Friday 4 January 2013

05/01/13 - Eagle Farm, Caulfield and Warwick Farm

Eagle Farm

Race 1 - I'm not interested in getting involved here.  There's too many unknowns for my liking.  The leading contenders are Dalton (4), Tornado Miss (14) and Real Surreal (18). 

Race 2 - Revitalise (1) has to contend with 59.5kg and that's after the claim.  However I don't think that's all that bad when some lesser credentialed rivals are only carrying a 1kg or less.  The 1000m is a fair drop in distance from what he normally races but he's 1st up (good record and won 1st up last campaign) and his work during the week suggests he's ready to rip.  He should be able to sit just off a hot pace and come over the top.  Hardest to beat Power Of Ed (5).

Race 3 - Accidental (8) looks excellent value around the $8-$9 mark.  This guy has resumed in good fashion, winning both his starts.  On both occasions he finished off strongly. He's drawn barrier 4 so Larry Cassidy should be able to boot him up to take a nice position.  Other hopes to Stradon (3), Hodgie And Mo (1) and Pegunny Cat (2).

Race 4 - Longshoreman (4) has been hitting the line with extreme gusto in the 3 starts he's had since resuming in November.  He steps up to 1400m here and I would imagine will be assisted by a reasonable speed.  Slight concern over the rise in weight but it's simply hard to ignore the way he's been racing.  Other hopes to Volkere (7), Mr Orient (5) and Matabrahma (10).

Race 5 - Magic In Motion (4) is a promising young horse from the Heathcote stable.  She always finishes her races off strongly and put in an eye catching run last start when she won over 1500m.  The step up to 1800m here looks suitable.  Jeff Lloyd takes the ride and will be able to give the horse every possible chance from barrier 4.  Other hopes to Mishani Stealth (2), Hollywood Bound (11) and Tips 'N' Tales (14).

Race 6 - Mr Light Blue (2) has been racing over 1600m this campaign but now gets out to his pet distance of 2100m.  He has a record of 2 wins and a 3rd from 4 tries at the trip.  He also has a fondness for this track.  Has drawn out but Tegan Harrison who claims 2kg should have no problem getting him across to either lead or be very handy.  He'll be tough to run down in the straight.  Other hopes to Dolly Dolly (6), Carry Me Bluey (1) and Danagaze (3).

Race 7 - I'm really not keen on this race and I'd be going as wide as possible in quaddies.  Purfectress (8) looks the most likely.  She likes to run on in her races and should be suited by a decent speed.  If you take her run in the Listed Just Now 2 starts back out of the equation, her form has been quite good.  I won't list other chances as in an average race they've all got some hope.  

Race 8 - Arctic (7) looks a strong chance to get us home in the last.  This guy has been racing well of late against some nice types.  He finished off strongly over 1500m last start to win and in his 2 previous races he finished in the placings behind The Great White Hope and Sons Of God.  Other hopes to No Win No Wine (9), Peace Talks (4) and Calculation (11).


Caulfield

Race 1 - Number 6 Nella Fantasia

Race 2 - No Interest

Race 3 - Number 1 First Command

Race 4 - Number 2 Finishing Card

Race 5 - Number 6 General Peekay

Race 6 - Number 2 Tariana

Race 7 - Number 2 Whisper Downs

Race 8 - Number 7 Fast And Free


Warwick Farm

Race 1 - Number 3 Stand Strong

Race 2 - Number 1 Direct Charge

Race 3 - Number 7 Jaipur Princess

Race 4 - Number 10 Sessions

Race 5 - Number 6 Riva De Lago

Race 6 - Number 8 Disciple

Race 7 - Number 2 She's Clean

Race 8 - Number 5 Norma Betty's Boy        

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