Well I have a special treat for followers of The Silk. Normally I concentrate on Saturday racing but as I'll be going to the Swich On raceday (www.swichon.com.au) to help race money for White Cloud Foundation and Turn To Me, I thought why not put out a Silk to hopefully help find some winners.
The weather has been magic here all week with temperatures pushing 30 degrees. We'll be blessed with a good track and with the rail out 8.5m, we'll be on the look out for horses that settle in the first 3 or 4. Hopefully that's a winning strategy!
Race 1 - Swich On Maiden Handicap
The first race on the card sees 8 maiden horses engaged over 1000m. We have 3 first starters to make things just that little bit harder. Red Hot De Lago (1) and Wine By The Glass (2) will push forward from their wide barriers. It's difficult to say what the unraced will do out of the barriers. Having said that I think we can assume that Creditable (6) will take advantage of barrier 1 and hustle early to take up a nice position. I'm taking it as a lead that Tim Bell would have had the choice of 2 Gillian Heinrich horses in this race and he chose this 1. It has reasonable trial form leading into this. She ran 6th to Miss Zizou in her 1st trial. That horse won Wednesday in town. She then ran a narrow 2nd in her 2nd trial last week. They are applying blinkers for the 1st time so I think she's being prepared to fire here. We're taking a bit of a punt but in the spirit of the day, I think she's worth a bet. Other hopes to Wine By The Glass (2), How Sweet (3) and Red Hot De Lago (1).
Race 2 - Savco Maiden Handicap
We're confronted with a maiden over 1700m in the 2nd race of the day. Unlike the previous maiden there's no 1st starters. In fact some of these have had quite a few starts and to be honest none have shown too much. I really couldn't push people towards any of these but for the sake of involvement I'll get behind Grazio (5). This guy's record is pretty poor with just the 1 second from 12 starts. That 2nd was last start at this track over this distance. I'm pinning quite a bit of weight to that effort. He settled towards the tail end of the field and was 9th at the 400m before making his way along the fence for 2nd. Korta (2) was just behind him in that race and looks the toughest to beat. As I said earlier, Grazio's record isn't flash but it must be noted that it's earlier starts were in Sydney and Melbourne where it raced for Anthony Cummings. Other hopes to Korta (2), Million Kisses (7) and Ardrova (1).
Race 3 - Tru-Flow Maiden Plate
Another maiden here. This time over 1350m. Speed should be decent here with Dane Victory and Sundae Dreamin' pushing up from the inside and Royal Enchantress, Eternal Heart and Maravagi going forward from out wide. That could play into the hands of Kelso Wood's horse Beautiful Sound (5). This mare recently resumed recently after well over a year off the scene. It wasn't the most spectacular return with the mare losing by 8 lengths. However she lost ground on the turn and battled fairly under a big weight. She drops 3kg here and should be able to park herself just behind the speed. Kelso Wood also has established a great record since the new season started winning 40% of his horses winning here and 80% placing. So he doesn't bring them to Ipswich for fun. With added fitness from her 1st up effort she should race well. Other hopes to Eternal Heart (6), Royal Enchantress (8) and Dane Victory (1).
Race 4 - Mayor Paul Pisasale Handicap
We take a step up here from the maidens and go into a Class 1 over 1700m. Major Showdown (2) and Bianco Boy (6) will take up the running here with possibly Irishlady Millions from the wide gate. Glenaroua (4) is having it's 1st run for the Kevin Kemp stable after racing in Victoria. It enters this race on the back of a maiden win at Geelong over 1900m. The 1700m will pose no problems, something that I'm not sure can be said about other horses in the race. The horse appreciates a dry track which it will get here. It's only been out of the placings once in 5 tries on good tracks. Gets 2kg off for apprentice Tarrant and I can see him giving the horse a nice run. Other hopes to Royal Reward (5), Major Showdown (2) and Samaxamia (1).
Race 5 - XXXX Class 1 Handicap
This scamper over 1100m is a bit of a head scratcher. It is with little confidence that I'm going with Nobody's Boy (2) here. It really concerns me that this guy has made a habit of bombing starts and generally being slow away. However I still remember his 6 length win on debut. The horse has potential and I'm putting a LOT of faith in that here. He gets 3kg's off for apprentice Schmidt which will come in handy. Basically if he jumps then he'll be in the finish. Other hopes to Grandin (7), Masakari (1) and Navy Chic (5).
