28/07/12 - Doomben

Doomben

Race 1 - Doomben was rated a slow 6 at 3pm Friday afternoon and with little chance of rain, the track should get very close to a dead rating by 11.45am Saturday.  In the opening event, I'm going with Landuncan (8).  Last start he came home with a wet sail in the South Grafton Cup over this distance to run 4th to Carry Me Bluey by 1.7 lengths.  That would appear good form for this.  Has Tricky Terry Treichel in the saddle and he should be able to give the horse a gun run from the favourable draw.  The horse has a good overall record winning 5 from 15.  Other hopes to Dusty Gold (3), Eureka (1) and From London (5).

Race 2 - Let's just be thankful that this isn't a leg of the quaddie.  It's not a race that inspires me at all and I won't be getting involved.  Eureka Jack (6) is 1 of the better hopes but I couldn't be convinced to take the $3 about him.  

Race 3 - I'm going with the form combination of Thompson and Lloyd in this 2 year old race.  Lita (7) won 1st up over 1030m for the pair last start.  She has won her only 2nd up start and that was over last start winner Modern Warfare who is engaged here.  Lloyd should be able to give her a great run from barrier 5.  Other hopes to Headless (6), Modern Warfare (1) and Parsnips (15).

Race 4 - The Silk was behind Top Of The Rock (3) last start when she narrowly went down to Bradbury Chocolate.  I'll stick solid here as she's in great form.  Her overall record is a good one.  Her record over this distance stands at 4-2-1-0 and she has also raced well at this track.  Gets 3kg off for the apprentice Richardson and I can see the horse getting an excellent run from barrier 6.  Other hopes to Divine City (1), Gypsy Pearl (11) and War Charm (2).  

Race 5 - Bradbury Chocolate (1) is unbeaten in 7 starts and won impressively in it's 1st go in town last start.  It came from the rear of the field to storm home on heavy going.  It's 8th win looks a very good chance here.  The others are running for 2nd.  

Race 6 - If Mossriver (2) was ever going to win a race then this is probably it.  She has been racing much better quality opposition than these recently and has done a decent job doing it.  She has a good record over this distance and at this track.  Will more than likely get her favoured dead track.  Other hopes to My Bellydancer (8), Zamboni (9) and Norocos (1).

Race 7 - Plenty of value to be had here with such a big field.  I'll be throwing my support behind Little Brown Horse (9).  This is a consistent race horse winning or placing 9 from 17.  This is her pet distance range with a record of 8-2-1-1.  Has the claimer Matheson on top and will carry just 51kg.  Should get a great run from barrier 4.  Other hopes to Beggin (3), Modern Al (1) and Miss Orielle (10).

Race 8 - This is a competitive race, no doubt about it.  I've gone with Prost (6).  His last 2 runs have been full of merit.  He ran 4th in the Eyeliner where he was slow away but rallied late.  He then ran 2nd in the Ramornie behind a very good horse but again he came home well.  I think those 2 runs have him primed for a good display here.  Lloyd will be able to give him an excellent run from the inside gate.  Other hopes to Signified (10), Youthful Jack (3) and Lucky Luna (4).


Race 9 - Golden Cash (4) put in a good run 1st up after a year off the scene.  After leading he was run down 100m out which is understandable considering the time out.  He should be all the fitter for that blow out and I expect he'll be right in this.  Colless will be able to possie him up well  from the nice gate.  Drops 1.5kg from last time.  Other hopes to Requested (9), Shafeeq (7) and D'Jet (10).       


Best Bets


Race 4 Number 3 Top Of The Rock
Race 5 Number 1 Bradbury Chocolate
Race 9 Number 4 Golden Cash

Other Bets

Caulfield Race 5 Number 12 Al's Racing
Caulfield Race 7 Number 6 Reigning Lass
Caulfield Race 8 Number 11 Club Command

Warwick Farm Race 8 Number 12 I Get Around

21/07/12 - Eagle Farm, Flemington and Rosehill

This is a shortened form of The Silk this week.  I've concentrated on Eagle Farm and have included some bets that I'll be interested in putting on at Flemington and Rosehill.  


