Friday 10 May 2013

11/05/13 - BTC Cup Day

Last Saturday's Prime Minister's Cup meeting at the Gold Coast was a successful day for Silk supporters.  Four winners were found on the nine race card for an 82% profit.  These being Studio $1.70, Express Power $4.10, Famous Seamus $7.30 and Lights Of Heaven $3.30.  The quadrella was also found with the Silk's top or 2nd pick winning each leg.  Unfortunately not much joy was found interstate. 
 
Enough about the past.  We've got the BTC Cup to look forward to this Saturday at Eagle Farm.  Will Buffering taste Group 1 glory?  I'm sure a big percentage of racing fans will be hoping the answer is in the affirmative.  The track should be rated in the dead range with only a chance of showers over the coming days.  Hopefully they stay away and we get a great surface.
 
Race 1 - The opening event on the card sees a scamper over 1000m.  As would be expected, the speed should be a solid one.  Particularly with a number of horses pushing over from wide gates.  With that in mind, I have gone with Griffon (4) who will be able to sit off the speed and come home strong.  He resumes here and does his best work on the fresh side as shown by his record of 2 wins and 2 thirds from 5 resumptions.  He enjoys racing at this track and won his only start here over 1000m.  Other hopes to Excellantes (1), Halle Rocks (11) and Mr Favulous (7).
 
Race 2 - This is a very competitive race for 2 year olds.  I'm going with Global Dream (7).  This Tony Gollan trained filly has shown signs that she's a decent horse.  She resumes here after an initial campaign that concluded in a 4th place finish in the Magic Millions.  I think that particular run showed what character this horse has.  After drawing barrier 11, she raced 3 wide before being 5 wide on the turn.  She then had the audacity to run on to go down by just 1.9 lengths.  She draws the inside gate here and I can see jockey Glen Colless positioning the horse nicely a few pairs back from the lead.  In a race of many chances, I think Global Dream offers good value at double figure odds.  Other hopes to Octane Flyer (1), Hooked (3) and Bound For Earth (9).


Race 3 - I'm quite keen on the chances of Hidden Kisses (2) in this 1400m race.  This horse races particularly well at Eagle Farm, winning or placing in 9 of 12 starts.  More importantly she's won 2 from 3 at this track and distance.  She was very good 1st up when finishing off strongly over 1200m to go down by a slim margin.  The step up to 1400m here 2nd up will be too her liking.  She gets the services of gun jockey Michael Rodd who will guide the horse beautifully from barrier 1.  Other hopes to Alcania (9), Show Affection (8) and Product (4).

Race 4 - Waterford (12) has raced in multiple Group races in New Zealand and finds herself in a Benchmark 85 here.  The only obstacle I can see to her winning this race is the visitor's barrier of 15.  Her form in NZ reads well for a race like this.  She finished 4 lengths off this year's Doncaster winner Sacred Falls and lost by a nose in the Group 1 1000 Guineas over this distance.  Other hopes to Dusty Gold (6), Less Is More (4) and Vacallo (10).

Race 5 - The Rough Habit Plate over 2100m looks at the mercy of the kiwis.  There's a couple of good ones engaged here in Usainity and Survived.  I'm putting Survived (7) just on top given his great record.  Survived has won 5 from 7 and has won up to 2200m.  Last start he put a Group 3 field to the sword over 2200m on slow going so he enters this race in sparkling form.  Two starts back he defeated Usainity when he drew much worse.  Platinum Kingdom was also in that race and we know that horse like Usainity has recently won in Sydney.  Other hopes to Usainity (3), Lucky Lucky Lucky (9) and Tonopah (13).

Race 6 - You think the kiwis want to win this race?  There's a strong contingent here with good form.  However I'll be supporting the Tony McEvoy trained Sysmo (14).  This former French horse is always around the money and has been racing in good form recently.  He won 2 starts back before finding the heavy going not to his liking over 2000m last time out.  Despite the wet track, he still finished off strongly.  With 54kg, I believe this guy will be hard to hold out.  He has drawn to get a great run.  Other hopes to Margins (8), Shenzhou Steeds (2) and Quintessential (3).

Race 7 - The 2013 edition of the BTC Cup is going to be an outstanding affair with some quality sprinters going around.  It's no secret that I love the Buff and it would seem sacrilege to go against the big fella.  Buffering (1) won't have it all his own way however.  Rain Affair will push forward to lead and try to run Buff off his feet.  I think Buff will be best suited if he sits off Rain Affair and has a crack in the straight.  Buffering has a fondness for Eagle Farm winning 4 from 7.  Even more telling is his record of 3 wins from 4 starts at the track and distance.  He seems to have come back in excellent form as shown in the fighting win last start.  Other hopes to Rain Affair (2), Rarefied (5) and Your Song (8).

Race 8 - Someday (6) has only been out of the quinella once in 9 starts.  On that occasion he was steaming home before getting poleaxed.  This guy resumes in this race and has a great 1st up record.  His start prior to the break was something to be seen.  He missed the start thanks to gate failure and was 2 lengths last from the get go.  He raced 3 wide and was 5 wide turning for home before finishing off like a freight train.  This guy has class and if they have plans for bigger races in the winter, then he has to be winning this.  Other hopes to Sookie (16), Rocker (4) and Longshoreman (2).

Best Bets

Race 3 Number 2 Hidden Kisses

Race 5 Number 7 Survived


Caulfield

Race 2 - Imoto (8)

Race 3 - Cosmic Causeway (2)

Race 4 - Falcent (7)

Race 6 - Nautical (13)

Race 7 - Midsummer Sun (4)

Race 8 - Elite Elle (4)


Rosehill

Race 2 - Relaxed And Happy (3)

Race 5 - Index Linked (10)

Race 6 - Pirate Bay (13)

Race 7 - Under The Sun (7)

Race 8 - Infinite Energy (9)

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