Friday 14 September 2012

15/09/12 - Doomben, Moonee Valley and Rosehill

Doomben

Race 1 - Last start winner Flying Jet (7) looks an excellent chance to go back to back. She raced much better opposition than this last campaign and was competitive. She hit the line well in winning 1st up and will be further improved for this. Her gallop this week was excellent which gives me further confidence. Other hopes to Our Hussey (4), Comahni (2) and Granzella (1).

Race 2 - Over half this field raced each other last start when Platinum State won. This time around Trakstar, Antartic Dream and Accidental have drawn favourably as opposed to the outside gates last time. Trakstar (2) was the one The Silk was on in that race and I won't be getting off here. In that race he missed the start and then raced wide throughout but was still able to rattle home and go down by the narrowest of margins. He draws barrier 2 this time and will be able to be placed in an excellent position. Worked well during the week. Other hopes to Antartic Dream (3), Platinum State (1) and Accidental (5).

Race 3 - Have I mentioned lately that I hate these 2000m+ races? Although the likes of Racing Heart and Attica have delivered for the Silk in these races lately, this week's edition looks a stinker and I'm not keen to get involved. If it was a leg of the quad and thank god it's not, I'd be saying take the field.

Race 4 - The 1110m is a touch on the short side for Marculoo (1) but I think she'll be helped by the way the race will run. Lone Assassin will cross from the outside gate but could meet opposition for the lead from Kalbo and Savage.  Marculoo will be able to possy up nicely from her inside gate and finish strongly.  Her 1st up form isn't flash but her record at the track is a good one.  She's won 2 and placed 2nd in 4 starts here.  Gets 3kg off for Matheson which could be critical.  Other hopes to Lone Assassin (5), Dr Barnard (2) and By Choice (3).

Race 5 - Jack's Back (7) won 1st up last start which was something he hadn't achieved in 3 previous tries.  His 2nd up record is perfect, admittedly he's only had the 1 2nd up race.  His record stands at 4 wins from 11 and although those 4 wins were all at Toowoomba he was very competitive as a 3 year old in town.  Will get a good run from the nice draw and will be running on when it counts.  Other hopes to Jugahlation (2), Solebid (10) and Jet Style (1).

Race 6 - Too Many Reds (8) went down by half a length last start to The Sixties.  In that race he missed the start and had to race wide in a small field.  The start prior he won and beat the in form Liesele.  With a bigger field and a great gate, Larry Cassidy will be able to give him a tremendous run.  Other hopes to The Sixties (2), Morning Captain (9) and Craiglea Falcon (4).

***With the scratching of Morning Captain, I'll promote Jabiru Dreaming (11) to the other hopes***

Race 7 - Did you catch the final burst by Hour Of Peril (7) last start?  Ding, ding, ding...the alarm bells went off for me.  Over the 1500m he came from last to go down by 2.2 lengths.  The extra 100m here will suit and particularly with the likes of Rockdale, Bold Glance, From London and Grey Assignment setting a decent tempo.  My mind takes me back to his Tatts Mile win a few months back and I can see a repeat of that performance.  Other hopes to Bold Glance (1), Hidden Kisses (8) and Lucky Luna (3).

Race 8 - Tenacious Jack (9) enters this race following a last start win.  He's been a model of consistency his past 4 starts racing around this distance.  I get the feeling he has a bit more improvement in him than most of these.  Has drawn barrier 4 and will get a lovely run.  Other hopes to Damn Good Idea (4), Dienekes (1) and Good Hunting (10).

***With the scratching of Dienekes, I'll promote Dorchester (6) to the other hopes***

Moonee Valley

Race 1 - Number 2 Forget 

Race 2 - Number 3 Malasun

Race 3 - Number 7 Ebony Rock

Race 4 - Number 4 Buxted

Race 5 - Number 2 Golden Archer

Race 6 - Number 7 Happy Trails

Race 7 - Number 6 Midnight Martini

Race 8 - Number 4 Mr Make Believe

Rosehill

Race 1 - Number 2 Gangster's Choice

Race 2 - Number 5 Westchester

Race 3 - Number 7 Coup Acclaim

Race 4 - Number 4 Dystopia

Race 5 - Number 1 More Joyous

Race 6 - Number 4 Kabayan

Race 7 - Number 4 Maules Creek

Race 8 - Number 11 Velrosso

Best Bets

Doomben - Race 1 Number 7 Flying Jet 
               Race 2 Number 2 Trakstar
               Race 6 Number 8 Too Many Reds

Moonee Valley - Race 7 Number 6 Midnight Martini

Rosehill - Race 4 Number 4 Dystopia



    

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