Eagle Farm

Race 1 - I really don't know what to except with the track conditions here.  At 4pm Friday the track was rated a Slow 7.  Eagle Farm's problem with becoming a swamp with the slightest amount of rain is well known.  A wise guy once said that all it takes is for a drunk local to urinate on the back straight and it becomes a heavy 10.  The weather has been fine but whether that results in an upgrade is doubtful in my mind.  Anyway getting on with it.  This isn't much of a race to kick things off with it looking like a race in two between Racing Heart and Warrior Within.  I'm with Racing Heart (1).  He has a great record at the track winning 5 from 11 and is undefeated over the distance here.  Has a super wet track record.  Will be able to dictate the race much like he did last start.  

Race 2 - The Sixties (4) looks well placed here.  He comes off a great run where he ran 2nd to Adnocon.  He can handle wet tracks well.  With Lone Assassin and Rockdale likely to go forward, The Sixties should be able to lump right in behind them and prove hard to run down.  I feel that he will be stronger over 1200m than The Ringmaster who really doesn't have a great record over the trip.  Gets 3kg off for the apprentice so will only carry 53.5kg.  Goes well at the track.  Other hopes to The Ringmaster (3), Joint Chiefs (6) and Skating On Ice (9).

Race 3 - I've been on Fantisha (8) in it's last 2 starts when it's ran on for a 3rd and a 4th.  I think she gets the ideal circumstances here to get the win.  Once again she's drawn the car park but that should not be a problem with a fair clip being set in front.  She'll cruise across to the back and unwind in the straight.  The 1500m looks ideal now.  She has only the 1 start on a wet track and she was able to get through it quite well.  Other hopes to Discreet (1), Royal Jester (4) and Offense (9).

***With the scratching of Royal Jester, I'll promote Fusil De Eve (2) to the other hopes***    

Race 4 - Divine City (1) is a last start winner for The Silk and I'll be supporting her again.  She went close at Ipswich 2 starts back when running wide throughout and then put the writing on the wall winning last start at this track.  Although she hasn't placed in her 2 wet track starts, she did compete well against the likes of Charm's Honour, Punch On and Double Impact in those runs.  Gets 3kg off for the in form apprentice Allen.  In a thin race, other hopes to Venture On (2), Epic Terra (4) and Someday (7).

Race 5 - Revitalise and Black Magic should be fighting this one out.  I'm going with Black Magic (8) based on her last start 3rd.  On that occasion she bombed the start but still came home in a flurry.  The extra 100m here will suit and with a better start, she'll be tough to hold out.  She has won on a slow track 3 starts back.  Other hopes to Revitalise (4), Viking Heart (7) and Iking (5).

Race 6 - They could have been more kind to quaddie punters by not having this even affair as the 1st leg.  In this very open affair, I'm going with Scarbank (4).  Currently around the $15 mark, I think he offers good e/w value.  He has won and placed on wet tracks and has a good record over this trip.  Some of the better hopes are Choral (1), Nickiera (7) and Hangover Henry (2).  Go wide.


Race 7 - Fire Up Fifi (1) has to carry considerably more weight than usual and goes up to what has been an unkind distance in the past.  However the horse is flying at the moment and that's hard to ignore.  She loves this track and goes well on wet surfaces.  I just think she's a classier animal than the others and am prepared to believe she'll step up here.  Other hopes to Cash 'N' Style (2), Angusroy (6) and Eureka Jack (10).

***With the scratching of Eureka Jack, I'll promote Eastline (3) to the other hopes***


Race 8 - Carry Me Bluey (4) looks right in this after winning the South Grafton Cup over this trip.  What a spoil that price was!  He has a strong record over this trip winning 3 from 6 and has shown an ability without winning on wet tracks.  He goes particularly well at the track.  I feel he will be stronger at the end than some of his rivals.  Other hopes to Topping (6), Belltone (1) and Pepperwood (5).


