Last Saturday was one to forget and that's what The Silk went about doing Saturday night. Unfortunately excessive partying only managed to wipe out the hours between midnight and 5am. In the bright hours of Sunday nothing had changed...only a handful or so of winners were found.
These being Totally Sure $1.30, Trajet $3.60, Anna Lizzie $2.20 and Cape Kidnappers $1.70 at Doomben, Arabian Gold $3.20 at Caulfield and Alpha Miss $2.10 at Randwick. Just deplorable but as always we're given another opportunity to redeem ourselves and what a day we have.
Let's get involved in Cox Plate day 2013!
Eagle Farm
Race 1
We're blessed with perfect weather and a good track. This opening event is a tough betting proposition given that 8 of the 9 two year old fillies are on debut. The wise thing would be to watch and learn but for the sake of involvement I'll be going with Runway Angel (6). It trialled over 850m this week and belted the opposition. 2nd was 11.8 lengths away with 3rd a further 8 back. Now it's a decent horse or the opposition were absolute duffers. I'll take the punt that this horse is alright and the fact that jockey Chris Munce has been engaged backs that theory up. Draws barrier 4 and with blinkers on, I think this filly is ready to win first up. Other hopes to Setfire To Therain (8), Aster Bloom (1) and I'm Chillin' (4).
Race 2
A field of 7 go around in this week's edition of the 2100m race. The odds won't be flash but Poste Restante (2) should be winning this and winning well. This horse has a handicap rating superior to anything in this race. In fact it's 6.5 points better than Volkhere and meets it at the same weight. It's record over the trip is excellent winning 2 and placing 3rd from 4 attempts. Enters this on narrow 3rd in the Port Macquarie Cup a few weeks ago. She's drawn the peg and jockey Michael Cahill can box seat. If I can get $2 or more then I'll be smackin' it!
Race 3
La Tikka Rosa (6) has a poor record over the 1200m with just 2 2nds from 7 starts. However I think she is flying at the moment and the way she's been finishing off her races suggests she'll eat the 1200m up here. She's won her past 2 starts with a relative amount of ease. The eye catching part has been that she's been hitting the line with gusto. There should be a reasonable speed set and Colless will be able to sit off it and pounce in the straight with her lighter weight. Other hopes to The Storeman (1), San Jose (3) and Jopa (5).
Race 4
Vis A Tergo is going gangbusters at the moment but I'm not sold on the fact that it can handle 1400m here. Particularly with a number of horses vying for the lead early. That will help the chance of Flying Jet (1) who likes to park himself at the back and come home like a, well a flying jet. He races well over this distance and particularly at this track. He meets Vis A Tergo better at the weights after taking ground off that horse in the straight last start. That race wasn't run to suit but this will be. Other hopes to Platinum Mint (9), Vis A Tergo (3) and Leviosa (2).
***Leviosa has been scratched****
Race 5
Morning Captain (3) came oh so close to getting us the chocolates 1st up and I'm sticking with him here to repay the faith 2nd up. He'll be able to stalk the leader Audacious Spirit and hopefully get over the top in the run home. His record over this trip is a good one with 8 wins or placings from 10 starts. Other hopes to Audacious Spirit (4), QFighter (8) and Fillydelphia (2).
Race 6
I'm really not a fan of this race but for the sake of involvement I'll put my thoughts forward. I'm putting What About Me (7) on top. This guy won his only start over this distance and I would suggest he's wanting the 1600m now. His 1st 2 starts after a spell were good where he ran on strongly. Last start he got too far back. With a reasonable speed he'll be coming hard at them in the straight. Other hopes to Tail And All (6), Slim Henry (4) and Arctic (10).
Race 7
I'm assuming that the price available for Bodega Negra (2) is because of the wide barrier. I may be a poor judge (don't answer that) but $12 seems a bit over the top. He got the cash for us last time and I'm sticking solid. Some of his more fancied rivals are stepping up to 1400m here whereas this guy has won 1350m and last start over 1600m. I think he worked out what it's all about last start and will go on with it. I think he can get across from the wide gate with reasonable ease to take a position in the 2nd pairing. In an open race I think he offers great value. Other hopes to Friendly Dragon (5), Queen Of the Lochs (4) and Hopfgarten (7).
Race 8
This meeting has deadset done my head in and now they want to finish me off completely with this doozy. Thanks guys. I'm going to go with Congo (11). This guy slayed inferior opposition last start by 3 lengths. Prior to that he went close to Regular who would win here. He's from the in form Dunn stable who are flying. Wiggins will be able to get the horse in a forward position and will be able to get home strongly. Other hopes to Vacallo (8), Hludowig (5) and Arado (1).
Best Bets
The only good thing I see is Poste Restante in race 2. Otherwise the best bet is just get involved and have some fun.
Moonee Valley
Race 1 - No Trials means no interest
Race 2 - Vatican (1)
Race 3 - Vibrant Rouge (6)
Race 4 - Opinion (6)
Race 5 - Savvy Nature (1)
Race 6 - Diamond Oasis (3)
Race 7 - Sneak A Peek (2)
Race 8 - Toydini (10)
Race 9 - Lake Sententia (2)
Race 10 - It's A Dundeel (11)
Rosehill
Race 1 - Sheer Style (10)
Race 2 - Chateau Lafaite (2)
Race 3 - No Interest
Race 4 - Marden (2)
Race 5 - Chatham House (6)
Race 6 - Landing (3)
Race 7 - Angel Bee (8)
Race 8 - Heart Testa (5)
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