Last Saturday was a strange kind of a day with just the 2 winners found. These being Flying Home in the opening event at $2.10 and De Dozen Stars at $7 Top Fluc. However if you used the top 4 selections in each leg of the Quadrella then you would have landed the $3500 that it paid. By the end of the day it had turned into a little bottler for the Silk. There was also a $1200 1st 4 in race 3.
We race at Eagle Farm for the second week in a row and conditions are the same. Bright blue skies with temperatures around the 28 degree mark. Again some showers have been forecast but I doubt they'll eventuate. Even if they do, it would probably be a godsend given the track is rock hard just like Jake's abba dabbas.
***Updated Weather: I'm not as confident that showers/rain won't hit the track at some point. It's quite overcast and there was activity around 5am. I would be very careful if the track gets downgraded as my selections have been based on a good track. A dead rating would be as far as I'd go before reaccessing backing my top picks***
***Updated Weather: I'm not as confident that showers/rain won't hit the track at some point. It's quite overcast and there was activity around 5am. I would be very careful if the track gets downgraded as my selections have been based on a good track. A dead rating would be as far as I'd go before reaccessing backing my top picks***
Race 1
I won't be knocking people over to get a bet on here. As is often the case with these 2000m+ races, it's a bit of a lottery. I'll have an involvement bet on Wishmore (9). I'm hardly convinced that it's the one but it will give a good showing. It's record over the trip is a consistent one with 8 wins or placings from 10 starts. No dramas it getting the trip! Last start in a tougher grade it was hitting the line strongly. Stays at the same weight and gets Chris Munce in the saddle. Both are positives. Other hopes to Borehole (1), How Fairdinkum (2) and Soul Crusade (4).
Race 2
They'll fly here early in this 1000m race. There could be 6 (over half the field) pushing forward once the gates open. That should give horses settling back a fair crack here. Missy Longstocking (5) will not be involved in any speed battle and will charging to the line. She loves this track and distance as shown by her perfect 2 from 2 record. She will race with 54kg after the claim for young Aidan Holt. She is resuming here so fitness levels are a query but there's no denying her class. Other hopes to Pure Purrfection (8), Susashi (7) and Rocky King (3).
***With the late scratching of Susashi, I'll promote Mr Favulous (1) to the other hopes***
Race 3
Unlike the previous race there won't be too many horses vying for the lead. I'm going with Bribie (1). He has been flying lately and came agonisingly close to grabbing the cash for us last start. I would like to see him settle no worse than midfield as with an average speed, backmarkers will find it difficult to make ground. This guy loves the track and this is his pet distance. Will race with 56kg after the claim for Geoffrey Goold. The big thing here with Bribie is how far off the leaders he'll be entering the straight. If he's only a few lengths off then they won't stop his powerful finish. Other hopes to The Storeman (8), QFighter (10) and Youthful King (7).
Race 4
Vintage Moss (8) looks an excellent chance here. It's a competitive race but this guy is racing in particularly good form. He loves this track and distance winning 4 of 9 starts. He is coming off a freshen up which he really appreciates. Will race with 52kg after the claim for Kirk Matheson. He's drawn barrier 3 and I can see him settling just behind the speed which should be quite solid given the 4 horses drawn to the outside like to race forward. Heads into this race on the back of a 3.5 length trial win over Better Than Ready. Flying? You better believe it! Other hopes to Signified (3), Listen Son (2) and Adebisi (1).
Race 5
Really tricky way to kick off the quadrella. I have a sneaky feeling that a blowout could occur here. So including a few in your 1st leg isn't a bad idea. I'm going to go with Gotta Be Lucky (9). We'll need to be too in the is race. This mare has been forever running on lately. The step up to 1600m will suit and we'll just need the speed to be reasonable for her to feature in the finish. She has form around the likes of Cuddlesome and Jacquetta which should hold her in good stead here. Other hopes to Show Us A Smile (6), Courtz Boy (4) and Wind Wand (3).
Race 6
Very competitive race for 3 year olds over 1600m. A few of these have been mixing it up lately but I'm going for 1 that comes from a different form line. Moon And The Stars (9) enters this on the back of 2 northern NSW wins and a very close 2nd at the Gold Coast. This filly really hits the line hard so the 1600m should suit nicely. Rikki Jamieson claims 3kg and the horse will carry just a postage stamp weight of 51kg. I just think this horse offers terrific value in an open race. Other hopes to Tornado Miss (5), Treasure Map (4) and Grey Countess (6).
***With the scratching of Grey Countess, I'll promote Voodoo Blue Magic (1) to the other hopes***
Race 7
Someday (3) comes back to Brisbane after 2 unsuccessful races in Sydney. Those were Group races and he was hardly embarrassed. This is much easier company and given his class, he'll be hard to hold out. He gets in with 53kg after the claim for Holt. Other hopes to Epic Terra (5), Volkhere (9) and Sir Knox (11).
Race 8
What About Me (7) will do me in the get out stakes. This guy resumed after quite some time off with a fast finishing 3rd over 1350m. The step up to 1600m will suit and it's a distance that he has liked in the past. He meets the 2 that beat him last time better at the weights and has drawn nicely to take a sit not far off the leaders. Other hopes to Aldini (5), Memorable Moment (1) and Regular (2).
Best Bets
Race 3 - Bribie (1)
Race 4 - Vintage Moss (8)
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