Friday 25 January 2013

26/01/13 - Caulfield, Warwick Farm and Morphettville

I won't be doing Brisbane form this Saturday.  I have a suspicion that the Sunshine Coast meeting will be abandoned and if it's not, the track will be heavy which will significantly reduce the field sizes.  It's just not worth the time doing the form for it.  Enjoy your Australia Day everyone and look after your mates!

Caulfield

Race 1 - Octavia (2)

Race 2 - Pass

Race 3 - Thermal Current (2)

Race 4 - Montsegur (4)

Race 5 - Vain Attraction (3)

Race 6 - British General (5)

Race 7 - Vatican (5)

Race 8 - Whisper Downs (4)

Warwick Farm

Race 1 - Guelph (6)

Race 2 - Havana Rey (3)

Race 3 - Shuswap (8)

Race 4 - That's A Good Idea (3)

Race 5 - Written In The Stars (1)

Race 6 - Reuben Percival (2)

Race 7 - Whisperossa (3)

Race 8 - War Charm (18)

Morphettville

Race 1 - Conduction (2)

Race 2 - Tabulated (4)

Race 3 - Schaduw (4)

Race 4 - Rose Of Lincoln (8)

Race 5 - Extra Virgin (5)

Race 6 - Fraanikova (10)

Race 7 - Inablitz (8)

Race 8 - Meadows Cat (9)

Friday 18 January 2013

19/01/13 - Eagle Farm, Flemington and Rosehill

Eagle Farm
Race 1 - Dalton (1)

Race 2 - Impala (1)

Race 3 - Mr Light Blue (1)

Race 4 - Cash 'N' Style (2)

Race 5 - Vintage Moss (7)

Race 6 - La Frisson Belle (14)

Race 7 - Silver Bullion (11)

Race 8 - Accidental (11) 

Flemington 

Race 1 - No Interest

Race 2 - Family Crest (7)

Race 3 - First Command (1)

Race 4 - Red Inca (4)

Race 5 - Goldstone (8)

Race 6 - White Universe (11)

Race 7 - Elusive King (3)

Race 8 - Folk Rock (4)


Rosehill

Race 1 - General Peekay (1)

Race 2 - Frozen Rope (1)

Race 3 - She's Clean (1)

Race 4 - Soapy Star (1)

Race 5 - Fuerza (4)

Race 6 - Time To Plunder (9)

Race 7 - Secessio (3)

Race 8 - Bello (7) 

Tuesday 15 January 2013

16/01/13 - Doomben

Race 1 - Number 1 Veeten

Race 2 - Number 2 Drop Shot

Race 3 - Number 1 Ain't Half Hot

Race 4- Number 1 Barrassie Brother

Race 5 - Number 4 One To Go

Race 6 - Number 5 Miamley

Race 7 - Number 1 Mington

Race 8 - Number 3 Arctic

Sunday 13 January 2013

13/01/13 - Sunshine Coast

Race 1 - Number 1 Bloomin Tipsy

Race 2 - Number 3 Pound On Tubby

Race 3 - Number 7 Madhurima

Race 4 - Number 3 Weona Dazzler

Race 5 - Number 2 Sequends

Race 6 - Number 3 Get On

Race 7 - Number 7 Peron

Friday 11 January 2013

12/01/13 - Magic Millions Day

Glitz and glamour hits the Gold Coast for the annual Magic Millions raceday.  As is the norm this time of year, the day will be hot and racing will be on a good track.

Race 1 - We kick things off with a big field of maidens.  I'm going with the Rob Heathcote trained Tiger Jet (7).  This guy has had 2 starts for a 2nd and a 3rd.  He hasn't been far off in each of these and was running on in each.  He'll appreciate being back on top of the ground here after racing on a slow track last time.  He's drawn well and Wiggins should be able to place him nicely.  Other hopes to Royal Jester (5), Gallinari (15) and Danrho (2). 

Race 2 - Kinnersley (1) has to lug 59kg but it is clearly the best credentialed horse in the race and deserves it.  2 starts back he carried the same weight to win the Goulburn Cup over 1600m.  In that race he nosed out Scream Machine who is racing in good form.  Last start he competed in the Villiers and ran 10th but was only a couple of lengths off the winner.  He drew poorly that day and raced wide so the run wasn't that bad.  He draws well today and Tommy Berry will be able to make the most of it and take up a prominent position, possibly lead.  Given the right ride, he'll be tough to pass in the straight.  Other hopes to Noisy Ocean (9), Master Avatar (13) and Tai Tai Tess (5).


