Race 1 - I'll be following my rule of not betting on an early season 2 year old races. Too many unknowns.
Race 2 - This is a tough race to line up. On 1 hand you have the form coming out of the Lexus Hybrid and on the other the form from the Gucci. I'm going with Miss Stellabelle. She's been racing well and I think the 1400m should suit. She'll find herself in a nice position from barrier 4. Other hopes to Combat Kitty, Shopaholic and Anise.
Race 3 - Norsqui looks the one here. Comes off a strong win last start over 2800m and has form around Niwot over this distance. Goes well on a dead surface. Other hopes to Jumpin Jack Cash, Olympic Win and Crafty Cruiser.
Race 4 - Like the look of Parables here. We were on her last start when she got held up down the Flemington straight but still managed to run on for 3rd. 1300m should suit. She has form around Pinker Pinker, Red Tracer and Mid Summer Music. Other hopes to Veewap, Cash Bound and Masthead.
***With the scratching of Veewap, I'll promote Doubtful Jack to the other hopes***
Race 5 - It looks hard to go past Under The Eiffel. Has come back in great fettle, winning it's past 2 starts. Drops 5kg on it's last win and likes the sting out of the track. Other hopes to Sistine Angel, Nine Tails and Rockpecker.
Race 6 - I won't be getting involved in this 5 horse race. I would imagine Americain will be very hard to beat given that all runners on equal weights and the way he finished the Melbourne Cup. No value though.
Race 7 - I think there could be a fair level of speed on here with a number of horses engaged that like to lead. For that reason, I'm going with Galah. From an inside draw, McEvoy should be able to position him just off the speed and run over the top of them. Other hopes to Mahisara, Highly Recommended and Amah Rock.
Race 8 - Got a vibe about Folding Gear in this. The horse has only had the 6 starts but has won 2 of those and placed twice. Last campaign it won the Group 2 Autumn Classic and ran 3rd in the Group 2 Alister Clark. Has won both it's starts at the track and 1 of those races was over this distance. Other hopes to Erewhon, Ginga Dude and Extra Zero.
Race 9 - Going with Hi Belle in the last. Has a liking for the track and comes into this race in good form. Should be able to possy up just behind the lead and should be running on well. Other hopes to Sophie's Spirit, Hinemoa and Yavanna.
Rosehill
Race 1 - 2 year old race with limited form. I'll be avoiding it.
Race 2 - This looks a nice race. I reckon we could be looking at a few decent horses for the future here. I'm going with Sindarin. It won it's debut but botched the start by a few lengths. The runner up ran well in listed company next start. Should be further improved. Other hopes to Colorado Claire, Yurrrapendi and Urban Rocker.
Race 8 - Got a vibe about Folding Gear in this. The horse has only had the 6 starts but has won 2 of those and placed twice. Last campaign it won the Group 2 Autumn Classic and ran 3rd in the Group 2 Alister Clark. Has won both it's starts at the track and 1 of those races was over this distance. Other hopes to Erewhon, Ginga Dude and Extra Zero.
Race 9 - Going with Hi Belle in the last. Has a liking for the track and comes into this race in good form. Should be able to possy up just behind the lead and should be running on well. Other hopes to Sophie's Spirit, Hinemoa and Yavanna.
Rosehill
Race 1 - 2 year old race with limited form. I'll be avoiding it.
Race 2 - This looks a nice race. I reckon we could be looking at a few decent horses for the future here. I'm going with Sindarin. It won it's debut but botched the start by a few lengths. The runner up ran well in listed company next start. Should be further improved. Other hopes to Colorado Claire, Yurrrapendi and Urban Rocker.
***Update: Urban Rocker has been scratched. I won't add any as I think these 3 have it covered***
Race 3 - I'm going with Sacred Pins. It should be able to get an unchallenged lead which could be beneficial if there is any track bias to leaders with the rail out 8m. This horse looked a nice type on debut and has a 4kg advantage over the top weight. Other hopes to Star Mystery, Cindarockinrella and Embark.
Race 4 - Savannah's Choice grabbed the cash for us last start and I'll be sticking with her again. I imagine there will be a solid pace set and she'll be able to camp just off them from the nice draw. Has a good record at this track and also the distance. Other hopes to Winner Take All, Rain Special and Blurred Vision.
