After a number of lean weeks, The Silk is looking to change the long list of placings into winners. If only it was as easy as that! I have worked around the following track conditions: Caulfield - dead/slow, Rosehill - Slow/dead and Eagle Farm - Good.
Caulfield
Race 1 - Looks a good race for Module. He has built a strong record and goes for 4 straight. Track conditions if they worsen from dead shouldn't hinder his chances. The big problem will be the price on offer and punters should be very wary of taking anything too short.
Race 2 - The result of this race will depend on the speed set. If Testascana and Carnero can get a soft lead then I think they will fight it out. However if they cut each other up then the likes of Lakedro and Diggersanddealers will be able to run over the top of them. Having said that, I think Testascana will again salute for Silk followers. Sure the barrier isn't ideal but I think this fellow is classy enough to overcome it.
Race 3 - This race sees the return of last season's Golden Slipper winner Sepoy. By rights he should be way too strong for these but the fact he is resuming and the untouchable price makes this a race to watch and learn. That's unless you are of the "better than bank interest" brigade, then good luck to you!
Race 4 - This will be a highly competitive 3yo fillies race. Mosheen has only had the 2 race starts and the second of these was a 2nd place finish to Sepoy. You could rightly assume that it's potential is untapped. This is the way I'll be going. Forever The Chill is a horse that the Silk mentioned last week and it didn't disappoint, running a nice 2nd in it's first start. It goes in. Satin Shoes is a classy animal and wouldn't surprise. Others to consider for multiples are City of Song, Glissade and Metonymy.
Race 5 - Will we see the continued rise of Bel Sprinter here? I believe so. He should be handy in the run, possibly even leading and with 53kg will be hard to hold out. You can never discount Stanzout in a race like this. A definite must for multiples. Other hopes to fill the placing include Chasm, Rightfully Yours, Bullbars and Swiss Rose.
Race 6 - You know Spring is approaching when stars like Whobegotyou start returning to the track. Whobe is a perennial runner up when having his first run back from a spell. Having said that, he did run well behind More Joyous last time he resumed! This looks a race in two with the undefeated Moody mare Lights of Heaven. However she's only giving Whobe 3kg and I don't think that will be enough. She may show she is a Spring star but am prepared to risk that and I'll be with Whobegotyou.
Race 7 - This race sees the return of a number of distance horses coming up against a couple horses in great sprinting form. I'll be going with the horses who have been running well lately and are rock hard fit and that's Mid Summer Music and Rue Maple. Mid Summer Music has had the wood on Rue Maple recently but not by much. Today sees a 1.5kg weight swing to Ruey and also sees Rue Maple get the prized 1 gate. I think that makes Rue Maple a great e/w bet. As I'm finding it hard to split the 2, I'll box the pair up in an exacta. Horses for the multiples include Southern Speed, Pinker Pinker, Do Ra Mi, Simply Put and Parables.
Race 8 - Interesting race to finish the day. Gossip Girl should take the lead from her inside draw. It could be hard to catch. Minnie Mah has been racing well and will be a big show from the 3. However I'm going the way of Biancon Rose as I did last week. It was caught wide and still only lost by a length. It drops 4kg and has the more experienced Craig Williams in the saddle. I think he'll give it the right run and it will be winning. Platinum Scissors and Little Tycoon are shows for the minors.
Rosehill
Race 1 - We kick off at Rosehill with a field of 6. I won't be getting too excited here. If forced to have a bet here I would support Darci Be Good. Looked a promising type in it's 1st campaign and handles all going.
Race 2 - Again a small field goes around and 3 of the runners are trained by Chris Waller. I'll be supporting 1 of his in top weight Foreteller. He has to lump 59kg but his past 2 runs have been full of merit. If Waller is serious about running this guy in the Cox Plate then he should be able to put this field away.
Race 3 - This is another race I'm not getting too excited about. I've gone with Thumbtacks. He finished off his last start at 1900m well to run 2nd to Brayroan. Think that's good enough form to be winning this. Next best is Adroitly.
Race 4 - Finding it hard to split Dailika and Sweetest Melody. Given a better ride last start, she should have won. Sweetest Melody has the Nash/Gai combo going for it as well as a perfect 2nd up record. I think Dailika is better suited at the weights and at $9 currently is much better value. For that reason I'll go with Dailika. I give chances to Jali and Delzera.
Race 5 - Going with Karuta Queen here. In a small field I think she can lead out and go on with it. Foxwedge is the obvious danger.
Race 6 - I have a high opinion of Soul. He's raced some very good horses and beat them or been very competitive. He hasn't raced for a long time which is a concern. Horses to put in your multiples include Atomic Force, Pressday, Master of Design and See The World.