Race 3 - I've struggled to work out how these horses will settle after the gates open.  I feel with so many horses that like to lead or race handy that the speed will be solid.  My concern is that they're going to cut at each other for the lead which will set it up for those running on.   I'm putting Mosse Diva (7) on top with no great deal of confidence.  This is an open race but she's been racing with a great deal of consistency.  She hasn't been out of the placings in her last 5 starts, 3 of those being wins.  All 4 of her wins have been over 1400m so the 1300m here should be to her liking.  Generally she likes to lead but last start she jumped awkwardly and had to race from the back and 3 wide.  She ran 3rd but wasn't too far off the winner.  She gets the services of Hugh Bowman here which is a plus.  Other hopes to Capital Commander (1), Bennetta (14) and Playtime (5).

Race 4 - Leealan (6) is a locally trained horse at the Gold Coast and has a great record on his home circuit.  He's won 4 from 7 here and also has won or placed in 10 of 14 career starts.  He'll jump and run and hopefully have enough in the tank to hold on.  Last start he finished 4th in listed company to Easy Running.  He's 1st up here and has never been out of the placings in 3 1st up runs.  Other hopes to Eagle Falls (1), Doubtful Jack (2) and Rocket To Glory (7).

Race 5 - Sizzling (1) has drawn the carpark in barrier 20.  Initially I thought he can't win from there.  However after looking closer I think he's good enough to overcome the poor draw.  Firstly he has the master jockey Craig Williams riding. Williams will give him every possible chance.  A number of horses that have drawn to the inside such as the Waterhouse pair are untried at this trip and I have strong doubts over their ability to run the 1400m out.  They will however set a nice pace in front and that will assist Sizzling who has an almighty finish.  He has won over 1400m and 1600m so you know he'll run this out strongly.  Other hopes to Lucky Hussler (2), Platinum State (5) and No Looking Back (10).

Race 6 - Missy Longstocking (7) is unbeaten in her 4 starts.  She enters this coming off a strong win in the Group 3 McLachlin.  After jumping awkwardly, she settled midfield before racing away 200m out.  She would have derived great benefit from that run and will be cherry ripe for this.  She draws beautifully here in barrier 5 which will give Browne the chance to position her just behind the leaders.  Other hopes to Sweet Idea (10), Assail (8) and Clevadude (3).

****As I've been writing this, Racing Queensland have issued a press release in relation to Missy Longstocking undergoing a vet examination after she was found to be striding slightly short in front.  This doesn't fill me with confidence.  It was a toss up between Sweet Idea (10) and Missy so Sweet Idea now goes on top.  She's 2nd up here and will be all the fitter for her 1.3 length 2nd to Missy Longstocking last start.**** 

***With the scratching of Assail (8), I'll promote Architect (17) to the other hopes***

Race 7 - Steel Zip (5) has had 2 starts since a spell and looks ready to win this.  He won well 1st up beating Phelan Ready.  He then had a short freshen up and looked to be winning again until his condition gave out and he ran 2nd to Biggles here over 1300m.  He'll be better for that run and will be hard to hold out.  Other hopes to Phelan Ready (2), Biggles (6) and Startsmeup (3). 

Race 8 - I'm Cool (6) looks to get all the favours in the final race on the card.  He has great overall record, winning 4 of 5. His only loss was a narrow one to Someday who is no slouch.  He resumed 3 weeks ago and defeated Longshoreman over this distance.  I can see him just pinging the gate and taking up an easy lead in front and then bolting away in the straight.  Other hopes to Double Impact (4), Carmine King (3) and Whisperossa (8).


