Friday 6 January 2012

07/01/12 - Caulfield, Warwick Farm and Gold Coast

Caulfield

Race 1 - 2 year old race with no form.  No thanks.

Race 2 - I won't be getting too involved in this race, if at all.  I have a slight leaning towards Taylor's Command.  It's 2 runs back from a spell have been quite good, running 2nd by 0.3 lengths in both.  Gets 3kg relief with K.Mallyon on top.  Should be able to dictate terms in front. Other hopes to Eleve, Gig and Total Attraction.

Race 3 - Going with Conquering Journey here.  Has been good since returning from a spell and starts to get out to a suitable distance here.  Past form looks too good for the rest of these.  The claim for Stackhouse is a bonus, dropping down to 55kg.  Other hopes to Agrippa, Mayneda Strategy and Cross Street.

Race 4 - I think Song Of The Bell could run a race here.  Although she has only won once from 8 starts, she has raced some quality opposition and finished reasonably close to them.  Her run last start where she finished 1.3 lengths to Soft Sand (super horse) should hold her in good stead for this.  I'm thinking she'll lob just behind the speed and get a great run.  Other hopes to Rescue Mission, Dontmentionthewar and Mister Milton.

Race 5 - First Command has to carry 5kg more than his rivals here but he's a quality horse when right and has shown an ability to carry big weights.  His 1st up record is great, winning 3 from 6 with a 2nd for good measure.  He loves this track and distance.  Other hopes to Cat's Pyjamas, Stirling Grove and Cascabel.

Race 6 - The outside draw is a concern with Ben Zena but I think he's in good enough form to overcome that.  His 2 runs back from a spell have been good and should prime him for this.  Likes this track and has a great record for this jockey.  Other hopes to Josimar, Cellarmaster and Nice And Neat.

Race 7 - Going with Princess Narine in an open race.  Has a perfect 3 from 3 1st up record.  Chances will increase if the track is rated good.  Just loves a good track.  Has a nice record over this distance.  Other hopes to Show Up, Avionics and Miss Matari.


Race 8 - This looks are very winnable race for The Big Steel.  Should be able to dictate terms in front and be hard to catch.  Has been racing well in recent races, losing last start on protest.  Other hopes to Token Of Honour, Apres and Port Vell.


Warwick Farm


Race 1 - Limited form.  Pass.


Race 2 - Not a fan of this race at all.  Pass.


Race 3 - We're up to race 3 and I'm still not excited about this meeting.  I'll be staying out of this race for the reason that I can see a blow out.  Horses like The Paymaster and Double Crescent could get to a handy lead and not be run down at big odds.  


Race 4 - Tiger Tees should get things to suit here.  On a leader biased track, he should be able to  lead or sit on the back of O'Crikey.  I wouldn't be taking a ridiculous price here as he has to carry 59kg and there were a few nervous moments last start when it was nearly run down.  Still it's hard to ignore winning form.  Other hopes to Dystopia, Sikka and Youthful Jack.

***With the scratching of Sikka, I'll promote O'Crikey to the other hopes***



Race 5 - I'm finding this meeting totally uninspiring.  I've gone with the controversial Bag Of Nickels.  It will only be in a small way however.  Has a poor draw but has shown a strong finish in it's young career.  Should be fitter and better for it's 1st up win.  Other hopes to Dayita, Oh My Papa and Misshiraz.

***With the scratching of Bag of Nickels, I'll promote Dayita to top pick and promote More Than Acracker to the other hopes***
 
Race 6 - I'm going with Rolling Pin here.  The horse goes well for Bowman and has been racing in good form.  Should be able to race on the speed and kick on like it did last start to win.  Other hopes to Irish Jig, Riding To Win and Olinoor.

Race 7 - The speed should be solid here with a number of horses that like to get to the front.  I'm going with Mac Chois.  Should be able to just sit behind the speed and get a great run.  Recently ran 2nd in a trial to Rain Affair who flew 1st up.  Other hopes to La Remlap, Codigo and Al's Magic Miss.

Race 8 - Hidden Gem will do me in the last.  The horse goes well fresh and over this distance.  Should be able to be handy entering the straight and with it's distance background, should be hard to hold out in the straight.  Other hopes to Bello, Skateboard and Quadrant.

Gold Coast 

Race 1 - Lady Colours looks the one to beat here.  Other hopes to Charge A Fortune, Little Critter and Doubtfilly.  I won't be getting too involved in this.

Race 2 - Mr Light Blue should be too good for these.  Looked to be going gangbusters last start before the race was called off.  Other hopes to Mukaddamah Son, Red God and Eureka Jack.

Race 3 - I'm a Skating On Ice fan but I think she's up against it here.  Has to contend with an outside draw and a poor record over the distance.  I'm prepared to take her on and back The Reveller.  This young bloke has looked impressive in past races and draws nicely here.  Trained by the inform Matt Dunn.  You know what that means?  Get on!  Other hopes to Skating On Ice, Achievements and Catashee.

Race 4 - I'm going with Geblitzt here.  Has had a freshen up and appreciates that.  Has a good record at the track and distance.  Should be enough speed on for him to unwind in the straight.  Other hopes to Bingo Rose, Lightfeet Lady and Rhapsodic.

Race 5 - This race looks custom built for Rocker.  If the wraps on this horse are fair dinkum then she should be giving these a touch up.  Other hopes to Gunner Knox, The Ringmaster and My Elixa.

Race 6 - I'm going with a horse having just his 3rd start in Aldini.  Looked impressive winning by 4.5 lengths at this track before going for a spell.  Will get back from the gate but that shouldn't pose a problem given that there should be a reasonable speed on up front.  Other hopes to Pear Tart, Divine City and Skater Dude.

Race 7 - As long as Meat Loaf doesn't sing before the Bat Out Of Hell, we should see a good race.   Where do you go here?  There's just so much speed.  I'm going with Trusted Partner.  Has an impressive overall record and flies 1st up.  Should get a great run from the 4.  Other hopes to Seek And Find, Inventory and Mondean.  

Race 8 - If you're alive in the quaddie heading into the last, good luck!  I'm sticking with Grey Assignment.  It has been racing in good touch lately went oh so close to getting the biscuits last start.  Has a great record at this track and distance.  Other hopes to Gold Shears, Izacat and Bawaardi.

Best Bets

Caulfield - Race 4 Number 8 Song Of The Bell
              Race 5 Number 1 First Command
              Race 6 Number 8 Ben Zena
              Race 8 Number 2 The Big Steel

Warwick Farm - Race 6 Number 2 Rolling Pin
                      Race 7 Number 5 Mac Chois

Gold Coast - Race 2 Number 7 Mr Light Blue
                  Race 5 Number 7 Rocker      


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