
Race 6 Number 12 Pied A Terre
Rosehill - Race 5 Number 8 Alma's Fury
Race 8 Number 3 Maules Creek
Gold Coast - Race 2 Number 10 Stratford
Race 8 Number 10 Emvoss
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