Friday 11 October 2013

12/10/13 - Doomben, Caulfield and Randwick

Last Saturday the Silk should have kept his punting to Brisbane.  It was a successful day in the Sunshine State with 4 winners found on the 8 race card.  These being Grapevine $2.80, Vienna Royale $1.50, Pickabee $3.00 and Londehero $3.80.  Unfortunately the good work was undone with a poor showing down south.  We had a handful of selections that paid nicely for the place so I guess if they'd lifted just that little bit extra, the day could have been excellent.

A number of you are probably wondering how I went in the Melbourne Cup blog competition I plugged heavily on this page.  I didn't win (despite holding a commanding lead) and I won't be going into detail about it but it wasn't a great experience.  The end result was that I closed my Sportsbet account as did a number of my friends due to the lack of professionalism shown in the organisation of the competition.  I'd like to thank those people that took the time to vote for my entry.  Your support was greatly appreciated.

I'll stick to the same format as last Saturday with a bit of a write up on Doomben and then my top selections for Caulfield and Randwick.  Let's get involved!

Doomben

Once again we're blessed with clear skies and warm temperatures.  The track will be hard and fast courtesy of some very warm days particulary Friday.  The weather bureau have mentioned showers but I'd doubt they'll eventuate and if anything they'll just take the edge off a good 3 track.  

Race 1

We kick things off with a race for 2 year olds where all runners are on debut.  That makes things difficult with most having had just the 1 trial leading into this.  I'll go with the Bryan Guy trained Stroak (8).  This filly won her only trial over stablemate I'm Alone.  She's drawn nicely in barrier 3 and gets the services of Michael Cahill.  She is out of the same sire as last year's Magic Millions winner Real Surreal.   Hardest to beat are Shadowside (2).

Race 2

This isn't a race I'll be jumping from trees to get involved in.  Having said that, Tail And All (1) looks a very good chance.  Last start at Eagle Farm over 1600m he was held up for quite some time in the straight before finally getting out and charging to the line.  On that performance you'd think he'd be hard to beat here.  He rises 3kg in the weights but to be brutally honest this isn't the strongest race.  In a race devoid of any speed, jockey Ryan Wiggins will be able to push him forward into a prominent position.  I wouldn't be taking silly odds here but I think he'll be winning.  Other hopes to Elusive Storm (5), Flying Fuji (3) and Arctic (4).

Race 3

Gypsy Pearl (6) enters this race 2nd up and looks in good shape.  1st up she ran 2nd to La Tikka Rosa over 1010m which is a tad too short.  That form was then franked with La Tikka Rosa coming out and winning it's next start.  Gypsy Pearl really loves this track and distance with a record of 2 wins and a 2nd from 3 starts.  She will race with 54kg after the claim for Anthony Allen.  She's drawn nicely to be in the box seat entering the straight.  Other hopes to Vis A Tergo (3), Ticket To Dream (4) and Urgent Bells (5).

Race 4

I'll be playing a quinella here with Vacallo (5) and What About Me (6).  I've found it hard to split the pair but I've put What About Me (6) narrowly on top.  He looks primed 3rd up to get a win after fast finishing placings to Regular and Magic In Motion.  He has a great overall record and races particularly well at this distance.  Gets the services of Chris Munce which can only be a positive.  Other hopes to Vacallo (5), Black Cash (2) and Lady Agulhas (2). 

***With the scratching of Lady Agulhas, I'll promote Tapakeg (8) to the other hopes***

Race 5

A lot of these 3 year olds have been racing each other recently but that doesn't make this any easier to pick.  I'm going with Bodega Negra (4).  The connections of this guy must have an opinion of him as they took him to Sydney for the Group 2 Stan Fox last start.  Sure he failed to beat a runner home but I like the confidence to send him there for a crack.  The start prior he ran 3rd over this trip but he really should have won given he was all over the place in the straight like a mad dog s$%t.  If he can knuckle down to the task then I think he'll go very close here.  Other hopes to Elite Echelon (5), Tornado Miss (3) and Hopfgarten (6).

Race 6

Arghhhh!  Enough already of these 2000+m races in Brisbane.  Could I interest you in a lotto ticket?  But seriously we have a 2030m race here where anything could happen.  Volkhere comes up as favourite but I'm prepared to risk him.  I'll be with the up and comer Quick Witted (7).  In her brief career she's won 3 from 4.  She's won her last 2 starts easily over 1800m at the Gold Coast in class 2 company.  This is a big step up but I think she's ready for it and there's not a great deal of talent here.  Chris Munce is a key appointment and he'll be able to go forward and control things.  Other hopes to Special Miss (8), Volkhere (1) and Hush Power (5).

Race 7

This is a very competitive race over 1200m.  The speed should be reasonably quick with the 3 horses drawn the widest all having a liking of going forward.  I'm going with Morning Captain (3) who will get the gun run from barrier 1 and will be able to settle 4th.  He resumes here and he has shown that he goes particularly well after a spell.  He has a liking for this track as shown by his 7 quinella finishes from 9 starts.  Other hopes to Vintage Moss (5), Excellantes (2) and Facile Tigre (1).

Race 8

Qfighter (8) is a horse that needs a luck and importantly a strong pace.  I think he'll get that pace here with possibly 4 horses pushing forward wanting to lead.  This guy is going really well at the moment and hitting the line with gusto.  Gets in with just 52.5kg after the claim for Tegan Harrison.  Last start in a race run not to suit, he was terrific so imagine what he'll be like when he gets the conditions to suit?  I can hear The Snorkel yelling "Go Tegs" from Vegas now!  Other hopes to The Storeman (5), Oakfield Command (1) and Sir Luminar (11).


Caulfield

Race 1 - Stingray (9) 

Race 2 - Missy Longstocking (1)

Race 3 - Villa Verde (7)

Race 4 - Unpretentious (6)

Race 5 - Shamal Wind (5)

Race 6 - Super Cool (5)

Race 7 - Floria (6)

Race 8 - Sea Moon (1) 

Race 9 - Solzhenitsyn (2)  

Race 10 - Dissident (1)



Randwick

Race 1- Multilateral (6)

Race 2 - Taraneem (11)

Race 3 - Surge Ahead (5)

Race 4 - Shelford (3)

Race 5 - That's A Good Idea (5)

Race 6 - Savvy Nature (4)

Race 7 - Our Desert Warrior (6)

Race 8 - Lilliburlero (5)


Best Bets

Doomben Race 3 - Gypsy Pearl (6)

Doomben Race 8 - Qfighter (8)

Randwick Race 7 - Our Desert Warrior (6)

    


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