Race 9 - Tanah Lot (3) has been given the visitor's draw here but I think he has a class edge on these.  I'm not overly concerned about the barrier as I think Cassidy can either take the horse forward or more than likely take him to the back.  Either way, I think he'll be too strong in the concluding stages given that he has won up to 2500m.  Other hopes to Miss Barwang (6), Izacat (2) and Karoo (8).


Flemington


Race 2 Number 5 Loveyamadly
Race 5 Number 1 Gossip Girl
Race 6 Number 11 Future Solution
Race 7 Number 7 Night War
Race 8 Number 7 Imoto


Rosehill


Race 1 Number 5 Nocturnelle
Race 2 Number 1 Madam Nash
Race 5 Number 2 Soledad
Race 6 Number 1 Forty Thirty
Race 7 Number 4 Kelinni
Race 8 Number 7 Big Bonanza

14/07/12 - Caulfield, Warwick Farm and Doomben

Caulfield

Race 1 - This is a tricky race to kick things off with many of the horses having similar form lines.  Unfortunately that doesn't make it easier.  I'll have a small bet on Champagne Shisha (5).  She won well 1st up on heavy going at Mornington before leading here last start and fading for 5th.  D. Oliver gets back on for this race.  He was in the saddle when she won 1st up.  If given a handy trail instead of leading, I think she can be in the finish.  Other hopes to Slewsay (6), Bonaria (7) and Glenmaura (2).

Race 2 - I won't be getting involved in this race.

Race 3 -  Genuine Spin (3) comes up a short quote here and probably won't be backable.  It's easy to see why following her excellent 4 length win last start over this distance on slow going.  Some of those that she beat in that race get a weight swing here but I don't think that will be enough to stop her.  Other hopes to Turner Bayou (1), Elldami (2) and Laconic Lad (8).

Race 4 - Epingle (7) brings some good form into this race.  Although she was beaten last start by Storm Burst, she gets a weight swing here and also Luke Nolen has chosen to ride her over Storm Burst.  I think that's a good lead.  A wet track will hold no concerns and she did win last time on a heavy surface.  Other hopes to Storm Burst (9), Sister Norma (2) and Stoneblack (3).

***With the scratching of Storm Burst, I'll promote Shiny Buttons (5) to the other hopes***

Race 5 - Johannapine (6) has been costly this campaign but I'm giving her one more go.  She has a good heavy track record and races well at this track.  She was narrowly beaten by Serene Star last start but gets quite a weight swing here.  With clear running she should be hard to hold out.  Other hopes to Serene Star (8), Miss Bindi (1) and Show Up  (5).

Race 6 - Le Societe (16) grabbed the cash for us last start and I'm sticking with her again.  She simply loves the wet.  She is unbeaten on rain affected tracks.  She won her only previous 2nd up start.  Nolen should be able to give her a good run from the nice draw.  Other hopes to Second Effort (4), Alpha Proxima (5) and Rue Maple (11).

Race 7 - I'm not a big fan of this race at all.  I have no doubts that Cash Bound is the best credentialed horse in the race but I have a few worries with the 60kg and it's wet track form.  Such is the quality of this race that I wouldn't be surprised if it won.  I'm going with what could be a hit or miss proposition.  Hardly an ideal strategy!  Loot 'N' Run (3) unlike the majority of these has form on wet tracks, having won 4 and placing in 1 from 7 attempts.  He has also won 3 from 4 over the distance.  He should lead here or be very handy and I'll be hoping that he can go on with it.  The 3kg off for the apprentice could be telling.  Other hopes to Cash Bound (1), Komodo (2) and Harmonic (4).

Race 8 - LuckyI'mbarefoot (14) just loves a heavy track.  He has 4 wins and a 2nd from 6 attempts on it.  He is racing in good form, winning his last start.  He races well on the fresh side which he will be here.  Gets the Boss Man in the saddle with just 54kg.  Other hopes to Dash For Viz (10), Mr Griswold (3) and Jungle Ruler (2).

