Friday 1 February 2013

02/02/13 - Doomben, Caulfield and Rosehill

Doomben

Race 1 - A small field of seven 2 year olds go around here and I generally wouldn't be too keen to get involved.  Particularly with a slow/heavy track on the cards.  There is 1 horse in the race that has wet track form and that's Flamboyer (1).  This guy is out of Clang so you know he will get through the ground.  That was on display when he won on debut at Ipswich by 1.8 lengths over 1200m.  He settled 2nd on that occasion and finished off strongly.  I expect him to do the same here.  Hardest to beat Aquator (2).  

Race 2 - Style Music (12) looks tremendous value at $26 currently with Sportsbet.  She has drawn near the outside in barrier 13 but has the speed to cross early and take up a dominant position.  Her form on wet tracks reads well with a win and two 3rds from 4.  She has been racing in good fashion and importantly has been finishing strongly.  With the claim for Goold, she'll race with just 51kg which will make her very tough to run down in the straight.  Other hopes to Show Affection (4), Faultless Dancer (7) and Ticket To Dream (3). 

Race 3 - This is a very even affair with a number of winning chances.  I think Coworth Park (4) has been building up to a win and today could be the day.  This guy hasn't been out of the placings in 3 career starts and in each of them he was running on well at the end.  Last start over 1500m he raced 3 and 4 deep for the majority of the race and still had the audacity to go down by just 1.5 lengths.  He's drawn near the outside in barrier 12 but I think Tegan Harrison who claims 2kg can get him across to be in a position in the 1st half dozen horses.  Should be able to get through the ground as he's out of Nadeem who won the Blue Diamond in heavy going.  Other hopes to Pickabee (7), Sister Emma (8) and Congo (1).   
Race 4 - Shezahotshot (1) is knocking on the door for a win and I think gets a great opportunity here.  She's been racing in harder races than this and looks well weighted with 56kg after the claim for Matheson.  She's run on strongly in her last 2 starts and should get race conditions to suit here.  I have question marks over a lot of these to run the 1600m out.  She won't be concerned by that having won over 2100m.  A wet track won't concern her either.  Other hopes to Epic Terra (2), Matabrahma (4) and Home To The Bride (9).

***With the scratching of Home To The Bride (9), I'll promote Manicero (3) to the other hopes***


Race 5 - Cash 'N' Style (4) enters this race 3rd up from a spell.  His last 2 races when 3rd up, he's won.  He ran on 1st up and then was trodden on 2nd up but still only went down by 3.5 lengths. His wet track record is excellent with 6 wins and a 2nd from 11.  He drops 3kg's from last start and should be given a great run from Wiggins from the nice draw.  Other hopes to What Happenedhenry (2), Boys On Tour (3) and Lucky Luna (1).

Race 6 - Coming off a 35 day break, Jugahlation (5) almost pulled off a win in Listed company at the Sunshine Coast over 1400m last start.  With the natural fitness gained from that run and the drop back to 1350m, he'll be tough to beat here.  This guy is a deadset mudlark and if the track was heavy, my confidence would be further enhanced.  Will race with just 52kg after the claim for Vance.  Other hopes to Gundy Son (3), Doubtful Jack (2) and Achievements (7).

***With the scratching of Jugahlation, I'll promote Gundy Son (3) to the top pick and promote The Sixties (1) to the other hopes*** 

Race 7 - A big field of speedsters go around here over 1100m and the heat will be on.  Stradon (7) should get a great run from barrier 5 and will be tough to beat.  He has a win and a 3rd on slow/heavy going so we can expect him to handle the wet track.  The 3rd was in Group 2 company.  I believe he'll be able to stalk the leaders and be too strong in the straight.  He races well at the track and likes the distance.  Other hopes to Sinister Prince (1), Daph 'N' Alf (8) and Arado (5).

Race 8 - I'm taking a bit of a risk on Amalfi Dreams (11) as it has never raced on a wet surface.  However it's form since coming to Brisbane is hard to ignore.  In 3 starts it's won 2 and placed 3rd in listed company.  It's 2 wins have been at this track and distance.  It has been hitting the line hard.  Has the services of jockey Jeff Lloyd with 54kg.  If it handles the surface, will be awfully hard to beat.  Other hopes to Gypsy Pearl (9), Little Brown Horse (7) and Koranovsky (3).

***With the scratching of Gypsy Pearl, I'll promote Funtantes (1) to the other hopes***

Race 9 - General Exhibit (3) finally draws a good barrier here after his past 3 have been out wide.  He drops in weight to 54kg after the claim for Harrison which will be beneficial.  From barrier 4 he'll be able to boot up and be in a handy position.  He's been running on well in his past few races.  He handled a heavy track when he narrowly lost to Heza Jetsetter 3 starts back.  Other hopes to Tear It Up (8), Gotitallwrong (14) and Regular (6).

***With the scratching of Tear It Up,  I'll promote Indubious (4) to the other hopes***

Race 10 - Dolly Dolly (3) proved too good for her rivals last start in heavy going at the Sunshine Coast.  She won by 2.8 lengths over 1800m pulling away.  She has a proven record in the wet which isn't surprising given her breeding.  She'll race close up to the front and will prove mighty hard to run down.  Although she hasn't won at the track she has placed in 3 of 4.  Other hopes to Flying Home (10), Mukaddamah Son (4) and Handsome (7).  


Caulfield

Race 1 - Spending (1)

Race 2 - No trials, no interest

Race 3 - Albrecht (1) 

Race 4 - Avoid Lightning (4)

Race 5 - Elusive King (6)

Race 6 - The New Boy (11)

Race 7 - Population (11)

Race 8 - Mosse Diva (1)


Rosehill

Race 1 - Aussies Love Sport (2)

Race 2 - Taxmeifyoucan (2)

Race 3 - Royal Descent (2)

Race 4 - Disciple (2)

Race 5 - Soledad (5)

Race 6 - Kukri (4)

Race 7 - She's Clean (1)

Race 8 - Raceway (9)  

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