Friday 20 April 2012

21/04/12 - Randwick, Caulfield and Eagle Farm

Randwick

Race 1 - Not a race I'm keen on.  The form is limited here with none of these 2 year olds having run 1600m and most not having any wet track form.  If I was to have a bet I'd be working around Dear Demi, Rowie, Proverb and Great Dansaar. 

Race 2 - If this was a dry track, I'd without hesitation put Driefontein on top. However it's going to be a bog, 60.5kg and a short price I'm going to take it on.  I'll have a sneaky e/w bet on Agueda.  It's 1 and only win came on slow going and it also won a trial in the wet.  3 starts back it ran 0.2 length to Driefontein.  Other hopes to Driefontein, Meidung and Single Style.

Race 3 - I'm going with Lightinthenite here.  Has won both it's 1st up runs in the past.  It has a great overall record winning 4 from 8.  Has also won a 1300m race on slow going.  Other hopes to Riva De Lago, Delzero and Skyerush.

Race 4 - I'm backing Landing to continue his unbeaten run here.  Won comprehensively over this trip last start.  A wet track shouldn't bother him as he's a More Than Ready and they handle it well.  Gai/Nash in form combo.  Other hopes to Sacred Pins, Charm's Honour and Deceiver.

Race 5 - This is a very weak race.  I've looked for a reason to go against Streama but I can't find one.  Sure she hasn't won beyond 1600m.  However she did take ground off Mosheen over 2000m last start which is no mean feat.  Goes exceptionally well on a wet surface.  Has the class edge. 

Race 6 - I'm with the up and coming stayer in Western Symbol here.  Has put together an impressive record winning 5 from 13 and only being out of the placings in 2 of those.  Stepped up to the mark last start and won a Group 3 over this distance.  Is undefeated on slow going and placed on heavy.  Will be in a prominent position when the whips are cracking.  Other hopes to Hawk Island, Dance With Her and Vintedge.


Race 7 - I'm really looking forward to this year's Doncaster.  There's a number of winning hopes but the one I'm supporting is Sincero.  Firstly he gets in with 55kg which is a lot less than he has carried in recent outings.  He has a great overall record winning 11 from 18 and 2 from 3 at this distance.  Although against inferior opposition he relished a heavy ground the only time he raced on it.  Looks primed for this after a fast finishing 5th in the George Ryder.  Other hopes to Secret Admirer, More Joyous and Rangirangdoo.  


Race 8 - I'm sticking with my old mate Temple Of Boom.  This horse just loves the wet. 3 wins and 3 seconds from 7 on slow and has won both his cracks at heavy going.  Has a good record over this trip.  I see a very solid pace in front here which will suit this bloke when he unleashes a powerful finish.  Other hopes to Nobby Snip, Bel Sprinter and Ladys Angel.


Race 9 - I'm not overly keen on this race. It's a sub-standard sort of an affair.  Having said that, I'm going with Next The Universe.  It's a bit of a non-winner having only won 2 from 21 but it's placed in 12 others.  Goes ok in the wet, placing 4 from 5.  Has raced well in it's previous 2 for 2nd.  Other hopes to Miss Marx, Dee'N'Gee and Startreusse.  


Caulfield


Race 1 - No form, no punt on these 2 year olds.


Race 2 - This is another race I'm not too fussed on.  There doesn't seem to be a great deal of speed here.  This concerns me with my selection Sensational Report.  This horse gets back in it's races and I'm worried that it might not be able to unleash it's strong finish.  Having said that, it's form is hard to ignore.  It's been flying lately.  Loves a dead track and goes well over this distance.  Other hopes to Star Of Giselle, Model To Nite and Ky's The Limit.


Race 3 - I think Spartini can continue her winning ways here.  This horse is flying at the moment and has won 7 from 12.  She just loves this distance, winning 6 from 7.  A dead surface will be ideal.  If there was rain, I'd be jumping on my clear 2nd pick Delabombell.  Other hopes to Rue Maple and Inablitz.


Race 4 - Vain Attraction looks the one here.  Won well 1st up beating Tres Vite who then when on to win impressively.  There should be a fair speed here which suit this horse coming from the back.  3kg's off for the apprenctice is a bonus.  Other hopes to Classy Chloe, Chinzia and Reigning Lass.