Warwick Farm

Race 1 - I'm going with one at a bit of value here in Disciple (4).  I won't be getting carried away by any means but it's worth a small wager around the $15 mark.  Comes from the Chris Waller stable with Corey Brown in the saddle.  Has a good record over the trip and can handle wet tracks.  

Race 2 - I'm not getting involved here.

Race 3 - Again, I'm not taken with this race.  I've put Pectin (1) on top but I'll only have a small wager.  She won well last start after taking a little while to get clear over 1250m on heavy.  Peter Robl stays in the saddle and will lump the same weight.  He should be able to position her well from the peg.  She has handled wet tracks in the past well.  Other hopes to Trixie (12), Berrimilla (8) and Arrowette (11).

Race 4 - Urban Explorer (4) comes up from Melbourne to race here for Jim Conlan.  This horse has put together a good record, winning 5 from 12.  Has shown an ability to handle wet tracks, most noticeably a last start win by 3.2 lengths on slow.  Has the in form Jeff Lloyd riding who should be able to position the horse very close to the lead and go on with it.  Other hopes to Sour Mash (3), Mr Tipsy (1) and Peck (5).

Race 5 - Happy Hussy (3) raced well last campaign against some reasonable opposition.  Most notably her 3rd in the Magic Millions Guineas.  Her overall record is good, only being out of the placings 3 times from 10 starts.  She's had 2 trial to warm up for this.  Last time she was 1st up she beat Sea Siren by 4.5 lengths.  Should be able to take a sit just off the leader.  Other hopes to Delzera (6), Fashion (7) and Matiya's Pride (9).


Race 6 - See The World (3) is flying at the moment.  His slow track record is excellent, winning 3 from 5.  He has never won beyond 1300m but the way he's been charging to the line, I doubt 1400m will pose too many problems.  Other hopes to Embark (7), Startsmeup (2) and Irish Dream (8).


Race 7 - I very much doubt that Ebony Rock (6) has come up from Melbourne for a hair cut.  It's been given the visitor's draw but they might not be as bad as initially thought.  A couple of these should roll forward and set a decent pace.  Ebony Rock has great slow track form winning 3  from 6.  He also has a good record over the distance.  Other hopes to Coup Ay Tee (3), Zykynthos Imprintz (1) and Think Mink (8).


Race 8 - Turf Hero (6) will do me in the last.  I struggled to separate a few of these for top pick.  Turf Hero has been racing in reasonable fashion lately.  He hasn't been winning but he's been close to the likes of See The World, Famous Seamus and Dee 'n' Gee.  He races well on all surfaces.  He should get a great run, sitting 3rd or 4th.  Other hopes to Gasquet (8), Tarrabandra (9) and Earnest Ernest (10).


Doomben


Race 1 - Signified (2) is in a purple patch of form.  He's won 6 from 14 and goes particularly well on a wet track.  Importantly he's never been out of the placings on slow/heavy tracks.  Other hopes to Comahni (5), Kiss Me Deadly (7) and Hidden Kisses (1).

***With the scratching of Hidden Kisses, I'll promote Bingo Rose (6) to the other hopes***


Race 2 - Double Image (7) gets in here with just 51kg after the claim and will be of great benefit in the mud.  This guy has put together a nice record, winning 4 from 8.  He has a win and a 3rd from 2 starts on a slow track.  His 1st up record is 2 wins and a 2nd from 4.  Should be able to just sit on the speed and pounce in the straight.  Other hopes to Gran Torino (5), Jopa (8) and Motspur (1).

***Motspur has been scratched but I won't add a replacement as I might as well name all of the 5 remaining runners***


Race 3 - Doesn't get much tougher than 2 year olds with limited starts on a bog track.  There's not enough info here for me to bet.  


Race 4 - Cash 'N' Style (2) was 1 I was on last start and I'm going to stick with him here.  He ran on for 4th on the heavy going then.  He should be fitter for that experience.  This is a horse that has won over 1800m and has competed at distances around 2200m.  It will be tough going through the mud so any stamina edge will be key.  His overall record on wet tracks stands out 4 wins from 9.  Other hopes to My Quilter (3), Marculoo (6) and Go Kingpin (5).

