Flemington
Race 1 - No form, no bet.
Race 2 - Nicholls Court should be too strong for these. Has a definite class edge here. Good record over the distance and has reasonable straight results.
Race 3 - This looks a good race for Apprehend. Comes off a nice win last start and drops 3.5kg. Has a super record over this distance and has likes the track. Other hopes to Supremacy, Shezaten and Light Vision.
Race 4 - I'm going with Snow Cover here. Excels on a dry track and should get that here. His record over the distance is a good one. I am concerned that he might get too far back in running but hopefully Newitt can position him a bit closer to the action. Other hopes to Turnitup, Bolton and Lakedro.
***Bolton has been scratched. Tears I Cry is the replacement hope***
Race 5 - This is a tricky race. I'll be checking to see how the track is playing before getting involved in this race. On paper, it looks like the speed could be on with at least 4 horses that like to get to or near the lead. I'll be hoping that Evie Rose can settle just off the leaders and not go like a lunatic in front. The horse is always thereabouts, running a place in 7 of it's 9 starts. Should be primed 3rd up. Other hopes to God Help Her, Legion's Belle and Creed. Tread Warily!
Race 6 - Going with Mr Griswold in this. He eats this distance up for breakfast (4 wins from 7) and has a good record at the track. Was ok 1st up and his 2nd up form is good. Would prefer a dead track but I think he can still handle a good track despite the average record on it. Other hopes to Orbit Express, Conquering Journey and Scaredymac.
***Orbit Express has been scratched. The replacement hope is Alpha Proxima***
Race 7 - Canali is racing in tremendous touch at the moment. Should be able to race just off the speed. His last start win over Catapulted was full of merit and guts. Has a great record over this distance and goes well up the straight. Other hopes to The Soldier, Silver Bullion and Falco Star.
***Canali has been scratched. The Soldier promoted to top pick and Periduki to the other hopes***
Race 8 - The Big Steel and Elusive King look to be the 2 that will be fighting this 1 out. Last start Elusive King beat The Big Steel by 3 lengths. Perhaps the preferred bet here is to take the 2 in a quinella. However for the sake of picking a winner, I'll be with The Big Steel. Although he was beaten by a fair distance last time, he's now 1.5kg better off at the weights and by rights should be all the fitter. He loves this track and distance. Other hopes to Elusive King, Coldens Choice and Sylvan O'Reilly.
Warwick Farm
Race 1 - Only 6 runners go around in the opening event. I'll be passing on this.
Race 2 - I'm going with Flying Empress here. The horse is going for 3 wins on the trot at it's home track. Hasn't raced beyond 1400m but I don't think the 1600m here will prove to be a problem. Should get a great run. Other hopes to St Beune, Straight Albert and Irish Jig.
Race 3 - Limited 2 year old form. Pass.
Race 4 - Mikiyama looks the one here. Should be primed for this 3rd up after 2 reasonable efforts. Likes this track and has won over this distance here. Other hopes to Permit, Shawnee Girl and Scouting Wide.
Race 5 - I think Stratana can find the front here and be hard to hold out. Loves this distance, winning 4 from 6. I won't lie, this bet involves risk but I feel it offers a bit of value compared to some of it's classier rivals. Other hopes to Rarefied, Catapulted and Recorrido.
Race 6 - Going with Lightinthenite in the Villiers. Hasn't raced this far before but I doubt the 1600m will hold any problems given the way he finished off over 1500m. Down in the weights and racing in tremendous nick, this bloke will give a great sight. Other hopes to Shadowfax, New Day Rising and Erewhon. I would throw in My Destiny if it gets a start.
Race 7 - Capital Commander has been freshened leading up to this race. Goes well under those conditions and I think it can either lead or sit just off the leader here and boot away in what I don't think is an even race. Has a tidy record at this circuit. Other hopes to Gunawati, Little Vicki and Oakfield Comet.
Warwick Farm
Race 1 - Only 6 runners go around in the opening event. I'll be passing on this.
Race 2 - I'm going with Flying Empress here. The horse is going for 3 wins on the trot at it's home track. Hasn't raced beyond 1400m but I don't think the 1600m here will prove to be a problem. Should get a great run. Other hopes to St Beune, Straight Albert and Irish Jig.