Race 5 - Sir Fernando is a horse in form and that's the way I'm going here.  This guy always puts himself into a race and will prominent in running.  Overall record is 3 wins and 3 2nds from 7 starts.  Has the Boss man in the saddle.  Other hopes to Amah Rock, Cash Bound and Livigno.


Race 6 - I'm going with Pago Rock in this competitive race.  This has won it's only start at this track, has a great record over this trip and is perfect on a dead track.  He'll be in the 1st few horses in running and will prove hard to run down.  Other hopes to Under The Eiffel, Testa My Patience and Freereturn.  If Sheila's Star races here and not Adelaide, it goes in.


Race 7 - Red Typhoon should get conditions similar to what it got in it's last start win over 1700m.  There should be adequate pace for this filly to finish in a hurry.  Has won previously over 2000m so this journey won't be a problem.  Other hopes to Tower Of Lonhro, Bells Of Troy and Zabeelionaire.

***With the scratching of Bells Of Troy, I'll promote Scelto to the other hopes***


Race 8 - I'm going with Curtana in the last.  This horse loves this track winning 4 from 7.  Has been racing in much harder races than this and with 54kg after the claim, looks right in this.  Should be suited by a fair speed.  Goes well on dead going.  Other hopes to Rescue Mission, Stratcombe and Rocking Force.


Eagle Farm


Race 1 - I'm not keen to get involved here. 


Race 2 - I have to stick with our old mate Dodging Eddie.  He really impressed last start when finishing off strongly to win over 2112m.  I can't see many of these being able to match him in the run to the line.  Other hopes to Mukaddamah Son, Contract Caterer and Murrumba Downs.


Race 3 - Solzhenitsyn has drawn the car park here in 19.  However he gets back in his races so this shouldn't be a problem.  It's just too hard to ignore his stats over this distance.  He's won 3 from 5 over 1400m and is 1 from 1 at the track.  His 1st up run was super.  Vance gets 3kg's off.  Other hopes to Oak Street, Strumming and Absent Friends.


Race 4 - There's a fair bit of speed in this race.  For that reason I'm going with Easy Running.  It always finishes like a freight train.  From the nice draw I can see it getting in behind the leaders and pouncing in the straight. Has a good 1st up record and can handle all surfaces.  Other hopes to Saraji, Leealan and Crystal Doll.


Race 5 - I like the look of Carry Me Bluey in this.  This horse really came on last campaign and I'm keen to see how it returns.  Has a great 1st up record winning 2 from 4 and placing in another.  Goes well over this distance and likes this track.  A lot to like.  Other hopes to Metallurgical, Durham Town and Mr Armstrong.

***With the scratching of Durham Town, I'll promote Fillydelphia to the other hopes***


Race 6 - Cariad is in sensational form at the moment.  Her last start win where she absolutely flew home was impressive.  It's hard to ignore a run like that.  Other hopes to Risk Aversion, Funtantes and St Germaine.


Race 7 - I'll be sticking with Hidden Jewel here.  Raced well 1st up and then was a bit flat 2nd up but still ran ok.  She'll be primed for this and it's a very good race for her.  She's got a great record at this track, never being out of the placings.  I just think she'll have too much for these.  Other hopes to Urban Rocker, Purfectress and Flying Jet.

***With the scratching of Purfectress, I'll promote Crazy Mamma to the other hopes***


Race 8 - I'm putting Ginga Dude on top here.  This guy competed well in group races last spring and resumes here.  His 1st up record is fair but it's his record over this trip that stands out.  He's won 5 from 12 and placed in 2 others.  Has won 2 trials leading into this so he should be ready to run a race 1st up.  Other hopes to Triple Honour, Scenic Shot and Shuffle The Cash.


Best Bets 


Randwick - No clear standouts. 


Caulfield - Race 4 Number 2 Vain Attraction
              Race 6 Number 6 Pago Rock


Eagle Farm - Race 2 Number 9 Dodging Eddie
                  Race 3 Number 3 Solzhenitsyn
                  Race 7 Number 6 Hidden Jewel        

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