Race 6 - AQ Labour Hire Class 2 Handicap
This class 2 race over 1350m looks a very nice affair. I'm going with Rock Beauty (4) who drops in class here. This mare has been highly competitive in class 3 races in it's most recent starts. It steps up in trip but she has shown a real fight in her finishing. She draws the peg and I expect Tim Bell to take full advantage of that by leading or box seating. She has a good record at the track which is an advantage. Other hopes to Substation (1), Don't Tell Cyril (7) and Banchory Lass (6).
Race 7 - Nugrow Landscaping & Supplies Class 4 Handicap
Many of the leading hopes have drawn wide which isn't ideal from this start over 1540m. Nuits St George (2) has drawn nicely in barrier 5 and I think this old boy will be right in the finish. He enters this race on the back of a 6th to Heart Of Many at Doomben and the start prior a win here over this trip. The day he won here he carried 59kg in the same class as this race. This time he'll carry 56kg after the claim for Wolfgram. Has won 2 from 4 at the track. Other hopes to Magic Shuffle (3), A Shade Better (5) and Wonderful Jester (1).
***With the scratching of Magic Shuffle, I'll promote O'Grady (6) to the other hopes***
Best Bets
Race 6 - Rock Beauty (4)
Quadrella
Leg 1 - 1, 2, 4, 5
Leg 2 - 1, 2, 7
Leg 3 - 1, 2, 4, 6, 7
Leg 4 - 1, 2, 5
Get Involved!
Race 4 - Mayor Paul Pisasale Handicap
We take a step up here from the maidens and go into a Class 1 over 1700m. Major Showdown (2) and Bianco Boy (6) will take up the running here with possibly Irishlady Millions from the wide gate. Glenaroua (4) is having it's 1st run for the Kevin Kemp stable after racing in Victoria. It enters this race on the back of a maiden win at Geelong over 1900m. The 1700m will pose no problems, something that I'm not sure can be said about other horses in the race. The horse appreciates a dry track which it will get here. It's only been out of the placings once in 5 tries on good tracks. Gets 2kg off for apprentice Tarrant and I can see him giving the horse a nice run. Other hopes to Royal Reward (5), Major Showdown (2) and Samaxamia (1).
Race 5 - XXXX Class 1 Handicap
This scamper over 1100m is a bit of a head scratcher. It is with little confidence that I'm going with Nobody's Boy (2) here. It really concerns me that this guy has made a habit of bombing starts and generally being slow away. However I still remember his 6 length win on debut. The horse has potential and I'm putting a LOT of faith in that here. He gets 3kg's off for apprentice Schmidt which will come in handy. Basically if he jumps then he'll be in the finish. Other hopes to Grandin (7), Masakari (1) and Navy Chic (5).
Race 6 - AQ Labour Hire Class 2 Handicap
This class 2 race over 1350m looks a very nice affair. I'm going with Rock Beauty (4) who drops in class here. This mare has been highly competitive in class 3 races in it's most recent starts. It steps up in trip but she has shown a real fight in her finishing. She draws the peg and I expect Tim Bell to take full advantage of that by leading or box seating. She has a good record at the track which is an advantage. Other hopes to Substation (1), Don't Tell Cyril (7) and Banchory Lass (6).
Race 7 - Nugrow Landscaping & Supplies Class 4 Handicap
Many of the leading hopes have drawn wide which isn't ideal from this start over 1540m. Nuits St George (2) has drawn nicely in barrier 5 and I think this old boy will be right in the finish. He enters this race on the back of a 6th to Heart Of Many at Doomben and the start prior a win here over this trip. The day he won here he carried 59kg in the same class as this race. This time he'll carry 56kg after the claim for Wolfgram. Has won 2 from 4 at the track. Other hopes to Magic Shuffle (3), A Shade Better (5) and Wonderful Jester (1).
***With the scratching of Magic Shuffle, I'll promote O'Grady (6) to the other hopes***
Best Bets
Race 6 - Rock Beauty (4)
Quadrella
Leg 1 - 1, 2, 4, 5
Leg 2 - 1, 2, 7
Leg 3 - 1, 2, 4, 6, 7
Leg 4 - 1, 2, 5
Get Involved!
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