Friday 4 November 2011

05/11/11 - Flemington, Randwick and Doomben Selections

Flemington

Race 1 - Field of 16 2 year olds....No thanks.

Race 2 - I think Eraset looks a solid chance in this.  Comes off a 0.1 length 2nd to Happy Trails.  Eraset gets a 3kg weight advantage over Happy Trails in this.  He has a great record at the 1600m and should get a nice cart into the race.  Other hopes to Erewhon, Happy Trails, He's Remarkable and Shenzhou Steeds.  

Race 3 - This is a really tough race.  I'm going to go for a horse that is showing a bit of promise in Con Act.  Last start it ran 1.1 lengths off Fawkner for 3rd.  That horse won well on Oaks Day.  Just think Con Act has a lot of room for improvement as opposed to the rest.  2000m should really suit this horse given the way it's been finishing off past runs.  Other hopes to Texan Warney, Model To Nite and Chartreux.  


Race 4 - I like the look of Mahisara in this.  Comes from the in form Messara stable and has run in some nice races in it's previous campaign.  It's 1st up 3rd to Hot Snitzel will put it in good stead for this.  Other hopes to Mental, Absalon and Toned.


Race 5 - Watch Black Caviar win her 16th start. I'm thinking by about 5.2 lengths.  


Race 6 - Going to stick with King's Rose.  Thought it was going pretty well when hammered when entering the straight in the Cox Plate.  Loves the 1600m and has run its best races at this distance.  Other hopes to Secret Admirer, Testa My Patience and Red Tracer.


Race 7 - Platinum Passion is the way I'll be going here.  McEvoy should be able to settle her just behind the leaders and get a good run.  Her past 2 starts over 2000m have been solid hit outs for this.  Other hopes to Skyerush, Dance With Her and Stole.


Race 8 - Can't go past Bauer.  I actually had money on it to win the Melbourne Cup and was bitterly disappointed when it missed a start.  The way it finished off the Geelong Cup was impressive.  Dunaden has franked the GC run by winning the MC on Tuesday.  Other hopes to Macedonian, Boom 'N' Zoom and Ironstein.


Race 9 - Not overly keen on the final event so only a small bet for me on Amaethon.  Reckon this is a very open race but this guy has some consistent results at the 1400m.  Something most of them don't have.  Weight is a concern.  Other hopes to Candle, Stirling Grove and Outlandish Lad.


Randwick


I'm not keen on the first 4 races on this card so I won't bother looking at them.  Actually I'm not keen on the entire meeting but I'll go through the quaddie races.


Race 5 - Going to go with Straight Albert.  Although the horse enjoys racing over longer trips, it's 2nd up form and the way it ran on 1st up put it right in this race.  Other hopes to Mentality, One Way Ticket and Without Compromise.

***With the scratching of Mentality, I'll add Sir Nick to the other hopes***

Race 6 -  Done Nothin' Wrong will do me here.  Could lead or be handy.  Last 2 starts it has won by leading but importantly showed a nice boot to the line.  Other hopes to Nextanix, Levi's Choice and Samui Lad.

***With the scratching of Done Nothin' Wrong, I'll promote Nextanix to top spot and bring in Hard Liquor to the other hopes***

Race 7 - I have a slight lean towards Charm's Honour over Bound To Blush in this.  Charm's Honour should be able to sit just off BTB and come over the top.  2 starts back Charm's Honour finished 2nd to Streama by 0.4 lengths.  Admittedly that was on heavy going but still the horse obviously has some class.  Other hopes to Bound To Blush, Epona Princess and Ingham Magic.

***With the scratching of Bound To Blush, I'll promote Chi Chi to the other hopes***

Race 8 - Sticking with Rosie's Reward in the last.  Last start we came so close to getting the chocolates, only to be bloused on the line.  Should get the gun run here.  Other hopes to Ready Steady Vetti, Trilione and Outstandingly.


Doomben


Race 1 - Won't entertain this 2 year old race. 


Race 2 - A bit of variety wouldn't go astray in these Brisbane 2000m+ events.  Racing Heart looks hard to beat here with the weight advantage.  Simply looks too good.  Other hopes to Eureka, Chilled and Carbon Art.


Race 3 - Like the look of Cornwall Park in this.  Really liked the way he's finished off the 2 runs back from a spell.  Suggests that 1600m will be ideal.  Other hopes to Wonderful Lass, Anchor Bolt and Rockdale.


Race 4 - I'm approaching this race with trepidation.  Putting Double Image on top based on it's good record and great last start win.  Has next to no weight.  As long as nothing goes wrong then it should go close to winning.  Other hopes to Bruleur, Seventh Heart and Prime Cognac.

***With the scratching of Prime Cognac, I'll promote Extra Exceleration to the other hopes***
Race 5 - I've gone with Saraji.  Most of the hopes in this race have drawn wide.  This filly should be able to camp up on the leaders backs from the 8 gate with minimal effort.  All 3 of it's wins have come over this distance and will carry just 52kg after the claim.  Other hopes to Royal Shout, Mr Favulous and Amber's Crown.

***With the scratching of Amber's Crown, I'll add Military Grace to the other hopes***
Race 6 - Sticking with Havatryst after he grabbed the cash for us last start.  Has a great record at the trip and solid 2nd up form.  Should go on with it here.  Other hopes to Carry Me Bluey, Sway To Go and Danagaze.


Race 7 - Based on it's last start run, it's hard to go past Skating On Ice.  Was wide throughout but still ended up only 2 lengths off the winner.  The horse has a great record at the distance and should get a great run in transit.  You just have to look at it's runs in the Fred Best and GC Guineas to see that this is a very nice horse.  Other hopes to Liesele, Fire Up Fifi and Tafeer.


Race 8 - This looks like a battle between Poor Judge and Fillydelphia.  I'm going with Fillydelphia. From the peg, she should be able to get a nice spot close to the action.  Whereas Poor Judge may be hung out to dry a bit from his gate.  That might just be the advantage she needs to out run them this time.  Other hopes to Poor Judge, Prost and Writer.


Best Bets


I'm a little bit reluctant to list the best bets as they've let me down lately.  


Flemington - Race 4 Number 2 Mahisara
                  Race 8 Number 1 Bauer
                  
Randwick - Race 8 Number 3 Rosie's Reward


Doomben - Race 2 Number 1 Racing Heart
               Race 3 Number 2 Cornwall Park  
               Race 6 Number 9 Havatryst 
               Race 7 Number 8 Skating On Ice

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