Tuesday 4 December 2012

05/12/12 - Doomben Midweek

Race 1 - We kick things off with a maiden field where it's hard to find a runner that's managed to finish in the placings more than once.  The Paparazzi (2) has been competitive since coming over from NZ.  In those 3 starts, it's managed a two 2nds and a 4th.  It carries 59kg here but it's no stranger to lumping big weights.  There doesn't look to be a great deal of speed in the race and I can see jockey Damian Browne taking the race up here and controlling things.  If that's the case, he should be tough to beat.  Other hopes to You're Serious (5), Hannibal Ad Portas (1) and Captain Francis (3).

Race 2 - Magic In Motion (9) came agonisingly close to breaking her maiden status last start when beaten by 0.2 of a length over this trip.  I think she can do it in this race.  She drops 3.5kg to 55kg and has drawn nicely in gate 2.  With a record of two 2nds and a 3rd from 4 starts, her time has come.  Other hopes to Itchintowin (8), Tips 'n' Tales (12) and Phantom Caller (11).

Race 3 - The Rob Heathcote/Damian Browne lovefest continues in race 3 with Bribie (2).  Bribie has been racing in harder class races than this and has been doing it admirably.  Drops back to a class 5 here and although rises in weight, should be too good for these.  There should be a decent enough speed for him to come over them in the straight.  Other hopes to Reassemble (3), Tickled (5) and I'll Takemanhattan (8).

Race 4 - I'm not eager to get involved in this maiden. Betting moves will be the best guide if you feel inclined to take part.  If push came to shove, I'd put Artalo (6) on top.  She's drawn the extreme outside which puts it at a distinct disadvantage over the 1020m.  Having said that, there doesn't look a lot of talent in this race.  It trialed well before running a very close 2nd at Ipswich over 800m.  Other hopes to Idahlia (10), Magnetic Miss (9) and Canny Candoo (1).

Race 5 - Gran Torino (1) resumes here and has an imposing 1st up record.  From 5 resumptions, she's won 4 and placed 3rd in the other.  This is her pet distance and has performed well at this track in the past.  She has beaten Lightfoot Lady previously and meets her more favourably at the weights.  Matheson should be able to slot her into a forward position from the nice gate.  Other hopes to Lightfoot Lady (2), Power Of Ed (3) and Secrets Revealed (8).

Race 6 - Lucky Morna (10) has only the 1 career win to her credit but she has been racing in considerably harder races than this.  She was competitive in races such as the Vo Rogue and the Magic Millions Guineas.  Based on that, you would think that a midweek class 3 should be right up her alley.  Other hopes to Amalfi Dreams (5), Karisha (9) and Precious Mandy (3).

Race 7 - I'm not a fan of Brisbane Saturday 2000m+ races so imagine my enthusiasm for the midweek variety.  I'm going with the bottom weight Wisp O' Will (14).  This horse has been racing consistently of late.  In fact, she's only been out of the placings once in 7 races since a break.  Last start she was nutted late after leading a 2180m race at Ipswich.  I don't have a doubt he'll handle the 2030m here. Something I can't say about many of her rivals.  She's drawn the outside but I feel she'll be able to get across to a good position a 2 or 3 pairs back.  Jocky Jim Byrne has struck up a good combination with this horse.  Drops 3kg on last start.  Other hopes to Square Up (1), Utmost Faith (4) and Master Avatar (8).

Race 8 - Quite a competitive class 3 over 1200m to end the day.  I'm going with Classic Bend (14).  This horse has had only the 1 start but won it convincingly over 1110m.  He jumped and ran on that occasion and was never headed.  His time for the final 600m was excellent.  He's drawn awkwardly in barrier 12 but Munce (jockey now D.Browne, won't lose anything there) should be able to get him across into a nice spot.  Further improvement in his 2nd race start should be expected.  Other hopes to Mishani Persuader (10), The Longshoreman (3) and Big Decision (7).

***With the scratching of The Longshoreman, I'll promote Jet Ace (15) to the other hopes***


Best Bets

Race 3 Number 2 Bribie
Race 6 Number 10 Lucky Morna
          

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