Friday 26 October 2012

27/10/12 - Doomben, Moonee Valley and Rosehill

Doomben

Race 1 - We open with a 2 year old race over 1110m with very little to go on.  I'm going with Octane Flyer (1) who won well on debut.  He hadn't trialled before that run so with natural improvement, he should be tough to toss.  With the rail out 8m, he will be able to take advantage of the nice draw and run on the speed.  Hardest to beat Greytfilly (11) and Midway (8).

Race 2 - Spot The Rock (5) won his 1st start for the Gollan stable and can back it up here.  That race was at this track and he did it with relative ease.  His Sydney form stacks up well for a race like this and he reportedly put in some nice work this week.  With speed on his outside, I can see him being able to track them across and take up a position in the first 4.  Will race with 55kg after the claim for Rosie Myer.  Other hopes to Tahitian Black (7), Rocket To Glory (4) and Jugahlation (2).

***With the scratching of Jugahlation, I'll promote Dee Bee Nine (3) to the other hopes***

Race 3 - Run Royal Run (5) has built a very nice record.  He's won 4 out of 9 races and all those wins have been at this track.  He won over 2000m here last start and can win again.  Quite a few of the beaten brigade back up again in this race.  He looks like he has more upside than his rivals.  Other hopes to Eureka Jack (4), They Won't Last (6) and Buffett (2).

Race 4 - Over half the small field come out of the race that Funtantes won 2 weeks ago.  On that day, Funtantes got away with murder in front and proved too hard to catch.  I can't see that happening again.  Theft (4) ran 3rd in that race but gets in here with just 52.5kg after the claim of Myer.  From gate 3, I think she can push Theft forward to either lead or very close to it.  This horse loves the track and distance and trained nicely this week.  Other hopes to Morning Captain (3), Funtantes (2) and Celtic Dancer (1).

Race 5 - Gibberer (3) has drawn poorly but has been racing in great form.  I can see a solid speed being set with quite a few on the inside going forward, so the barrier may not be as bad as it looks.  Last start he steamed home to win and I can see that happening again.  Perfect winning record at this track and distance.  Other hopes to Lady Colours (1), The Storeman (4) and Substation (7).

Race 6 - Bang On (8) has raced well this campaign where she has won 2 from 3.  Last start she ran 5th but there were a few reasonable types in that and I couldn't see too many of these being competitive in that race.  The horse particularly enjoys this track winning 2 and placing in 2 others from 5 starts here.  With Rockdale rolling on up front, it should enable Bang On to come home in a flurry.  Other hopes to Preacher Boy (7), Sea Marvista (11) and Jack's Back (6).  

Race 7 - I'm going to stick with Beseech (2) who won the cash last time out for The Silk paying around $9.  I see little between it and Flying Jet but I have been swayed by the way each races and the fact the rail is out 8 metres.  Beseech is racing in great fashion, winning it's last 2.  He'll be able to go forward and take up a position in the 1st 4 with little effort.  He has a great record over this distance and won his only start over this trip at the track.  Gets in relatively well at the weights after the claim for Vance.  Other hopes to Flying Jet (9), Poste Restante (11) and Endless Shadow (10).

Race 8 - Requested (6) has drawn the peg here and will look to make the most of it.  He races 2nd up here and that would appear to be when he does his best work.  His record 2nd up is 2 wins and a 3rd from 5 starts.  He worked really well this week and looks primed.  In an open race, I think he offers tremendous value.  Other hopes to Catch The Light (3), Dr Barnard (2) and Comahni (7).

Moonee Valley

Race 1 - Number 7 Ryker (Late Scratching)

Race 2 - Number 9 I Get Around

Race 3 - Number 3 Midnight Martini

Race 4 - Number 7 Cavalry Rose 

Race 5 - Number 1 It's A Dundeel

Race 6 - Number 4 Ironstein

Race 7 - Number 2 Solzhenitsyn

Race 8 - Ocean Park (9), Pierro (12), Green Moon (4) and More Joyous (10)

Race 9 - Number 5 Star Of Giselle 

Rosehill

Race 1 - Pass

Race 2 - Number 3 Sammy's Girl

Race 3 - Number 3 Cantonese

Race 4 - Number 6 Specific Choice

Race 5 - Number 2 Arinosa

Race 6 - Number 5 Alma's Fury

Race 7 - Number 1 Iggi Pop

Race 8 - Number 3 Velrosso

Best Bets

Doomben - Race 2 Number 5 Spot The Rock
               Race 6 Number 8 Bang On

Moonee Valley - Race 3 Number 3 Midnight Martini
                      Race 8 Number 9 Ocean Park

Rosehill - Race 6 Number 5 Alma's Fury
             Race 8 Number 3 Velrosso            

No comments:

Post a Comment