Thursday 25 October 2012

26/10/12 - Manikato Stakes

Race 1 - Crafty Cruiser (4) hasn't won too many races in his 42 starts but he has been a model of consistency over this distance range.  Over the 3000m he has 2 wins and 3 2nds from 6 starts.  At the track and distance he has 3 2nds from 4 starts. He comes into this race off a win at Mornington where he ran on from last.  Verdant ran 2nd in that race.  Drops 4kgs from that run.  I think he can position up nicely in the 1st 4 or 5 from the good gate.  Other hopes to Buxted (1), Verdant (5) and Single Minded (2).

Race 2 - Manila Jewel (1) will take full advantage of the inside draw here and take up a prominent position.  She has a great record at this track and distance and will appreciate firmer footing than that she faced last start Cranbourne.  Two starts back she ran a close 2nd to Chateau Margeaux who raced well in the Geelong Cup on Wednesday.  Other hopes to Silent Attitude (4), Innocent Lady (2) and Rock Hit (8).

Race 3 - Sir Fernando (5) is 3rd up here and looks well placed.  Last campaign following 2 solid runs he won 3rd up at this track and venue.  Craig Newitt was the jockey on that occasion and has a tremendous record on the horse, winning 3 from 4.  The horse loves this track and distance as shown by his undefeated record.  Should be able to get a great run from barrier 4.  Other hopes to Sea Lord (3), Excellantes (1) and General Truce (2).

Race 4 - Saturn Rock (5) has only won 1 from 9 but has been in the placings 8 times.  She looks ready to win after a series of 3rds to some nice types.  I'm thinking that they could move along fairly quickly here which will allow this filly to come over the top.  Other hopes to Purple Storm (6), Agueda (4) and Angelic Light (9).

Race 5 - It's Crunch Time (2) has built an impressive record winning 4 and placing 2nd in 4 others from 9 starts.  He resumes here and races particularly well fresh.  He has a fondness at this track where he's recorded 2 wins from 3 starts.  Last prep he had form around Freereturn and Stratcombe.  Jockey Michael Rodd should be able to cross early and take up a forward position.  Other hopes to Umgeton (4), Vatican (6) and Tykook (7).

Race 6 - The Manikato Stakes sees a crack field of sprinters going around.  I simply can't go past the Bulldog, Buffering (1).  I just love this bloke and it would feel wrong backing against him.  Having said that, he is racing in terrific form.  Trainer Rob Heathcote has said that he couldn't have the horse in better condition for the race.  His record at the track is a good one and Bowman will make full use of the peg.  Other hopes to Ready To Rip (4), Sea Siren (7) and Hallowell Belle (3).

Race 7 - Stella Lante (4) ran well for 5th in the 1000 Guineas when not getting a lot of room.  When clear she did finish off well.  Given that, I think she'll be a lot stronger than these at the business end of the 1600m.  Only start at the track she came 2nd to Love For Ransom.  Other hopes to Love For Ransom (2), Balaclava Lady (6) and Volume One (12).

Race 8 - Oregon Spirit (6) is the 1 for me in the last.  This guy has been racing well and has his hoof on the till.  He has a good record at this track and distance.  Last start he drew wide and raced the same way yet still only went down by just under a length.  With an ounce of luck, he'll be hard to hold out.  Other hopes to The Wingman (3), Lord Wimble (5) and Canonized (8).

Best Bets

Race 6 Number 1 Buffering

Race 8 Number 6 Oregon Spirit  

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