***With the scratching of Go Kingpin, I'll promote Easy Lager (8) to the other hopes***


Race 5 - Kevejon (9) will be in his stall dreaming of winning tonight with all the rain about.  He just loves a wet track.  He has won or placed in 9 of 13 starts on rain affected tracks.  2 starts back he was steaming to the line at Ipswich over 2150m.  Has the Hammer on with 54kg which is considerably less than the main hopes.  Other hopes to Racing Heart (1), Grey Assignment (2) and Ausworld (3).

***With the scratching of Grey Assignment, I'll promote Bloodhound (10) to the other hopes***


Race 6 - Brigadoon Jack (5) has been winning regularly at the Gold Coast and gets his chance to win in town with conditions to suit.  He gets in with just 51kg after the claim and loves a wet track.  He has a good record over this distance.  He should prove very hard to run down.  Other hopes to Meet George (2), Purettan (6) and Patties Mate (10).  


Race 7 - Good lord this is a tough race.  There's limited wet track form here.  I'm going to have a small bet on Cryon (12).  It's currently around the $21 mark and in an open affair offers some value. It's only been out of the placings once from 4 starts on a wet track.  Has Jim Byrne in the saddle.  Other hopes....go wide!


Race 8 - Top Of The Rock (6) comes up a clear top rater with me.  Last start she won by 3 lengths on a heavy track here over this distance.  She has a good overall record, only being out of the placings twice from 11 starts.  In a race where I don't think there's many that like the wet, this one stands out.  Other hopes to Military Grace (7), Internal Revenue (3) and Bradbury Chocolate (5).

***With the scratching of Internal Revenue, I'll promote Mr Favulous (1) to the other hopes***


Best Bets


Caulfield - Race 3 Number 3 Genuine Spin (if odds allow)
                Race 4 Number 7 Epingle
                Race 6 Number 16 Le Societe


Warwick Farm - Race 4 Number 6 Urban Explorer
                      Race 6 Number 3 See The World


Doomben - Race 6 Number 5 Brigadoon Jack
               Race 8 Number 6 Top Of The Rock       

07/07/12 - Flemington, Rosehill and Eagle Farm

Flemington

Race 1 - This isn't a race that I'll be getting overly carried away with.  I'll have a small wager on Zounite (1).  This guy won on debut at Morphettville and looked quite handy in the process.  He won his trial on slow going which is the surface he'll face here.  He should be able to sit off Happy Galaxy in the run and then finish off.  Other hopes to Happy Galaxy (4), Heroic Tale (6) and Sweetener (10).

Race 2 - Again we have a race that does not fill one with confidence.  On paper there looks like there could be a fair amount of pressure on.  To further complicate things, all jockeys are apprentices.  I'm going to go with Forty Thirty (4).  This horse has appreciated the wet tracks in his last few starts.  He won over 1500m by 2.8 lengths and then backed it up with a 4.5 length win over 1600m.  I like the fact that Wallace rode the horse in those 2 wins and it gets in with just 52.kg.  Other hopes to Winning Glory (2), New York (8) and Banca Mo (6).

Race 3 - Cyclone Andy (4) won over this course and distance last start by 3 lengths.  It was slow going on that occasion.  The same surface it will face here.  Glen Boss will also ride again and the horse only goes up 1kg for winning so easily.  Other hopes to The Counterfeiter (5), Rushworth (9) and Baron Douro (1).

Race 4 - Club Command (1) will lump 60kg here but I don't think that will be enough to stop him.  Not many of these have raced on wet tracks or have shown an ability to handle it.  This guy has with a win and a 3rd from 2 races on slow.  He should be able to get an easy lead here which has been the case in his past 2 wins.  Because of this, the 1600m shouldn't be a problem as Nolen will be able to control the race.  Other hopes to Chile Express (2), Outback Ranger (9) and Warrego Melody (14).

