Thursday 5 December 2013

07/12/13 - Doomben, Caulfield, Kensington, Morphettville and Ascot

Well last Saturday was a bit of a shocker with just the 1 winner found at Doomben.  That was the very handy Emerald Duke who paid the princely sum of $4.80.  That was quite the steal!  Fillydelphia and Missing Page ran 2nd but overall it was a forgettable meeting. 

On a personal note it was a decent day with a number of winners interstate.  The most memorable being Money Bags in the get out in Adelaide.  Love it when a smack comes off.  It's infuriating though because I look like a mug on here with 1 from 7 but can find numerous winners throughout day that I don't have listed. (Yes that sounds like a typical story but for proof you can ask The Snorkel on twitter @slyboy47)

Anyway I'm probably putting the mock on myself by including my picks for 5 meetings this week but who knows, I could surprise.  Involvement.....high! 

Doomben

Race 1
The track should be dead with possible improvement to good come raceday.  (The track is rated good Saturday morning).  There's a chance of showers/storm Thursday but fine weather after that.  With racing here on Friday, it will be interesting to see how the track plays.  We kick off the day with a 2 year old race.  Stroak (3) grabbed the biscuits for us when it debuted back in October.  It won by 1.8 lengths with 3rd a further 5.5 lengths back.  It's drawn nicely in barrier 4 for Michael Cahill to get the gun run.  Other hopes to Verbier (4), Keep On Rocking (2) and Give Me Time (7). 

***Verbier has been scratched.  I struggled last night to replace Groomed For Glory so I won't bother looking for another hope for Verbier****

Race 2

Seek And Find (1) resumed 2 weeks ago after a year off the scene with a 2 length 2nd to Rocky King.  It was a nice hit out for a horse that doesn't really fire 1st up and given the time in the paddock.  He has a much better 2nd up record and will have some extra fitness on his side.  He meets Rocky King 1.5kg better at the weights.  On his side is the fact Rocky King has preferred racing at Eagle Farm.  Whereas this bloke loves Doomben, winning 6 from 13 and 3 from 5 at the distance.  He'll get the box seat run from barrier 3.  Other hopes to Rocky King (2), General Exhibit (6) and Lennie's Choice (7).

Race 3

Is this some sort of sick joke?  Here's this week's edition of the distance race and to really make things difficult, we have a field of 14.  Please!  I've put my hand in the barrel and drawn out Catalonia (5).  This mare has an average winning strike rate but she's been racing well this campaign and looks ready to win.  Last start she was finishing strongly over this trip and narrowly went down to Trajet and Volkhere.  The onpacers were favoured that day but with the bigger field and more speed, I suggest that will bring this girl right into it.  Other hopes to Volkhere (1), Master Avatar (3) and Maling (2).

Race 4

This is a very good race for 3 year old fillies.  We have Missy Longstocking returning from Melbourne and at set weights looks a nice proposition.  However there's a few other nice types in this that won't allow her to have it her own way.  I see Missy, Enquare and Splendora fighting this out.  I can't back them all so I've gone with Splendora (5).  This filly has come back as a 3 year old in tremendous style.  She's won all 3 of her races and beaten some nice horses in the process.  When she resumed she beat Shiraz Attack who has been awesome lately.  Her last start win at the Sunny Coast was a braining.  I really like the way she finds the line and just think she represents better value.  Other hopes to Missy Longstocking (1), Enquare (2) and Global Dream (3).  

Race 5

What a way to start the quadrella!  This is a very open affair with many of the fancied runners drawn out wide.  The speed should be solid with quite a lot of these likely to push forward due to wide barriers and/or their natural racing style.  Miss Husson (10) is one that will be favoured by the strong tempo.  She gets back and hits the line hard.  Based on her past 3 starts, she's crying out for the 1600m here.  Gets the services of Chris Munce who will know when to push the button on this filly in the straight.  Other hopes to Kalandula (9), Some Call Her Wild (11) and Amexed (15).

Race 6

The White Hope (7) is a box ticker if ever I saw one.  Undefeated in 2 starts at the track, undefeated in 2 2nd up runs and winner at only start at the distance.  He's drawn nicely to take up his customary front position for Glen Colless.  He'll prove hard to catch.  Other hopes to Congo (6), Written Above All (11) and Vacallo (8).  

***Written Above All has been scratched.  I'll add Renewed Vitality (2) to the other hopes***

Race 7

The George Moore Stakes looks an excellent race and is certain to provide Josh Hanson of Qld Racing Tips fame a great memory for his going away bash.  If you see Josh at Doomben, buy the man a beer as he's moving to Canberra and understandably will need a pick me up.  Back to the George Moore.  I'm an unabashed Cape Kidnappers (14) fan.  This bloke has never been out of the quinella in 10 starts.  7 of those have been wins.  He resumed here just over a month ago and won emphatically.  He then went to Sydney where he narrowly lost to Heart Testa.  This guy is a talented individual no doubt about it.  He has loves this track and will get a lovely run for Ric McMahon.  Other hopes to Morning Captain (3), Benny's Buttons (5) and Steel Zip (10).

***Very disappointed to see Cape Kidnappers scratched.  I'll make Morning Captain (3) my top pick and give Liesele (12) a chance***

Race 8

It was very hard to ignore the effort of Love Rocks (14) last start when it put the sword to a similar field to this.  It goes up just half a kilo for winning by 3.5 lengths and I expect it to be winning again.  It races well at the track and should be able to place itself in a decent position despite the awkward alley.  Other hopes to Qfighter (7), Lucky Sound (9) and Viking Heart (11).

***With the scratching of Lucky Sound I'll make Kempelly (13) an other hope***

Best Bets Doomben

Race 6 - The White Hope (7)

Race 8 - Love Rocks (14)      


Caulfield

Race 1 - Lord Of The Sky (2)

Race 2 - Mokoro (4)

Race 3 - Mango Mojito (7)

Race 4 - Lord Durante (8)

Race 5 - Loveyamadly (4)

Race 6 - Magnus Reign (9)

Race 7 - Marden (3)

Race 8 - Winta Chiller (12)



Best Bet Caulfield

Race 1 - Lord Of The Sky (2)

Race 5 - Loveyamadly (4)



Kensington

Race 1 - Sinjoren (4)

Race 2 - Occitan (9)

Race 3 - Perplexity (2)

Race 4 - Calming Influence (1)

Race 5 - Solemn (5)

Race 6 - Field Marshall (3)

Race 7 - Berrimilla (1) 

Race 8 - Messene (7)


Best Bets Kensington

Race 4 - Calming Influence (1)

Race 8 - Messene (7)


Morphettville

Race 1 - Maccy Fields (4)

Race 2 - Lucky Symbol (1)

Race 3 - Dontmentionthewar (4)

Race 4 - Gossip Guru (2)

Race 5 - Tristacat (6)

Race 6 - Back On Target (5)

Race 7 - Essay Raider (14), something on Action Again e/w

Race 8 - On A Dream (1)


Best Bets Morphettville

Race 4 - Gossip Guru (2)

Race 6 - Back On Target (5)


Ascot

Race 1 - Jester Derriere (6)

Race 2 - Kheleva (1)

Race 3 - Newton Prince (4)

Race 4 - Petrol Power (1)

Race 5 - Kerrific (3)

Race 6 - Knightlike (10)

Race 7 - Rose Of Choice (7)

Race 8 - Luckygray (1)

Race 9 - Northpace (15) 


Best Bets Ascot

Race 2 - Kheleva (1)

Race 7 - Rose Of Choice (7)
          

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