Once again we've been blessed with sensational weather this week. There's a very small chance of a late storm Saturday but I'm fairly certain that we'll be racing on a good track all day at Doomben.
Last week wasn't anything to write home about. Two of our three best bets got across the line. Meatloaf might think 2 out of 3 ain't bad but the Silk's a tougher marker than that and won't be copping it. The beauty of racing is that there's always another chance. Let's smack 'em!
Race 1
Only 6 horses nominated here so tread warily. Strange things can happen in small fields but I feel Ferment (3) will bring up a hattrick of wins. His past 2 starts have been very good where he's run on strongly to take the winner's cheque. Both starts were over this distance so there's no doubts over his ability at the trip. He should box seat here and prove hard to hold out. He drops in weight from last start. Exotic players should look at Grey Assignment (1) and Double Impact (2).
Race 2
Half this field raced each other 2 weeks ago and it's very hard to see any of those turning the tables on Secret Harmony (1). He ran 2nd that day but Treasure Map was the closest and he was 2.3 lengths away. Secret Harmony meets that horse 2.5kg better after the claim for apprentice Holt. He'll be able to control the tempo and as reluctant I am to make bold statements, he just wins. Hardest to beat Treasure Map (2) and Grawlix (5).
Race 3
Yet another small field. Just 6 horses currently engaged after the 2 early scratchings of the Treloar runners. To make it less enticing to bet here, it's a 2120m race! I like to get involved but even I can't entertain taking this race on. For those who can't resist then Mukaddamah Son (1), Raeburn (3) and Escoffier (7) are the leading hopes.
Race 4
Cuddlesome (4) looks well placed here. She's had a month off but enters this race on the back of some nice efforts. She narrowly lost to Next The Universe last start and previous to that wasn't far off the likes of Peron, Kneeling and Doubtfilly. Those races were on wet tracks and I suspect Cuddlesome will really appreciate getting back on a dry track. I think she's a class above the opposition here and will get a great run from Munce. Other hopes to Jacquetta (7), Flying Fuji (5) and My Shabella (8).
Race 5
D'Jet (1) looks well placed here. Yes that's the comment in the last race but again it's fitting of this runner. He resumed 2 weeks ago after a long spell and raced well for 2nd. His 2nd up record is excellent, only being out of the placings once in 5 2nd up runs. He has a good record at the track and distance and should take a nice up position in running. He gets in very well at the weights after the claim for apprentice Holt. Looks a class above. Other hopes to Trilione (11), Bush Aviator (2) and Royal Shout (9).
Race 6
I really like the look of Mishani Warrior (3) here. This guy has put together an impressive record in his 15 race career. He's won 6 of those and placed in 5 others. He loves this track and distance. He gets the services of Anthony Allen who claims 2kg but importantly has won 3 of 4 on him. The speed looks to be a solid one with many horse pushing forward. That will play right into this guy's hands. Other hopes to Regular (12), Epic Terra (1) and Volkhere (8).
Race 7
This race is considerably harder than the previous races to pick. Who knows, I could be way off the mark with them. Stranger things have happened haha! Anyway getting back to the task at hand, I'm going with Got Unders (10). Let's be frank, this is an open race so luck will play a part. Unders has drawn wide but I think Colless can get the horse into a reasonable position. He rode the horse in the Grafton Guineas where it drew wide and the horse showed incredible resilience to finish a narrow 3rd. Kurtley won that race and it showed last week that's good form. It also has form around Casino Card. I was swayed to Got Unders as I feel it has better good track form than the other key runners. At the end of the day we want to be on something that is consistent and this guy fits that bill with only 2 unplaced runs in 12 races. Let's just hope we don't get unders with the bookies! Other hopes to Mr Testa (2), Heart Of Many (13) and Jack's Back (1).
Race 8
Well they lulled us into a false sense of security and then unleashed these final 2 races on us. The get out stakes, like the previous race is an open affair. I'm going with the resuming Congo (11). This guy has raced well at this track and distance and has a great fresh record. Although only a class 1, last time he resumed he brained them with a big weight. He raced in competitive 3 year old races last season and I'm hoping that gives him a bit of a class edge here. All he needs is a decent speed set and he'll be winding up well in the straight. Other hopes to Deb's Hope (9), Manicero (2) and The Storeman (6).
Best Bets
Race 2 - Secret Harmony (1)
Race 5 - D'Jet (1)
Race 6 - Mishani Warrior (3) e/w
The Silk will also be throwing an all up including Ferment, Secret Harmony, Cuddlesome and D'jet. Only costs money to find out!
Cuddlesome (4) looks well placed here. She's had a month off but enters this race on the back of some nice efforts. She narrowly lost to Next The Universe last start and previous to that wasn't far off the likes of Peron, Kneeling and Doubtfilly. Those races were on wet tracks and I suspect Cuddlesome will really appreciate getting back on a dry track. I think she's a class above the opposition here and will get a great run from Munce. Other hopes to Jacquetta (7), Flying Fuji (5) and My Shabella (8).
Race 5
D'Jet (1) looks well placed here. Yes that's the comment in the last race but again it's fitting of this runner. He resumed 2 weeks ago after a long spell and raced well for 2nd. His 2nd up record is excellent, only being out of the placings once in 5 2nd up runs. He has a good record at the track and distance and should take a nice up position in running. He gets in very well at the weights after the claim for apprentice Holt. Looks a class above. Other hopes to Trilione (11), Bush Aviator (2) and Royal Shout (9).
Race 6
I really like the look of Mishani Warrior (3) here. This guy has put together an impressive record in his 15 race career. He's won 6 of those and placed in 5 others. He loves this track and distance. He gets the services of Anthony Allen who claims 2kg but importantly has won 3 of 4 on him. The speed looks to be a solid one with many horse pushing forward. That will play right into this guy's hands. Other hopes to Regular (12), Epic Terra (1) and Volkhere (8).
Race 7
This race is considerably harder than the previous races to pick. Who knows, I could be way off the mark with them. Stranger things have happened haha! Anyway getting back to the task at hand, I'm going with Got Unders (10). Let's be frank, this is an open race so luck will play a part. Unders has drawn wide but I think Colless can get the horse into a reasonable position. He rode the horse in the Grafton Guineas where it drew wide and the horse showed incredible resilience to finish a narrow 3rd. Kurtley won that race and it showed last week that's good form. It also has form around Casino Card. I was swayed to Got Unders as I feel it has better good track form than the other key runners. At the end of the day we want to be on something that is consistent and this guy fits that bill with only 2 unplaced runs in 12 races. Let's just hope we don't get unders with the bookies! Other hopes to Mr Testa (2), Heart Of Many (13) and Jack's Back (1).
Race 8
Well they lulled us into a false sense of security and then unleashed these final 2 races on us. The get out stakes, like the previous race is an open affair. I'm going with the resuming Congo (11). This guy has raced well at this track and distance and has a great fresh record. Although only a class 1, last time he resumed he brained them with a big weight. He raced in competitive 3 year old races last season and I'm hoping that gives him a bit of a class edge here. All he needs is a decent speed set and he'll be winding up well in the straight. Other hopes to Deb's Hope (9), Manicero (2) and The Storeman (6).
Best Bets
Race 2 - Secret Harmony (1)
Race 5 - D'Jet (1)
Race 6 - Mishani Warrior (3) e/w
The Silk will also be throwing an all up including Ferment, Secret Harmony, Cuddlesome and D'jet. Only costs money to find out!
No comments:
Post a Comment