Friday 9 December 2011

10/12/11 - Flemington, Rosehill and Doomben

Flemington


Race 1 - Sitting this 2 year old race out.


Race 2 - Not a big fan of this race and won't be getting involved.

Race 3 - This looks a very competitive race.  Massoni looks good value around the $14 mark.  Ran very well over this distance last campaign and won both times it was ridden by Yendall.  2nd up record is perfect.  Other hopes to Better Be Sure, Evie Rose and Lonhreign.
 
***With the scratching of Massoni and Evie Rose, I'll promote Better Be Sure to top pick. No other additions to the hopes***
Race 4 - I'm going with Magic Me here.  I won't be getting too involved though.  It's a young horse with a decent record who seems best suited to this distance.  Coming off a nice win.  Should be thereabouts.  Other hopes to Population, Did We Win and Lord Wimble.
 
***Population is a scratching.  No replacement hope.***
Race 5 - Oh boy!  Good luck here.  I'm going with Josimar.  Offers good value down in the weights.  It's 1st up form is hard to read given it struck heavy tracks on 2 of those occasions.  Has registered a 2nd from it's only go down the straight. Other hopes to the field but Cellarmaster, Belgietto and Mr Griswold probably the best.

Race 6 - I'm respecting the form of Full Peal.  2000m shouldn't prove a worry based on the ease at which it has won it's last 4 starts.  Goes up in weight but from last start but has handled bigger weights than this in previous wins.  Other hopes to Jeuneys End, Right Fong and Abitofado.
 
***With the scratching of Jeuneys End, I'll promote Luckyi'mbarefoot***
Race 7 - Hoping the change of trainer hasn't been to the detriment of Euphoric Realm.  The horse has a great 1st up record winning 3 from 4.  Warmed up for this with a trial win and goes well over this type of distance.  Other hopes to At The Heads, Our Skeeta and Agrippa.

Race 8 - If we finish this meeting with our pants then it's been a good day.  The final race is yet another tough one.  I settled on Star Salute.  Has won both it's 1st up runs, run well down the straight and has run against some quality horses last campaign.  Other hopes to Societal, Delegance and Bay's Edge.  I could name many more as hopes but these are the better ones I feel.

Rosehill

Race 1 - Let's Rock'n'roll looks a reasonable wager here.  Won it's only start in nice style.  Has won 2 trials leading into this and was scratching from Thursday's Gosford meeting.  Have to respect Pride's decision there!  Other hopes to Bello, Barbados and Jackpot Queen.
 
***With the scratching of Let's Rock'n'roll, Bello becomes the top pick***
Race 2 - Think Never Doubt Me looks good here.  Has a top record overall record and has won twice from 2 goes at this distance.  Was finding the line well 1st up.  Can handle the sting out of the ground.  Other hopes to Happy Hussy, Embark and Sindarin.

Race 3 - General's Sniper should give a really good sight here.  Will either lead or park in behind Oakfield Beauty.  Has a good record over this distance and is banging on the door for a win after finishing so close in it's past 2.  Other hopes to Savannah's Choice, Titbit and Lycra Lass.

Race 4 - I'll go with Winning Glory here.  Went really well 1st up.  Has a great 2nd up record and races well around this distance range.  Has Nash on top for this race which will only add to it's chances.  Other hopes to Grey Assignment, Tropicana Girl and Sky Raider.

Race 5 - Scarf looks the testing material here.  He's 2 from 2 2nd up and if anywhere near his best, should win.  Other hopes to Kontiki Park, Voice Commander and New Day Rising.

Race 6 - Sea Galleon is a horse in form and I'll be sticking with him.  Won last start by 4 lengths over this distance and I'd suggest that they haven't brought him up to Sydney for a haircut.  Other hopes to Yulalona, Nextanix and Merensky Reef.

Race 7 - Going with Peck here.  Has been gelded since last campaign and that could tow this bloke into line.  Has a good 1st up record and has been primed with 2 trials.  Could have a little bit of a class edge on these.  Other hopes to Wazn, Al's Gold and Honest Lies.

Race 8 - I'll put Rocker on top here.  Not keen on the price however.  Won a recent trial where they dropped it to the tail and it rounded them up.  The trainer must have a reasonable amount of confidence to bring it to Sydney.  Other hopes to Liechtenstein, Romanus and Nice And Neat.

Doomben

Race 1 - Watch on.

Race 2 - I'm putting Three Red Roses on top here based on her ability to handle a wet track.  She was really unlucky to lose start but did show a great finish.  Looks set to go on with it.  Other hopes to Mr Light Blue, Figasaurus and Il Cardinale.
 
***With the scratching of Mr Light Blue, I'll promote Winmara to the hopes***
Race 3 - Despite the wide gate, I'm with Pretty Pins here.  I think she has a definite class edge here and the gate really shouldn't matter.  Handles a wet track and will be tough to hold out.  Other hopes to Dorchester, Index Page and Master Of Puppets.

Race 4 - This race has caused me a lot of grief.  I ended up settling on Hearts'N'Diamonds.  There's a number of winning chances but I went for this horse because I think she's in good form. Last start she ran wide throughout and still came close to Kar Ma Te.  I believe she'll handle a wet track.  Other hopes to Preacher Boy, Fire Up Fifi and Emvoss.
 
***With the scratching of Emvoss and Preacher Boy, I'll promote Count Your Fingers and Writer to the hopes***
Race 5 - It's difficult to tip against Alltherightmoves.  She has put together a top record winning 5 from 6.  Can handle any going and is just racing magnificently.  Other hopes to Griffon, Hidden Shuffle and Inventory.

Race 6 - I found it hard to settle on 1 here but I've gone with Charm's Honour.  I think it's Sydney form will hold up really well here.  Since coming back from a spell it has gone down by the narrowest of margins.  In it's previous campaign it ran oh so close to Streama on heavy going.  Should get a nice run and be right in the finish.  Other hopes to Ticket To Dream, Lucky Morna and Hollyweird.
 
***With the scratching of Hollyweird, I'll promote Crazy Mama as a rough hope***
Race 7 - This looks a super race.  I'm going with Essington.  I loved his 1st up effort where he really ran home well.  He has a top 2nd up record and can handle the sting out of the track.  Just loves this distance.  Other hopes to Ready To Rip, Excellantes and Havatryst.

Race 8 - Liesele looks up to it's ear in this.  It's been racing in tremendous heart lately, going down by narrow margins to some of Brisbane's best.  Handles all going.  Postage stamp weight to carry.  Other hopes to Sway To Go, D'Jet and Faster Son.
 
***With the scratching of Faster Son, I'll promote Tomboy to the hopes***
Best Bets

Flemington - Race 6 Number 4 Full Peal

Rosehill - Race 2 Number 5 Never Doubt Me
             Race 5 Number 3 Scarf

Doomben - Race 3 Number 1 Pretty Pins
               Race 5 Number 8 Alltherightmoves
               Race 8 Number 14 Liesele

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