08/09/12 - Doomben, Flemington and Warwick Farm

The Silk found 7 winners last weekend.  After an excellent start with Racing Heart and Grey Assignment winning the opening races, things didn't really kick on.  Our 3 best bets all came close to saluting.  Pure Purrfection and Sincero won with Kabayan narrowly going down with a 2nd.  If you have a winning weekend please give some serious thought in getting behind Wayne McGrath who is raising money for the Sydney Children's Hospital Network in the 4Tracks4Kids walk.  A great cause and a great bloke.  You can do this by going to http://4tracks4kidssydney.gofundraise.com.au/page/doingitforthekids 

Doomben

Race 1 - Beautiful spring weather greets us at Doomben.  The last few days, temperatures have been around the 30 degree mark giving us a good track.  We have quite an even race to kick things off.  I'm going with Lucky Songs (1).  She comes off a last start win over 1500m where she put in a dominant performance.  Drops back in distance here but she has an excellent record of 4 wins, a 2nd and two thirds over this journey.  She does her best racing on a good surface which she gets here.  Jockey Tegan Harrison claims 3kg's and has a great relationship with the horse, only being out of the placings once in 6 starts on board.  Other hopes to For Mia (7), Our Hussey (3) and Miss Bradbury (11).

Race 2 - Around The World (5) resumed last start and ran a creditable 3rd to Liesele.  She was doing her best work late and the extra 90m here will suit.  Her record over this distance is 3 wins from 5.  2 of those wins have come at this venue.  Her 2nd up record is excellent, never being out of the 1st 2 in 3 goes.  Gets a nice weight advantage over Liesele and will get a nice run from Munce.  Other hopes to Punch On (2), Liesele (1) and Pretty Composed (8).

Race 3 - Revitalise (5) gets the run of the race here from the 2 alley.  He put behind the average showing 2 runs back to win last start over this track and distance.  Has only been penalised 0.5kg for that win.  His overall record is a good one at 4 wins and two 2nds from 9 starts.  The horse has been working really well this week and is rock hard fit.  Other hopes to Onetimeatbandcamp (4), Margins (6) and Cyclone Al (7).

Race 4 - This looks a race in two here between Solzhenitsyn and Bold Glance.  Solzhenitsyn (3) is a favourite of The Silk and will be my top pick.  The odds on offer aren't encouraging me to get involved however.  His record speaks for itself.  3 from 3 at the track and distance, 12 wins or placings from 16 starts on good going.  He could be susceptible 1st up but he worked well this week suggesting he is ready for a 1st up assault.  Other hopes to Bold Glance (1), Jugahlation and War Ends (4). 

***Jugahlation has been scratched.  I won't bother adding a replacement as the field is small*** 

Race 5 - Better Than Ready (2) won impressively on debut when absolutely belted by the punters.  He ran 4th in his only other start but he did he the line well.  He's warmed up nicely this week with some solid work.  I would suspect there will be a solid speed set here which will enable this bloke to power home.  Other hopes to Le Cap (5), Palais Court (8) and Reflectance (7).

Race 6 - The top weight here Attica (1) will do me here.  This horse has never been out of the placings over this distance from 4 starts.  He's won 2 of those and ran 3rd in the others.  He enters this race on the back of a win at the Gold Coast over this trip.  He will carry just 54.5kg after the claim for Tegan Harrison.  That is a massive advantage.  Should be able to park up close to the action from the inside gate.  Other hopes to Eureka Jack (10),  They Won't Last (5) and White City (11).

Race 7 - This looks a very interesting race with a number of key hopes drawn wide.  I'd suggest that creates a quite a decent speed early.  Alvitas (3) narrowly grabbed the cash for The Silk last start and given he likes to run on, I'll be sticking with him.  He's drawn wide which won't matter as much given his racing style.  He is undefeated in 3 starts over this distance.  Gets in with 57kg's after the claim for Anthony Allen.  He has won carrying 59kg before so he can handle big imposts.  Other hopes to Someday (11), Side To Side (7) and Mujahu (14).

Race 8 - Again we see a number of leading chances drawing wide.  In this sprint over 1110m, that's not ideal.  One horse that has drawn nicely is I'm Cool (11).  This guy will jump and run from the 3 gate.  He has the 3kg claim for Matheson which leaves him with just 51kg to  carry.  Last start he was run down on the line by the good horse Someday (races in previous) over 1200m. Dropping back in distance will help him hold on.  Other hopes to Double Image (2), Run With Me (12) and D'Jet (3).

Flemington

Race 1 - Number 7 Agueda
Race 2 - Number 13 Bel Thor
Race 3 - Number 4 Launay
Race 4 - Number 10 Total Attraction
Race 5 - Number 9 Snitzerland
Race 6 - Number 2 Manighar
Race 7 - Number 8 Shanghai Warrior 
Race 8 - Number 6 Excluded

Warwick Farm

Race 1 - Number 7 Jacquinot Bay
Race 2 - Number 5 You Think So
Race 3 - Number 8 Upshot
Race 4 - Number 4 Toydini
Race 5 - Number 4 Lamasery
Race 6 - Number 5 Meidung
Race 7 - Number 2 Rain Affair
Race 8 - Number 4 Kontiki Park

Best Bets

Doomben - Race 3 Number 5 Revitalise

               Race 5 Number 2 Better Than Ready

Flemington - Race 1 Number 7 Agueda
                  Race 3 Number 4 Launay
                  Race 8 Number 6 Excluded

Warwick Farm - Race 5 Number 4 Lamasery
                      Race 8 Number 4 Kontiki Park