Friday 12 October 2012

13/10/12 - Doomben, Caulfield and Rosehill

It was lean pickings for The Silk last Saturday.  Actually it was downright awful.  The day started nicely with Kuroshio winning and paying $7 but then it all went horribly wrong.  Anyway, another big day of Spring racing gives me the chance to rectify the situation.  

Doomben

Race 1 - All bar the top weight are 1st starters which makes this 2 year old race a tricky affair to get involved in.  For that reason I won't be getting involved. Having said that, my top pick would be Vienna Queen (10).  This filly ran 2nd by 3.5 lengths to Global Dream in a trial a few weeks ago.  That horse ran 2nd last week and gapped the rest of the field.  She comes from the astute Tony Gollan stable so you would suspect she is right to go.  Other hopes to Octane Flyer (5), Greytfilly (8) and Outback Lightning (6).

Race 2 - A small field of 6 go around here and I'll be supporting the Tony Gollan trained The Storeman (3).  Last start he ran 2nd splitting the talented pair Reflectance and Better Than Ready.  That's good form for a race like this.  He's drawn the outside but I can see him being able to track Lady Colours across and take up a decent position.  Other hopes to Lady Colours and Gibberer.

Race 3 - Endless Shadow (9) has come very close in her 3 runs this campaign.  In those races she's lost by a combined margin of 2 lengths.  You could say she was due! She's been running on well and I get the feeling this is her day. There will be a reasonable pace set with up to 4 horses chugging along up front.  This will enable Endless Shadow to real off 1 of her powerful finishes.  Any sting out of the track will not phase her in the slightest.  She's a very consistent horse, only being out of the placings 4 times in 13 starts.  Other hopes to Marculoo (5), Dream With Me (6) and Caellum (11).

Race 4 - Morning Captain (3) resumed last start and ran well for 3rd.  He lost by a narrow margin and with increased fitness, will be hard to beat here.  His record at the track is excellent, winning 2 and placing 2nd in 5 starts.  His 2nd up record stands at a win and a 2nd from 2 efforts.  Can handle all going which is a plus.  Mick Cahill should be able to get him a great trail behind Theft.  Other hopes to Theft (4), Funtantes (2) and Biggles (8).

Race 5 - A Brisbane 2000m race....awesome.  I always get the feeling there's a bit of pot luck involved with them.  Question marks hover a lot of these in their ability to run the race out.  I'm not going to get heavily involved but I will have a small wager on Buffett (5).  There's no questioning his ability to run the distance.  He will be close to the pointy end in running and could put it to the others before going on with it.  He comes off a 3rd place in the Lismore Cup over 2100m.  Other hopes to Eureka Jack (3), Billy Aucash (2) and Run Royal Run (4).

Race 6 - I won't lie, I found this race a doozy.  So many questions and not enough answers for my liking.  Found The One (6) has been running at shorter distances than this in recent times but I feel that the 1200m shouldn't pose any problems.  I can see a decent pace being set with the likes of Our Hussey and co having to push up early to try to get a spot.  That will suit Found The One who has shown an ability to motor home.  She put in a nice effort 1st up behind Theft and has a nice 2nd up record to her credit.  She also likes this track.  Other hopes to Our Hussey (10), Raise Up (2) and Funny Falve (13).

Race 7 - Run Jake Run (8) has an average winning strike rate but he's been racing very well of late where he has been finishing strongly.  A win seems very close.  His record over this distance stands at 5-5-2 from 19 starts.  Will get back but should be helped by a solid speed.  Other hopes to Home To The Bride (12), Sweet Little Filly (10) and Jack's Back (3).

***With the scratching of Jack's Back, I'll promote Preacher Boy (2) to the other hopes***

Race 8 - So many horses in the get out that like to lead.  This should make for a hot speed.  Beseech (10) is a horse in great form and 1 that won't involve itself in a speed battle but can take up a nice position.  He's stepped up through the grades nicely this time in.  It has a great weight swing on Balkuin who beat it 3 starts back by the narrowest of margins.  That could be crucial.  Other hopes to Balkuin (3), Silver Command (13) and Altai Warrior (5).

Caulfield

Race 1 - Veewap (5), Spacecraft (9), Smokin' Joey (2) and Mahisara (12)

Race 2 - Snitzerland (10), Lankan Rupee (5), Sizzling (1) and Generalife (7)

Race 3 - Hoss Amor (2), Elite Elle (5), Saturn Rock (8) and Zoria (14)

Race 4 - Buffering (1), Temple Of Boom (2), Pampelonne (4) and Malasun (10)

Race 5 - Ocean Park (6), Sincero (2), Sanagas (5) and Sabrage (7)

Race 6 - Solzhenitsyn (7), More Joyous (1), Tokugawa (9) and King Mufasa (2)

Race 7 - Pierro (1), All Too Hard (3), Epaulette (2) and Let Go Lenni (8)

Race 8 - Gatewood (2), Dance With Her (6), Ironstein (3) and Exceptionally (8)

Race 9 - Detours (3), Miss Marx (4), Classy Chloe (13) and Serene Star (14)

Rosehill

Race 1 - Crotchet (3), Sammy's Girl (10), Anasheed (7) and Regimental Pride (5)

Race 2 - Rebel Dane (2), Complicate (3), Eight Straight (1) and Queen's Elect (5)

Race 3 - Floor Show (4),Dreamworker (3), Sweet Talkin Woman (8) and Dancing Attendance (1)

Race 4 - Studio (4), Hoylonny (3), History No Hurdle (9) and Tiger Territory (11)

Race 5 - Under The Sun (6), Keith's Legacy (11), Levi's Choice (7) and Merlin Mustang (5)

Race 6 - Skyerush (1), Nocturnelle (5), Colorado Claire (2) and Forarainyday (10)

Race 7 - Malavio (6), Coup Ay Tee (8), Pureness (1) and Mr Armstrong (10)

Race 8 - Agueda (16), Ideal Position (2), Oakfield Commands (5) and Big Bonanza (9)


Best Bets

Doomben - Race 3 Number 9 Endless Shadow
               Race 4 Number 3 Morning Captain

Caulfield - Race 4 Number 1 Buffering
              Race 5 Number 6 Ocean Park

Rosehill - Race 6 Number 1 Skyerush 
             Race 7 Number 6 Malavio       

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