Well last week was unfortunately another fizzer. However it could have gone the other way and been an absolute pearler if not for few very narrow losses. The Silk's 3 best bets were Epic Terra, Bribie and Magic In Motion. If you were like the Silk and had an all up then you would probably be still crying in your beer.
Epic Terra got the all up away to a nice start winning by 3.3 lengths. Then it went pear shaped with Bribie losing by 0.2 of a length and Magic In Motion losing by 0.3 of a length. At the end of the day it doesn't matter how much they lost by...they still lost.
Hopefully this Saturday we can get over that back at Eagle Farm where we will be blessed with a good track. The rain earlier in the week will have taken the rock hardness out of it which the horses will appreciate.
Race 1
Could be a tricky way to kick things off here. Just the 6 runners entered and it's over 2106m. I wouldn't knock anyone for giving this race a wide berth. However for those wanting to get involved, I'd be looking at Flying Home (1). Barry Baldwin has this guy racing well with back to back wins over this distance. He's up in the weights but I'm not sure any of these lack his ability over the trip. Munce can box seat the horse and prove tough to hold out. Hardest to beat is Mukaddamah Son (2).
Race 2
Jacquetta (2) may have received the gun run last time out but you've got to be good enough to put yourself there to receive it. I can see her going back to back here. She'll be able to sit off a decent speed upfront and come home strongly like she did in her last start win. The extra distance will suit as she was running away from 3 others engaged here. Other hopes to Pickabee (6), Amalfi Dreams (5) and Write Cheek (3).
Race 3
Hollywood Bound (7) looks well placed here to get the victory. He enters this race on the back of an excellent 2nd to Soul Crusade where he ran on strongly to go down by a half head. He meets Soul Crusade 1.5kg better at the weights here. Also to his advantage is the fact that he's drawn beautifully in barrier 3. Jockey Patrick Holmes climbs back aboard and he has a super record on the horse winning 2 and placing in 1 other from 4 rides. Other hopes to Borehole (4), How Fairdinkum (5) and Soul Crusade (8).
Race 4
I'm not keen on the price ($3) for Billy Aucash (5) but he's in form which cannot be said for the majority of these. You don't have to look to hard to see that he's come out of some very good form races lately. He comes into this on the back of a soft win where he showed a clean set of heels in the straight. The extra distance will suit as shown by his record of 2 wins from 3 at the trip. He also enjoys racing at this track which is a bonus. Other hopes to Dolly Dolly (3), Essington (2) and Face Off (10).
Race 5
As could be expected over the 1000m, the speed will be on. We could see up to 7 horses vying for the early lead as the majority of speed horses have drawn wide. I'm supporting Shazzle Pazzle (8) in her quest to break her bridesmaid's status. Incredibly she's run 2nd in her last 5 starts but looks well placed here. She gets in with just 51kg after the claim for the apprenctice Jeffries. She'll be able to take up a box seat position from her nice gate and then come with a flash in the straight. Other hopes to Love Rocks (11), Ticket To Dream (6) and Who Will (5).
Race 6
In a tricky affair I'm going with the Barry Baldwin trained De Dozen Stars (7). He'll be given a great run from the peg by Larry Cassidy. Whether he leads or box seats is up to Larry but either way he'll be well positioned. His form recently has been good with wins over 1200m and 1350m. Other hopes to Falino (4), Ollie Vollie (1) and D'Jet (6).
Race 7
This will be a very keenly contested race for 3 year olds. Any number of these would not surprise as the winner. That should mean value for whatever selection you make. I'm going to back Prussian Heart (4). Prior to his last start, he raced very well. I'm prepared to forgive him for his last start failure as he raced wide throughout and the 1000m was probably too short for him. He draws nicely here in barrier 3 and gets 3kg's off for apprentice Goold. He'll be able to sit 3rd or 4th in the run. He's shown a competitive spirit at the end of races and that should put him right in the finish here. Other hopes to Cannyzing (2), Londehero (6) and Queen Of The Lochs (9).
Race 8
It's appropriate that we finish a tough card with a very competitive race. Quadrella players will have earned their money if they are successful! I'm going with Just A Perla (7). This guy is a model of consistency. He's won 3 from 13 but has only been out of the placings in 2 of those 13. He loves this distances winning 2 and placing 2nd in 3 starts. Last start he fought hard to run 2nd to the decent horse Qfighter where back markers were helped. He's drawn barrier 3 so young Anthony Allen will be able to take advantage of that and race in front or box seat. At around the $10 mark I think he represents excelllent value. Other hopes to Elmantosh (8), Big Decision (10) and Flying Fuji (12).
Best Bets
Race 2 - Jacquetta (2)
Race 3 - Hollywood Bound (7)
Race 8 - Just A Perla (7) e/w
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