Race 7 - Not a race I'm overly keen on here. I've settled on Gai's Choice as it's showing value at $13 currently. I'll have a sneaky e/w bet on her. I'm not sure where she'll end up from the barrier but in her favour is some recent good trial form, good 1st up record and handles any going. For the multiples I'd include Lioncub, Raspberries, Al's Gold and Mr Cool Cat.
Race 8 - This looks a race well suited to Altius. This well bred fellow should be heading to better races later on so he should put these horses away. He's got hardly any weight and Corey Brown on top. His last start win was eye catching. He goes on top! Other hopes include Galizani, Future Solution and Break Card.
Eagle Farm
Race 1 - Quite keen on the chances of Sweepstaking here. Her 3rd to Aladah last start was full of merit given how the race was run. Today she meets Aladah 5kg better off which I believe will more than cover the 2.2 lengths she was done by last start. Aladah is an obvious danger even though I don't think it will get everything it's own way in front. Other hopes to Chaste and Elimbari.
Race 2 - An omen bet goes around here in Bitasilk. Unfortunately it really doesn't have much of a chance and this Silk won't be touching it. Back to the race. I don't think it's overly strong and it looks fairly well set up for Miss Cutie. Although only had the 1 race win, I think she has a bit too much for the bulk of these.
Race 3 - Interesting race this one with a number legitimate chances. Aquatorial, Easy Running, Availability, Excapishe, March To Victory and Townie all come into calculations. Think there may be a bit of a battle for the lead here which has lead me to Aquatorial who will be running on.
Race 4 - Going to take a chance on Trusted Partner. He's a 1000m specialist and his stats at the distance are undeniable. However I have a concern that if he's niggled at then maybe there might not be enough left in the tank in the closing stages. Counteracting this is that Larry Cassidy is onboard and I'm sure he'll give the horse every chance. Hopes given to Monashee Dancer, Carry The Clubs, Haizum, Carry To Fortune and Baqaba at big odds.
Race 5 - It's very hard to go past Simmering here. His past 2 starts have been tops. The big danger here is Eleven Oysters. Her last start finish for 2nd was an eye catcher and with 49kg after the claim will be very hard to hold out. I'll be having a sneaky e/w bet on her as well. Next best King of the Nile, Diago, World By Night and Sunshine Angel.
Race 6 - Not overly confident about this race but I'm going to go with Sam's Town based on his close 2nd behind Danagaze two starts back. In that race he had a wide barrier and was able to come with a strong finish. I'm thinking or hoping that will be the case here. I'm not convinced that Shamardashing is the business but I will include it in multiples along with Xanthos, Raeburn and Smuggler's Inn.
Race 7 - Going to stick with Sway To Go. He was run down late last week and I think with the extra fitness gained from that run, he will take a tonne of beating. Mondean always gives it's backers a good sight but I think he may be found wanting at the end. Other hopes to Seventh Heart, Steel Dragon and Handsupfordetroit.
Race 8 - It was hard to miss the run of River Lad last start and that's the way I'm going here. He's dropping to 52kg with the claim and gets the inside gate this time around. I think that could be just the tonic to tip the scales in his favour. Belltone is the obvious danger. I was offput by the alley and hopefully discounting that doesn't come back to bite me. Whether Freton can step up to Saturday class is unknown but I'll be having it in my multiples along with Side To Side and Mr Nicholas who put in a bold trial showing.
Best Bets
Caulfield - Race 5 Number 15 Bel Sprinter
Race 8 Number 6 Biancon Rose
Rosehill - Race 5 Number 6 Karuta Queen
Race 8 Number 10 Altius
Eagle Farm - Race 2 Number 3 Miss Cutie
Race 7 Number 3 Sway To Go
Race 8 Number 5 River Lad
Toowoomba - Race 6 Number 2 Dodging Eddie
Race 8 - Interesting race to finish the day. Gossip Girl should take the lead from her inside draw. It could be hard to catch. Minnie Mah has been racing well and will be a big show from the 3. However I'm going the way of Biancon Rose as I did last week. It was caught wide and still only lost by a length. It drops 4kg and has the more experienced Craig Williams in the saddle. I think he'll give it the right run and it will be winning. Platinum Scissors and Little Tycoon are shows for the minors.
Rosehill
Race 1 - We kick off at Rosehill with a field of 6. I won't be getting too excited here. If forced to have a bet here I would support Darci Be Good. Looked a promising type in it's 1st campaign and handles all going.
Race 2 - Again a small field goes around and 3 of the runners are trained by Chris Waller. I'll be supporting 1 of his in top weight Foreteller. He has to lump 59kg but his past 2 runs have been full of merit. If Waller is serious about running this guy in the Cox Plate then he should be able to put this field away.