Flemington

Race 1 - No Interest

Race 2 - Number 4 Streets Of Seattle

Race 3 - Number 5 Tuscan Fire

Race 4 - Number 6 Act Two

Race 5 - Number 4 Spacecraft

Race 6 - Number 9 British General

Race 7 - Number 6 Gig

Race 8 - Number 11 Girl Gone Rockin      


Rosehill

Race 1 - No interest

Race 2 - Number 3 Royal Descent

Race 3 - Number 5 Silk Pins

Race 4 - Number 2 High On Believing

Race 5 - Number 1 Relaxed And Happy

Race 6 - Number 1 Marden

Race 7 - Number 7 Sherocksmyworld

Race 8 - Number 14 War Charm                   

Wednesday 9 January 2013

09/01/13 - Doomben

Race 1 - Number 7 Ozberry Miss

Race 2 - Number 2 Novikov

Race 3 - Number 3 Cyclone Billy

Race 4 - Number 5 Amalfi Dreams

Race 5 - Number 6 Smasher

Race 6 - Number 7 Hollyweird

Race 7 - Number 3 Candente

Race 8 Number 1 My Quilter

Friday 4 January 2013

05/01/13 - Eagle Farm, Caulfield and Warwick Farm

Eagle Farm

Race 1 - I'm not interested in getting involved here.  There's too many unknowns for my liking.  The leading contenders are Dalton (4), Tornado Miss (14) and Real Surreal (18). 

Race 2 - Revitalise (1) has to contend with 59.5kg and that's after the claim.  However I don't think that's all that bad when some lesser credentialed rivals are only carrying a 1kg or less.  The 1000m is a fair drop in distance from what he normally races but he's 1st up (good record and won 1st up last campaign) and his work during the week suggests he's ready to rip.  He should be able to sit just off a hot pace and come over the top.  Hardest to beat Power Of Ed (5).

Race 3 - Accidental (8) looks excellent value around the $8-$9 mark.  This guy has resumed in good fashion, winning both his starts.  On both occasions he finished off strongly. He's drawn barrier 4 so Larry Cassidy should be able to boot him up to take a nice position.  Other hopes to Stradon (3), Hodgie And Mo (1) and Pegunny Cat (2).

Race 4 - Longshoreman (4) has been hitting the line with extreme gusto in the 3 starts he's had since resuming in November.  He steps up to 1400m here and I would imagine will be assisted by a reasonable speed.  Slight concern over the rise in weight but it's simply hard to ignore the way he's been racing.  Other hopes to Volkere (7), Mr Orient (5) and Matabrahma (10).

Race 5 - Magic In Motion (4) is a promising young horse from the Heathcote stable.  She always finishes her races off strongly and put in an eye catching run last start when she won over 1500m.  The step up to 1800m here looks suitable.  Jeff Lloyd takes the ride and will be able to give the horse every possible chance from barrier 4.  Other hopes to Mishani Stealth (2), Hollywood Bound (11) and Tips 'N' Tales (14).

Race 6 - Mr Light Blue (2) has been racing over 1600m this campaign but now gets out to his pet distance of 2100m.  He has a record of 2 wins and a 3rd from 4 tries at the trip.  He also has a fondness for this track.  Has drawn out but Tegan Harrison who claims 2kg should have no problem getting him across to either lead or be very handy.  He'll be tough to run down in the straight.  Other hopes to Dolly Dolly (6), Carry Me Bluey (1) and Danagaze (3).

Race 7 - I'm really not keen on this race and I'd be going as wide as possible in quaddies.  Purfectress (8) looks the most likely.  She likes to run on in her races and should be suited by a decent speed.  If you take her run in the Listed Just Now 2 starts back out of the equation, her form has been quite good.  I won't list other chances as in an average race they've all got some hope.  

Race 8 - Arctic (7) looks a strong chance to get us home in the last.  This guy has been racing well of late against some nice types.  He finished off strongly over 1500m last start to win and in his 2 previous races he finished in the placings behind The Great White Hope and Sons Of God.  Other hopes to No Win No Wine (9), Peace Talks (4) and Calculation (11).


Caulfield

Race 1 - Number 6 Nella Fantasia

Race 2 - No Interest

Race 3 - Number 1 First Command

Race 4 - Number 2 Finishing Card

Race 5 - Number 6 General Peekay

Race 6 - Number 2 Tariana

Race 7 - Number 2 Whisper Downs

Race 8 - Number 7 Fast And Free


Warwick Farm

Race 1 - Number 3 Stand Strong

Race 2 - Number 1 Direct Charge

Race 3 - Number 7 Jaipur Princess

Race 4 - Number 10 Sessions

Race 5 - Number 6 Riva De Lago

Race 6 - Number 8 Disciple

Race 7 - Number 2 She's Clean

Race 8 - Number 5 Norma Betty's Boy        

04/01/13 - Ipswich

Race 1 - Number 7 Itchintowin

Race 2 - Number 1 Karisha

Race 3 - Number 6 General Son

Race 4 - Number 8 Royale Crown

Race 5 - Number 4 Red Eric

Race 6 - Number 1 Crackerjet

Race 7 - Number 3 Express Warrior