Last week was a welcome return to form for The Silk. It was a profitable day with 9 winners found at the 3 meetings. These being Stroak $3.00, Bodega Negra $6.00 and QFighter $3.30 at Doomben; Missy Longstocking $3.70, Unpretentious $3.70, Sea Moon $3.20 and Solzhenitsyn $6.80 at Caulfield and Multilateral $1.90, That's A Good Idea $2.30 at Randwick.
To encourage the winners to continue coming, I'll once again have a bit of a write up for Doomben and list my top picks for Caulfield and Randwick. Caulfield Cup day dictates that involvement will be high so let's get amongst it! Best of luck!
Doomben
Unlike the past month or so, the weather isn't fine and sunny. Forecasts for Friday and Saturday morning suggest showers/rain could occur. If this eventuates, I don't think the track will race any worse than dead.
Race 1
A small field of 6 two year olds go around here over 1110m. Totally Sure (5) narrowly lost to Grapevine in it's debut run 2 weeks ago. Gets the gun run from barrier 1 and will be further improved 2nd up. It looks the likely winner here but at $1.55, I won't be getting involved. If for some strange reason it gets out to backable odds then I will get on. Hardest to beat is I'm Alone (3).
Race 2
We get the obligatory 2200m race out of the way early this week. Thank god for small miracles! Who drew the winning number this week? I'm going with Trajet (5). I thought he raced quite well last start when he ran on for 3rd to Raeburn. He lost ground 1000m from home which added merit to his performance. He has form around the likes of Mr O'Ceirin and has been competitive in better quality races than this. Michael Cahill guides the horse. OTher hopes to Borehole (2), Soul Crusade (8) and Sam's Town (4).
Race 3
I've hummed and harred over this race for some time and that's never a good thing. Again it's a small field with just the 7 horses. Speed will be critical and the likely leader will be Listen Son. I don't think he'll get things his own way which could help Signified (3) avoid getting a difficult run from the awkward barrier. This horse is 3rd up and after two 2nds leading up to this looks ready to handle the 1350m. Will race with 54kg after the claim for Tegan Harrison. I also suspect that this horse will handle a damper track better than the others engaged here. Other hopes to Belltone (1), Listen Son (2) and Pellegrini (7).
***With the scratching of Listen Son, I'll promote De Dozen Stars (6) to the other hopes***
Race 4
Whiskey Allround (2) comes home after 2 races in Melbourne. This guy won all 3 of his races in Brisbane before trying his hand in much tougher races down south. Some of those races were of Group standard. He has a class edge over the rest of these. He has had a month off since his last start 3rd at Caulfield. In that race he went down by 3.5 lengths to Iconic and Villa Verde (no slouches) but he did race wide. Gets a gun run from barrier 2 and gets Cahill in the saddle. Other hopes to Sammi Jain (7), Enquare (5) and Hallside Rose (6).
Race 5
I was really taken by Tax Evader (3) last campaign. He really came on and was competitive in decent races. He resumes here and has a decent 1st up record with 2 wins and a 3rd from 5 races. He'll get back but there appears to be sufficient speed up front to give him a nice cart into it and we know he'll be finishing off strongly. He won his only start at this track and distance. Any moisture in the track will be too his advantage as he showed a real liking for it. Gets 2kg relief for the claiming Ash Butler. Other hopes to Theft (1), Lucky Sound (4) and Caellum (8).
***With the scratching of Lucky Sound, I'll promote Destruction (10) to the other hopes***
Race 6
This could be a trap race with speed being crucial to my pick Annie Lizzie (6). Last start she was disadvantaged by the pedestrian pace and that could be a definite danger of happening here again. Having said that, this race is over 1600m and also the likely leaders will come from the outside which may force them to go a little quicker than they would have liked. She showed her powerful finish in wins at Ipswich over 1680m and here over 1350m. If she's in striking distance entering the straight, I doubt she'll be able to be stopped. I won't want to be taking a ridiculous price about her though. Other hopes to Danyme (8), Write Cheek (4) and Leviosa (3).
Race 7
Elmantosh (10) is one of mine. I really like this horse and I think he can win here. He's been racing in excellent form this campaign with 2 wins and a couple of placings from 4 starts. He races well over this trip and won't mind if the track is dead or worse. I really like the way he hits the line and even after a tough run last start, he was still attacking the line. He's still well weight at 54kg and will be given a nice run from Ric McMahon. Other hopes to Billy Aucash (8), Magic In Motion (9) and Sir Knox (11).
Race 8
Cape Kidnappers (1) has to lump 59kg but the fact of the matter is that it deserves it. It has won 6 from 8 and the 2 "failures" it ran 2nd. It resumes here and goes particularly well fresh winning 3 of 4. He loves this track and distance and can handle any going. He's drawn the inside gate and Ric McMahon will be able to give him the gun run. Other hopes to Stradon (8), Sinister Prince (6) and Rocky King (3).
***With the scratching of Stradon, I'll promote Leealan (5) to the other hopes***
Caulfield
Race 1 - Tango's Daughter (4)
Race 2 - Paximadia (1)
Race 3 - Arabian Gold (2)
Race 4 - Famechon (9)
Race 5 - She Can Skate (6)
Race 6 - Pinwheel (2)
Race 7 - Chiaramonte (11)
Race 8 - Honorius (1)
Race 9 - Peron (14)
Race 10 - Royal Descent (16)
Randwick
Race 1 - Alpha Miss (6)
Race 2 - Kirramosa (3)
Race 3 - Barbed (2)
Race 4 - Leebaz (8)
Race 5 - Ichihara (4)
Race 6 - Vaquera (4)
Race 7 - Riva De Lago (1)
Race 8 - She's Clean (3)
Best Bets
Doomben Race 4 - Whiskey Allround (2)
Doomben Race 8 - Cape Kidnappers (1)
Caulfield Race 5 - She Can Skate (6)
Caulfield Race 8 - Honorius (1)
Randwick Race 8 - She's Clean (3)
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