Race 3 - This is another race I'm not getting too excited about. I've gone with Thumbtacks. He finished off his last start at 1900m well to run 2nd to Brayroan. Think that's good enough form to be winning this. Next best is Adroitly.
Race 4 - Finding it hard to split Dailika and Sweetest Melody. Given a better ride last start, she should have won. Sweetest Melody has the Nash/Gai combo going for it as well as a perfect 2nd up record. I think Dailika is better suited at the weights and at $9 currently is much better value. For that reason I'll go with Dailika. I give chances to Jali and Delzera.
Race 5 - Going with Karuta Queen here. In a small field I think she can lead out and go on with it. Foxwedge is the obvious danger.
Race 6 - I have a high opinion of Soul. He's raced some very good horses and beat them or been very competitive. He hasn't raced for a long time which is a concern. Horses to put in your multiples include Atomic Force, Pressday, Master of Design and See The World.
Race 7 - Not a race I'm overly keen on here. I've settled on Gai's Choice as it's showing value at $13 currently. I'll have a sneaky e/w bet on her. I'm not sure where she'll end up from the barrier but in her favour is some recent good trial form, good 1st up record and handles any going. For the multiples I'd include Lioncub, Raspberries, Al's Gold and Mr Cool Cat.
Race 8 - This looks a race well suited to Altius. This well bred fellow should be heading to better races later on so he should put these horses away. He's got hardly any weight and Corey Brown on top. His last start win was eye catching. He goes on top! Other hopes include Galizani, Future Solution and Break Card.
Eagle Farm
Race 1 - Quite keen on the chances of Sweepstaking here. Her 3rd to Aladah last start was full of merit given how the race was run. Today she meets Aladah 5kg better off which I believe will more than cover the 2.2 lengths she was done by last start. Aladah is an obvious danger even though I don't think it will get everything it's own way in front. Other hopes to Chaste and Elimbari.
Race 2 - An omen bet goes around here in Bitasilk. Unfortunately it really doesn't have much of a chance and this Silk won't be touching it. Back to the race. I don't think it's overly strong and it looks fairly well set up for Miss Cutie. Although only had the 1 race win, I think she has a bit too much for the bulk of these.
Race 3 - Interesting race this one with a number legitimate chances. Aquatorial, Easy Running, Availability, Excapishe, March To Victory and Townie all come into calculations. Think there may be a bit of a battle for the lead here which has lead me to Aquatorial who will be running on.
Race 4 - Going to take a chance on Trusted Partner. He's a 1000m specialist and his stats at the distance are undeniable. However I have a concern that if he's niggled at then maybe there might not be enough left in the tank in the closing stages. Counteracting this is that Larry Cassidy is onboard and I'm sure he'll give the horse every chance. Hopes given to Monashee Dancer, Carry The Clubs, Haizum, Carry To Fortune and Baqaba at big odds.
Race 5 - It's very hard to go past Simmering here. His past 2 starts have been tops. The big danger here is Eleven Oysters. Her last start finish for 2nd was an eye catcher and with 49kg after the claim will be very hard to hold out. I'll be having a sneaky e/w bet on her as well. Next best King of the Nile, Diago, World By Night and Sunshine Angel.
Race 6 - Not overly confident about this race but I'm going to go with Sam's Town based on his close 2nd behind Danagaze two starts back. In that race he had a wide barrier and was able to come with a strong finish. I'm thinking or hoping that will be the case here. I'm not convinced that Shamardashing is the business but I will include it in multiples along with Xanthos, Raeburn and Smuggler's Inn.
Race 7 - Going to stick with Sway To Go. He was run down late last week and I think with the extra fitness gained from that run, he will take a tonne of beating. Mondean always gives it's backers a good sight but I think he may be found wanting at the end. Other hopes to Seventh Heart, Steel Dragon and Handsupfordetroit.
Race 8 - It was hard to miss the run of River Lad last start and that's the way I'm going here. He's dropping to 52kg with the claim and gets the inside gate this time around. I think that could be just the tonic to tip the scales in his favour. Belltone is the obvious danger. I was offput by the alley and hopefully discounting that doesn't come back to bite me. Whether Freton can step up to Saturday class is unknown but I'll be having it in my multiples along with Side To Side and Mr Nicholas who put in a bold trial showing.
Best Bets
Caulfield - Race 5 Number 15 Bel Sprinter
Race 8 Number 6 Biancon Rose
Rosehill - Race 5 Number 6 Karuta Queen
Race 8 Number 10 Altius
Eagle Farm - Race 2 Number 3 Miss Cutie
Race 7 Number 3 Sway To Go
Race 8 Number 5 River Lad
Toowoomba - Race 6 Number 2 Dodging Eddie
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