Friday 14 December 2012

15/12/12 - Eagle Farm

Eagle Farm
Race 1 - Poste Restante (3) enters this race looking for a hattrick of wins.  She's the class runner of the field and should win.  However I won't be accepting $1.75 or whatever low price is on offer.  It beat most of these last start quite comfortably.  It has a good record at the track and distance.  There's other races to get involved in.  Hardest to beat is Count Encosta (2). 

Race 2 - Londehero (1) went down by a head to Sister Magic in his race debut 2 weeks ago.  After jumping awkwardly, he raced 3 wide mid pack.  He still had the audacity to charge home.   He'll be better for the experience and with an excellent barrier, will be hard to beat.  Other hopes to Eliminator (2), Sir Luminar (8) and El Tornado (3).

Race 3 - Missy Longstocking (1) created quite an impression 7 weeks ago when she annihilated a similar field by 7 lengths (2nd beat the rest by 7!) in just her 2nd race start.  She won by close to 6 lengths on debut.  Although she has had nearly 2 months off, she did trial well recently.  I can't see her losing this but understandably bookies aren't letting us on.  Hardest to beat Global Dream (3).

Race 4 - Lucky Sound (4) has won all 3 starts since resuming.  The 1st 2 wins were gap jobs but he had to work harder for it last time over this distance.  He has an excellent record at the track and for jockey Larry Cassidy.  He's drawn awkwardly in 13 but I feel he'll be able to get across to be in the 1st 4 or so horses.  The wide barrier may get a better price.  At the end of the day, this is a really nice horse.  Other hopes to Keep It Moist (12), Peace Talks (13) and De Dozen Stars (6).

Race 5 - After trialing nicely, Carry Me Bluey (2) didn't run up to expectations 1st up over 1200m.  It's been 3 weeks since that run and he steps up to 1600m.  A distance he's enjoyed in the past as highlighted by his record of 3 wins, a 2nd and 3rd from 7 starts.  I'm putting my faith in him returning to his best as if he does, he's too good for these.  He's drawn on the inside this time as opposed to out wide last start and I think that will encourage Cahill to get closer to the action earlier.  He has a splendid finish.  Other hopes to Jet Style (5), Pepperwood (1) and Mystical Grey (4).

Race 6 - Sizzling (1) is the class runner in this race and goes on top for me.  This guy won a Group 1 and 2 Group 2's during the Brisbane winter.  Since resuming he raced in Melbourne and acquitted himself well finishing less than 2 lengths from the winner in the Group 1 Coolmore.  Kelso Wood said he didn't handle the straight that day.  He races well at this track where he has won 3 from 4.  He'll be hitting the line with gusto.  Other hopes to Lucky Hussler (8), Mishani Persuader (10) and The Conspirator (7).

Race 7 - This looks an open race and many of the top chances raced each other last start.  Risk Aversion (4) ran 7th of 9 in that race but it isn't as bad as it looks on paper.  It only lost by 2.5 lengths and as the race was totally run to unsuit, that's a good effort in my book.  There should be a fair speed set here which will suit this gal today.  She has a powerful finish and will be looking to use it.  Her 2nd up record is a good one as is her record at this track.  Other hopes to Fire Up Fifi (3), Jester's Girl (5) and Cuddlesome (10).

Race 8 - Dream'n'ignite (7) looks a great chance in the last.  Last start she raced against harder opposition and ran 2nd last by 6.8 lengths.  She was outclassed but did lose a plate.  Before that she won 3 from 3 in great fashion.  She drops 1kg on last start.  She has won 2 from 3 over this distance at this track.  Cahill will be able to slot her in beautifully just behind a decent speed and she'll be running on.  Other hopes to Royal Shout (13), Rocket To Glory (4) and Viking Heart (14).

***With the scratching of Royal Shout, I'll promote Lightfeet Lady (6) to the other hopes***
       

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