Race 1 - Not a great start to the day with only 5 runners and the majority of jockeys being international apprentices. I won't be betting in this race but I see Dance With Her and Sidecar as the winning chances.
Race 2 - I have a wrap for Pied A Terre who won for The Silk recently. Following that form line I will be backing Motorised. Motorised finished an unlucky 0.8 lengths from Pied A Terre last start and I think can go one better here. The biggest danger is Club Command who won by 4.3 lengths on debut at Seymour and comes from the Moody yard. Others hopes are That's The One and Tunes.
On Top - Motorised
Race 3 - Another race with the international apprentices going around. I've gone for There's Only One. No idea what sort of a jockey Vincent Ho is but he claims 1.5kg which brings There's Only One into 52kg. The horse has been flying in it's past few starts and is trained by Moody. The obvious danger is Maraaseem. The horse is in form and has the very good jockey McDonald on it but I think the weight may get her in the final stages.
On Top - There's Only One
Race 4 - I like one down in the weights here. I'll be going the way of Noble Park. This horse from the Moroney yard has only had the 4 starts but has won 3 of those and is first up here. It beat Turnitup here in it's last appearance at the track and I think has a lot more upside than most of these. Mr Griswold is the next best. However it has a poor barrier (14) and I think that may prove costly. Other hopes are Sanrio who is a 1400m specialist and wouldn't surprise if it won and Cabeza.
On Top - Noble Park
Race 5 - Tough race this one. I've gone with Sarge In Charge. Not overly happy with that because he's been hard to follow in the past with his mixed results. However I think he's in pretty good form at the moment and should give it a shake. Next best is Happy Angel who will carry next to no weight with the claimer and good straight form. Other hopes given to Chosen to Fly and Marmaa.
On Top - Sarge In Charge
Race 6 - One of the Silk's favourites goes around here in Perturbo. He's in terrific form and loves this track and distance. He's on top. Chances to Miss Gai Flyer, Temple of Boom and Nicholas Court.
Best Bet - Perturbo
Race 7 - Winning form is good form and that's the reason for me going for Lethal Arrow here. I think it will be able to get a soft lead and race away with it which it has in it's past few starts. The Moody runners should fight this out and next best is White Universe. White Universe is to be ridden by Luke Nolen which often is an indicator for Moody runners. Other hopes to They Won't Last and Prince of Capers.
On Top - Lethal Arrow
Race 8 - I'm not overly keen on this race. It seems a race of many chances. If pushed to select just 1, I'd go with Little Tycoon. In it's 1st up run it ran very well for a 2nd. It will get back from the barrier but the speed should be ok for it to come home strong. Other hopes include Winged Charm, Cool Diva and River Bypass.
On Top - Little Tycoon
Randwick
Race 1 - Girls Go Racing and Phenomenal Lass will be all the rage here and rightly so. However I'm going with Rain Melody who will offer better value. It has the advantage of being trained by Waller and ridden by Oliver. It has also beaten Girls Go Racing previously and is sound over the distance.
On Top - Rain Melody
Race 2 - Not going to get too involved here. Very little form to draw from and that's why I've gone with the horse with the most experience, Never Doubt Me. Last start it carried 59kg and won by 4 lengths at Grafton. It's overall form is good. Alcancia the main danger.
On Top - Never Doubt Me
Race 3 - Gone with Bereft here. The horse has only been out of the placings once in it's career so you know it's going to give you a sight. Last start it beat Namsarai in a midweeker who then came out on Wednesday to win. Next best is Beltane, Mumslad and one I definitely wouldn't be leaving out of exotics is Youthful King.
On Top - Bereft
Race 4 - Will be saddling up with the gun combination of Waterhouse and Rawiller here with Essence of Success. The horse has been winning easier races well and gets it's chance in Saturday class. Distance is a query but it should get an easy lead and be able to kick away. Next best is Timetable followed by Our Cannavaro and Home On A Wing.
On Top - Essence of Success
Race 5 - Chivvy looks a very horse indeed. Won well on debut and then came home with a bottler of a run when coming from the widest gate. Think it's got the most upside here. The definite danger is Al's Magic Miss. Has run in some decent quality races and hasn't been far off. Other hopes to Road To Summer, Aeronautical and Bello.
On Top - Chivvy
Race 6 - The Missile Stakes - Today we will find out if Rain Affair is the real deal. The Silk is a massive fan of this horse. He's put together an imposing record but today faces his stiffest test. I think he can aim up and that's the way I'll be going. He will face strong opposition from Pinwheel who never runs a bad race, Squamosa and Triple Elegance. Be careful not to take too short a price if going with Rain Affair.
On Top - Rain Affair.
