Friday 7 December 2012

08/12/12 - Eagle Farm, Caulfield and Rosehill

Race 1 - Choisenegger (1) debuted a fortnight ago at this track and ran an eye catching 2nd over 1000m.  He missed by the barest of margins after rattling home in the straight.  The extra 200m in this race will no doubt be to his liking.  However if he gets into ridiculous odds, I won't be getting involved.  Other hopes to Architect (3), Jerrocity (6) and Abu Ben Adam (2).

Race 2 - I see Hi Son and Heza Jetsetter fighting this race out as they did 2 weeks ago at this track.  On that occasion over 1500m Hi Son got the better of Heza Jetsetter by 1.3 lengths.  The talking point was whether Hi Son coming out 100m from home cost Heza Jetsetter the win.  Stewards thought not.  This time around, Heza Jetsetter (2) meets his rival 1.5kg better off and I think he can turn the tables.  He looked like he was going particularly well until having to steady.  He also lost a plate during the race.  Other hopes to Hi Son (1), Mishani Stealth (4) and Allknight Saint (5).

Race 3 - I would love to see Dodging Eddie win here but I can't have him on top despite the way he finished off last time out.  Because I've said that, he'll no doubt win!  I'm going with Excellent Al (11).  He ran 3rd in the same race as Dodging Eddie and was also hard charging at the end.  Unlike the 2 that beat him that day, he drops in weight albeit a half a kilo.  He's only had the 5 starts in his career but he certainly shows a lot of promise, winning or placing in all bar 1 of them.  Seems to race better the further the race.  Other hopes to Business Day (10), Dodging Eddie (1) and Dolly Dolly (4).

Race 4 - Twin Zero (8) has been racing quite well this campaign.  He's done most of his racing in country NSW but did make a successful trip here 2 starts back.  On that occasion he sat 3 deep and still had enough in the tank to fight strongly to the line to win.  That win was over the same distance at this track.  He probably should have won last start back home but encountered a lot of trouble.  Jeff Lloyd will be able to settle the horse in a better position today and I suspect will be very hard to hold out.  Other hopes to Sons Of God (7), Empress Me (9) and Preacher Boy (3).

Race 5 - Big field of 3 year old fillies go around here and it's no easy task finding a winner.  I've gone with La Frisson Belle (13).  She's resumed in nice fashion with a 2nd 1st up and then winning last start in style.  Rob Heathcote rates this horse and it put in some nice work during the week.  She's drawn badly in 16 but I feel that she'll be able to get across and take up a position in the first 4 or so horses.  Other hopes to Lady Colours (4), Tiger Dimejan (17) and Caliente (6).

Race 6 - Bradbury Chocolate (10) resumes here after creating a lot of interest during it's career.  She's won 7 of 8 starts and arguably could have had a perfect record with more luck in her last start.  She's won 4 from 4 over this trip and is 2 from 2 1st up.  She won a trial easily in preparation for this.  Gets in with just 52kg after the claim.  She's drawn nicely in barrier 3.  Other hopes to Theft (1), Signified (2) and G'day Old Mate (5).

Race 7 - This looks a very competitive race on paper.  I can see a fair pace set here with the likes of Adebisi, Audacious Spirit, Celtic Dancer and Excellantes pushing forward.  For that reason I'm going with Belltone (3).  This guy resumes here and doesn't have the best winning 1st up record.  Having said that he has won or placed in 4 out of 8 of them.  He raced really well last campaign over slightly longer journeys than this but I feel with the speed on, he'll be able to come home strong.  Other hopes to Phelan Ready (1), Excellantes (6) and Morning Captain (9).

Race 8 - Someday (8) had a tremendous last campaign where he won 4 of 5 and ran 2nd in the other.  He looked a really nice horse and if he's come back in similar fashion then he should be too tough for these.  He has a perfect record over this distance.  Other hopes to Double Impact (6), Commandare (12) and Longshoreman (13).

Best Bets

Race 6 Number 10 Bradbury Chocolate
Race 8 Number 8 Someday


Other Meetings

Caulfield - Race 2 Number 4 Commanding Time
                Race 3 Number 1 Marble Rye
                Race 4 Number 9 Spot On Maggie
                Race 5 Number 4 Queen's Ransom
                Race 6 Number 4 Alpha Proxima
                Race 7 Number 9 Full Peal
                Race 8 Number 10 British General
               
Rosehill - Race 4 Number 6 Secluded 
              Race 5 Number 6 Travolta
              Race 6 Number 3 Cabernet
              Race 7 Number 4 Leviosa
              Race 8 Number 8 Anevay     

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