Race 5 - Here's another horse that won for us last start that I'll be sticking with in Stratana. Loves this distance and has won at the track before. With 50kg after the claim, this fellow will be very hard to run down. Other hopes to Sea Lord, Regal Banter and Rumour And Scandal.
Race 6 - I like Embarrassed in this. Confidence levels will be raised if Stratana goes well in the previous. Looks like that this horse will be able to lead reasonably easily. Is unbeaten at the track and 2nd up. Went oh so close last start to winning. Other hopes to My Destiny, Gilded Spur and Strumming.
Race 7 - It's hard to go past Riva De Lago. His 2 runs back from a spell for 2 wins have been impressive. He should get a nice cart into this race and will take a tonne of stopping. Other hopes to Lightinthenite, Coup Ay Tee and Revolt.
***With the scratching of Revolt, I'll promote Circle Of Power***
Race 8 - I'll be respecting the fact that Fawkner has been brought up from Melbourne for this. Let's face it, he's not hear to do sexy things to spiders. Besides that, he looked good winning last start. Other hopes to Gazza Guru, Scouting Wide and Guderian.
Eagle Farm
Race 1 - Won't be much value to be had here with only 5 horses going around. If you must then I'd be looking at Ready To Rip. Clearly he's the class runner of the field. Won 1st up with 62kg, drops back to 56kg here. 3 from 3 over the distance.
Race 2 - 2 year olds. No form, no thanks.
Race 3 - I was on Rosagaze last start when it got nutted on the line. I'll be sticking with her. Last start she ran wide but gets a favourable draw here and should be prominent. Still down in the weights and should be right in this. Other hopes to Il Cardinale, Dusty Gold and On Face Value.
***With the scratching of Dusty Gold, I'll promote Koronovsky as a chance***
Race 4 - Our Recidivist looks weighted to win here. Seriously, what was the handicapper thinking when he weighted Our Recidivist and Rundle? Our Recidivist goes up 0.5kg for beating Rundle last start. While Rundle goes up a whopping 3.5kg for running 2nd? That's madness. I suggest the handicapper be swabbed! Besides the weight advantage, Our Recidivist is in great form winning it's past 3. Other hopes to Rundle, Loves A Challenge and Red God.
Race 5 - Like the look of Morning Captain. Looked good winning last start over a similar distance and should get all the favours from a nice inside draw. Other hopes to Playtime, All Quality and Brauhauser.
Race 6 - I'm going with Kar Ma Te here. It's won it's past 2 races well. Admittedly this is a lot harder but the horse seems to be improving with each run and the further the better. Munce should give it a top ride. Other hopes to Princess Lyca, Kiss Me Deadly and Grey Assignment.
Race 7 - Excellantes should win this. There looks to be a fair bit in it's favour here. Class runner, great gate and great record over the distance. One glaring negative though is the price on offer. Currently under $2 and I'd imagine they'll be jumping from trees to get on tomorrow. Having run 2nd in both it's 1st up starts, you'd have to consider whether you'd want to risk taking a short price. Still will be hard to hold out. Other hopes to Audacious Spirit, Celtic Dancer and Captain Clayton.
Race 8 - Think we have to respect the 2nd up form of Geblizt. From 3 2nd up runs, the horse has won 1 and come 2nd in the other 2. Her 1st up run this time in showed what a powerful finish it has. From a better gate I suspect she'll take a lot of beating. Other hopes to Thefifthhole, Show Me An Ace and African Mama.
Toowoomba
I should warn you that I don't follow Toowoomba racing and the only reason I've included these selections is because a family friend is having a "function" there and asked for some tips. So if you're looking at them, I'd only suggest backing them if you're up on the day.
Race 1 - Silver Command
Race 2 - Peterhof
Race 3 - Unpublished Critic
Race 4 - Winning Moments
Race 5 - Mr Thatcher
Race 6 - Bannett
Race 7 - Margins (Scratched, no replacement in a small field)
Best Bets
Sandown - Race 3 Number 1 Norsqui
Race 4 Number 9 Parables
Race 5 Number 9 Under The Eiffel
Race 7 Number 1 Galah
Rosehill - Race 3 Number 5 Sacred Pins
Race 5 Number 9 Stratana
Race 6 Number 7 Embarrassed
Race 7 Number 7 Riva De Lago
Eagle Farm - Race 3 Number 12 Rosagaze
Race 4 Number 3 Our Recidivist
Race 5 Number 2 Morning Captain
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