Race 5 - Wow, what a way to kick off the quaddie.  This looks a very tough race and for that reason I'm going with one offering great value.  That horse is Montgomery (2) who is currently around the $18 mark.  Firstly Glen Boss is riding him and he chose this horse over Streaky Fella.  Montgomery has shown an ability to carry big weights and also can handle a wet track as shown by his stats of 8 wins or placings from 15 races on a wet track.   His wins have been between distances of 2025m and 3000m so te 2600m here won't cause any problems.  Warmed up for this with a jumps trial which I think could sharpen him up.  Other hopes to Streaky Fella (5), Geejayhaitch (7) and Crabs (4).  Quaddie players will probably want to go wide!

Race 6 - Menados (16) grabbed the cash for The Silk last start and I'll be sticking with him again here.  Has a 2 from 2 record over this distance and won here last start.  He has shown a liking to wet tracks, winning 3 from 4.  King will be able to give him a great ride from the good gate. Other hopes to There's Only One (6), Lord Pyrus (2) and Future Solution (13).

Race 7 - Ready To Rip (3) has always been one that I've had some time for so I'm keen to see how he goes in the Moody stable.  He has a great 1st up record and has shown a liking for wet tracks.  He has quite a bit of ability and I think Moody will get the best out of him. Was scratching from Morphettville to run here. Other hopes to Gossip Girl (7), Dash For Viz (10) and Verdasco (5).

Race 8 - If you're alive going into the final leg of the Quaddie, good luck! Again this doesn't look an easy race.  I've gone with Pass The Post (2).  I'm concerned about her carrying 60kg but she did get up last start when carrying 59.5kg.  She has a great record over this distance as is her record on slow racing surfaces.  She races well for Mertens and he should be able to position her nicely from the good gate.  Other hopes to Aliberani (3), Barbie Dazzler (6) and Dayita (1).

Rosehill

Race 1 - I'll stick with Headless (2) after her narrow loss last start.  As mentioned last time, she wasn't far off Doubtfilly 2 starts back and that horse then ran 4th in the Golden Slipper.  She has handled the wet track the 2 times she has come across it.  The blinkers go on and that should sharpen her up.  Hardest to beat Sherocksmyworld (3).

Race 2 - Your Song (1) beat most of these last start and I can see him giving a repeat dose.  He has drawn the outside gate but there doesn't seem to be much speed in this race so I think Robl will be able to cross easily.  If Forever Crazy (4) settles closer, she will be the hardest to beat. 

Race 3 - Nocturnelle (5) is a horse I thought could win some nice races last campaign.  She ran well in those without winning but confirmed to me that she is a very good horse.  Although she hasn't raced on a heavy surface, her slow track efforts have been very good.   She has a good fresh record and likes this distance.  Warmed up for this with a trial win.  Gets Schofield Snr to ride which only enhances her chances.  Other hopes to Soledad (4), Bello (1) and At All Costs (6).

Race 4 - This isn't a race I'll be getting too involved in.  Piazza San Pietro (6) will do me for an interest bet.  Has won up to 2800m and is 2 from 2 on heavy going.  Will race with 52.5kg after the claim.  Last start he was disappointing when sent out a short priced favourite but is fit so should give a sight. 

Race 5 - Euryale (13) grabbed the cash last time for us and I was quite taken with the run.  I'm sticking solid.  She has taken a real liking to Rosehill, winning 3 from 4.  She has a perfect 2 from 2 on heavy going.  She's in a purple patch of form so it's best to go on the ride with her.  Other hopes to Thumbtacks (7), World Wide (5) and Dunrossil (12).

Race 6 - Kuhreihen (13) hit the line hard 1st up when narrowly going down to Soledad.  That was on slow going.  Malavio franked that form last week.  This horse hasn't been tested on a heavy surface but the way he got through it last start and the fact he's by Commands suggests to me that he won't have too many dramas with it.  Other hopes to San Zaim (15), Stout Hearted (6) and Romanus (8).