Race 7 - There's a few here that have been unkind to the Silk in recent showings. With the fear of getting burnt one more time, I'm going with Whisperossa. I'm prepared to forgive the hiding he copped last start and C.Brown should give him a decent run. Hidden Gem is in super form and definitely can't be discounted. Othella next best and could slip away with a handy lead. Dunrossil a place chance.
On Top - Whisperossa
Race 8 - I won't be getting too involved in the Get Out. The form in this race is to be honest, poor. Going to go with Daintree Road. The Pumper should give his mount a decent chance. 2 from 3 at the distance and it gets a better surface than last start. I'm not going to bother listing the main dangers because I might as well list the the field.
On Top - Daintree Road
Doomben
Race 1 - The Silk was on Denwood last start and sees no reason to get off just yet. Although still a maiden, Denwood finished off the race nicely behind Biggles who you will know as the horse who had the biggest kahunas ever seen. The added distance in my mind can only suit. The obvious danger is Red Royal who did well to finish the race as close as he did from the wide draw in the Biggles race. With the nice alley he will run well. Peppered Black and The Inventor to fight for the minors.
On Top - Denwood
Race 2 - The Silk was kicking cans and headbutting walls the other week when Work The Room saluted. I had kept the faith with the horse for so long and then finally decided enough was enough. Then it won and won well. One win isn't enough to get me to jump at the short odds on offer. It's a small field so getting involved probably should be avoided. I'd say the handicapper has got it right and the top 3 will get the spoils.
Best Bet - Have a feed or in the Silk's case, a siesta.
Race 3 - Punters should save their money from the previous race and throw the extra on Whateverwhenever in this race. It looks a standout bet and especially so if it's closest rival Maroon Bells fudges the start as it has in it's past 5.
Best Bet - Whateverwhenever
Race 4 - Another one of the Silk's favourites goes around here in Solzhenitsyn. However he's up in weight and that's a concern as is the tricky gate. Offsetting this is the fact that Jimmy Byrne is aboard. I like this lad and I'm prepared to stick with him. However he is going to face a tough task of it from Lapel and Eastline. With clear running Lapel could win this without question. Eastline never runs a bad race as is the case with General Purple. However I would much prefer to see the General on a soft track. Unsupervised is a knockout chance following his last start.
On Top - Solzhenitsyn (try saying that to the bookie after your 8th beer!)
Race 5 - Somebody should tell these steeds that speed kills! Peelings stung the Silk last start but he showed enough to warrant staying solid. With the claim for Looker, Peelings will feel like he's got a feather on his back and should be running over the top of these. He's the one to beat. Other hopes include Darshan Joh who saluted for the Silk during the Grafton carnival, Tafeer who returned well last start and God's Window who has to get past a rubbish gate.
On Top - Peelings
Race 6 - There seems to be a common theme appearing here. Horse that have recently bitten the Silk. Here we have Tomboy running. Last start she was given no chance and I'm prepared to give her another go. She's certainly earned that right after some impressive displays in the midweeks and with a senior jockey on in Byrne, she should be in this up to her eyeballs. Isn't it great to see a Murphy's Blu Boy going around? I digress. Toughest to beat will be Rusty Hunter, Pannigen who's always thereabouts and Blow A Kiss.
On Top - Tomboy
Race 7 - Twitter followers of the Silk will have fond memories of one of the better picks in this race, Frozone. The Fro saluted for us 3 starts back at tasty odds. Enough of the bragging and back to this race. I'll be sticking with Frozone in this race. I think he's in good enough nick to win a race like this despite carting 58kg. He'll face a ding dong battle from Secrets Untold who kept coming last start when wide. Again the gate is a concern today for him. Lake George hasn't shown a great deal lately but I give him a sneaky chance if there's a little bit of rain about. I'd put Elusive Port in as I have a lot of time for it but I really can't see it running out a strong 1600m.
On Top - Frozone
Race 8 - I really like the chances of Age Of Heroes here. He is undefeated 2nd up, loves the distance, down in weight and has the Colless/Bailey team in his favour. The only concern is the outside draw. However I think he can overcome this so he goes on top. Next in line and in no particular order are Frosty, The Sixties, Ollie Vollie and we have to include Falco Star who you never know what you'll get from.
On Top - Age Of Heroes
So there's the first edition of The Silk. Hopefully there's a few winners amongst the selections. Would have liked to have given some better explanations but I think the gist of it is there and let's be honest, most of you just want to know who's going to win!
My best bets for Saturday are:
Flemington - Race 6 Number 5 Perturbo
Randwick - Race 4 Number 2 Essence of Success
Race 5 Number 8 Chivvy
Race 6 Number 6 Rain Affair
Doomben - Race 3 Number 4 Whateverwhenever
Race 4 Number 2 Solzhenitsyn
Race 8 Number 4 Age Of Heroes
Remember to always bet responsibly.
No comments:
Post a Comment