Race 3 - Limited 2 year old form. Pass.
Race 4 - Mikiyama looks the one here. Should be primed for this 3rd up after 2 reasonable efforts. Likes this track and has won over this distance here. Other hopes to Permit, Shawnee Girl and Scouting Wide.
Race 5 - I think Stratana can find the front here and be hard to hold out. Loves this distance, winning 4 from 6. I won't lie, this bet involves risk but I feel it offers a bit of value compared to some of it's classier rivals. Other hopes to Rarefied, Catapulted and Recorrido.
Race 6 - Going with Lightinthenite in the Villiers. Hasn't raced this far before but I doubt the 1600m will hold any problems given the way he finished off over 1500m. Down in the weights and racing in tremendous nick, this bloke will give a great sight. Other hopes to Shadowfax, New Day Rising and Erewhon. I would throw in My Destiny if it gets a start.
Race 7 - Capital Commander has been freshened leading up to this race. Goes well under those conditions and I think it can either lead or sit just off the leader here and boot away in what I don't think is an even race. Has a tidy record at this circuit. Other hopes to Gunawati, Little Vicki and Oakfield Comet.
***Oakfield Comet has been scratched. Next The Universe promoted to other hopes***
Race 8 - Tough race to finish things off. I'm going with Jackpot Queen. Goes well fresh and loves this distance. Gets in with 51.5kg after the claim. Other hopes to Shamus, Platinum Choice and Mighty Obvious.
Eagle Farm
Race 1 - I'm going with Mr Light Blue in the opening race. He gets out to a distance he thrives at now after 2 nice lead up runs. Other hopes to Shezahotshot and Kar Ma Te.
***Shezahotshot has been scratched.No replacement other hope***
Race 2 - I won't be betting in this race but will be watching keenly with an eye for future 2 year old races.
Race 3 - Same as above.
Race 4 - The Ringmaster looks tough to hold out here. Looked super 1st up, winning by 2.3 lengths. Has excellent form around some nice types in it's last preparation. Should go on with it here. Other hopes to Miss Barwang, Requested and Politely.
Race 5 - I'll stick with Carry Me Bluey. I can't seen Munce giving it the same sort of run as last time when it was nutted on the line. He won't be going early this time (I hope!) and this bloke should be incredibly hard to hold out. Good record over this distance. Other hopes to Danagaze, Hidden Kisses and Wonderful Lass.
Race 6 - I'm a massive fan of Skating On Ice and I can't see a reason why she won't bring up her hattrick of wins here. She was flying last race and the blinkers go on here. Could spell disaster for the rest. Other hopes to Miss Imagica, Dual Chamber and Sea Marvista.
Race 7 - I reckon there could be a fair fight for the lead here and therefore set it up for something that likes running on. In a tough race, I'm going with Aquatorial. In his 2 runs back from a spell he's been charging to the line behind horses in good form. If he can replicate that here, he'll be right in the finish. Other hopes to Biggles, Easy Running and Show A Prince. However the reality is that there's not many in this race that wouldn't surprise if they won.
Race 8 - I'm a little bit gun shy after the last start nutting on the line but I have to stick with Thefifthhole. It's hard not to like a horse that puts his aggots (unless gelded) on the line and goes for broke. Surely he won't goes as hard as last start. I don't see a main rival to him leading so Colless should be able to do that. His record at the track and distance is hard to ignore. Other hopes to Emvoss, Rock Home Late and Prost. If On Face Value gets a start, I'd be throwing that in as well.
Best Bets
Flemington - Race 2 Number 1 Nicholls Court
Race 3 Number 3 Apprehend
Race 6 Number 3 Mr Griswold
Warwick Farm - Race 4 Number 2 Mikiyama
Race 5 Number 8 Stratana e/w
Race 6 Number 14 Lightinthenite
Eagle Farm - Race 4 Number 6 The Ringmaster
Race 5 Number 4 Carry Me Bluey
Race 6 Number 3 Skating On Ice
No comments:
Post a Comment