Race 7 - It doesn't get any easier with this race.  This really isn't a race that I want to get too involved in.  Fashion (5) seems to always be thereabouts.  It's 2 wins and 8 placings from 27 starts is testament to this.  It has 2 placings on slow going from 3 starts.  It can be slow getting away but it has jumped better in it's last 2 races.  If he can again then it should be prominent in the finish.  It's too difficult to narrow down the other hopes to 3.  Go wide.


Race 8 - Unanimously (3) has an excellent record 1st up, winning 3 from 4.  This is his pet distance, only being out of the placings once in 9 tries.  He has shown an ability to handle wet tracks.  Has to carry 59kg but that is offset by the jockey being Nash Rawiller.  Other hopes to See The World (5), Sutton Queen (9) and Lady La Douce (13).


Eagle Farm


Race 1 - The youngster War Charm (10)  will do me in the opener.  Has a good overall record and has done his best racing on a dead surface.  This is his pet distance winning 2 from 4 and placing in another.  He has some great form around the likes of Nobby Snip and Landing.  Other hopes to Liesele (16), Hidden Kisses (7) and Taken (12).

***With the scratching of Taken, I'll promote Leicester Square (5) to the other hopes***


Race 2 - Urgh. Do I have to?  No.  There's just too many chances here in an ordinary race.


Race 3 - $100 000 maiden and we have a few southerners chasing the big bucks.  I'm going with the Kris Lees trained Beaufort Gyre (2).  Lees has a good record placing his horses in Brisbane.  This guy has 4 placings from 5 starts and has narrowly missed out in his last 2.  Blinkers go on for the 1st time and that could really sharpen him up.  Munce will give him a great run from an inside gate.  Other hopes to Chilean Plume (3), Amphlett (13) and Windsplitter (8).

***With the scratching of Amphlett, I'll promote Good Hunting (10) to the other hopes***


Race 4 - All and sundry were impressed with Caldetes (1) when he won resuming on Ipswich Cup day.  Gets a nice draw here and will take full advantage of that.  Steps up to 1400m after 3 weeks since his win over 1100m.  This doesn't concern me as trainer Dunn is no mug so I trust he knows what he is doing.  Other hopes to Fantisha (16), Discreet (10) and Saluter (3).


Race 5 - Dusty Gold (8) slammed into the rail last start and lost considerable ground but still only went down by 4.8 lengths.  The start previous to that he ran on and narrowly went down.  Based on that run, a win was just around the corner.  He has a good record at this track and on dead going.  Will carry 53kg after the claim.  Other hopes to Fire Up Fifi (12), St Germaine (2) and Bianca Jewel (5).


Race 6 - Maythehorsebemagic (6) is from the Moroney stable which have been in good form in QLD this winter.  This guy will have no dramas running the 3200m after coming 2nd 2 starts back over the distance lumping 60kg.  Gets in with 54kg here which is better than Booming who beat him last start.  Other hopes to Booming (1), Spechenka (4) and Roi D'Jeu (7).


Race 7 - Adnocon (2) narrowly missed his 3rd Eye Liner last start when he charged home.  Belltone won that day and that form has been franked with Belltone winning the Glasshouse last week.  Has drawn the peg and Browne should be able to place him nicely.  He looks well weighted to me.  Other hopes to Griffon (3), Audacious Spirit (4) and The Sixties (6).


Race 8 - Divine City (5) almost sent The Silk out in a blaze of glory on Ipswich Cup day but unfortunately after racing wide went down by the narrowest of margins.  I'm sticking with her here.  I liked the fight she showed that day and that will come in handy over the 1400m.  Will carry 53.5kg after the claim.  Other hopes to Dorchester (14), Epic Terra (6) and Volkhere (7).  


Best Bets


Flemington - Race 7 Number 3 Ready To Rip


Rosehill - Race 2 Number 1 Your Song 
             Race 3 Number 5 Nocturnelle
             Race 5 Number 13 Euryale


Eagle Farm - Race 3 Number 2 Beaufort Gyre
                  Race 6 Number 6 Maythehorsebemagic